Jared Gordon vs. Grant Dawson - UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Grant Dawson by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jared Gordon
14
+136
Grant Dawson
2
-13.1
-220

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jared Gordon Grant Dawson
Main Stats
Age 33 28
Height 69" 70"
Reach 68" 72"
Win Percentage 85.71% 94.44%
Wins 18 18
Losses 4 1
Wins at Weight Class 3 1
Losses at Weight Class 3 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 69.67% 62.01%
Significant Striking Accuracy 56.65% 50.92%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 10.702 5.995
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.217 2.997
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 75.78% 17.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 23.44% 10.00%
Striking Output Differential 77.11% 34.83%
Significant Striking Output Differential 17.89% 19.83%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 42.42% 37.84%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 86.07% 69.82%
Striking Defense Percentage 59.03% 48.90%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 1.013
Takedowns per Fight 2.539 3.443
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 6.421 10.936
Takedown Defense 100.00% 200.00%
Takedown Accuracy 39.53% 31.48%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 4.042 1.674
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.676 4.145
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.941 1.323
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.647 0.729
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.946 1.040
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.727 0.567
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.528 0.594
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.587 0.702
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.448 0.297
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.587 0.365
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.747 0.513
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.378 0.243
Jared Gordon History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 2, 2021 Lightweight Joe Solecki Jared Gordon Jared Gordon
Feb. 20, 2021 Featherweight Jared Gordon Danny Chavez Jared Gordon
July 15, 2020 Featherweight Jared Gordon Chris Fishgold Jared Gordon
Nov. 16, 2019 Lightweight Charles Oliveira Jared Gordon Charles Oliveira
June 29, 2019 Lightweight Jared Gordon Dan Moret Jared Gordon
Dec. 15, 2018 Lightweight Jared Gordon Joaquim Silva Joaquim Silva
Feb. 18, 2018 Lightweight Jared Gordon Diego Ferreira Diego Ferreira
Oct. 28, 2017 Lightweight Hacran Dias Jared Gordon Jared Gordon
June 25, 2017 Featherweight Jared Gordon Michel Quinones Jared Gordon
Grant Dawson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 23, 2021 Lightweight Grant Dawson Ricky Glenn None
March 20, 2021 Lightweight Leonardo Santos Grant Dawson Grant Dawson
July 18, 2020 Catch Weight Grant Dawson Nad Narimani Grant Dawson
Feb. 29, 2020 Featherweight Grant Dawson Darrick Minner Grant Dawson
May 18, 2019 Featherweight Michael Trizano Grant Dawson Grant Dawson
March 9, 2019 Featherweight Grant Dawson Julian Erosa Grant Dawson