The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Darren Elkins | Tristan Connelly | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 37 | 36 | 31 | |
| Height | 70" | 70" | 69" | |
| Reach | 71" | 68" | 71" | |
| Win Percentage | 72.22% | 66.67% | 80.14% | |
| Wins | 27 | 14 | ||
| Losses | 10 | 8 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 15 | 0 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 8 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 55.15% | 68.59% | 52.06% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 38.27% | 47.43% | 45.60% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.526 | 7.933 | 5.355 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.445 | 2.767 | 3.867 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.104 | 0.000 | 0.620 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 34.64% | 54.50% | 2.99% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 4.08% | 12.50% | 2.00% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 63.08% | 71.00% | 4.30% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 28.80% | 27.50% | 3.10% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 48.62% | 31.93% | 100.02% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 99.20% | 74.70% | 125.78% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 52.50% | 51.67% | 54.32% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 1.143 | 0.500 | 0.900 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 2.648 | 0.500 | 1.609 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 8.049 | 3.500 | 4.128 | |
| Takedown Defense | 77.78% | 42.86% | 79.20% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 32.90% | 14.29% | 39.08% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.569 | 2.033 | 2.450 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.679 | 4.900 | 6.482 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.219 | 1.033 | 2.390 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.706 | 0.433 | 0.864 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.104 | 0.633 | 1.273 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.509 | 0.800 | 0.902 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.170 | 0.300 | 0.553 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.218 | 0.300 | 0.684 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.364 | 0.100 | 0.545 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.699 | 0.600 | 0.438 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.056 | 0.867 | 0.607 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.412 | 0.433 | 0.539 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 18, 2021 | Featherweight | Cub Swanson | Darren Elkins | Cub Swanson | |
| July 24, 2021 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Darrick Minner | Darren Elkins | |
| Nov. 7, 2020 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Eduardo Garagorri | Darren Elkins | |
| May 16, 2020 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Nate Landwehr | Nate Landwehr | |
| July 13, 2019 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Ryan Hall | Ryan Hall | |
| Nov. 17, 2018 | Featherweight | Ricardo Lamas | Darren Elkins | Ricardo Lamas | |
| July 14, 2018 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Alexander Volkanovski | Alexander Volkanovski | |
| Jan. 14, 2018 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Michael Johnson | Darren Elkins | |
| July 22, 2017 | Featherweight | Dennis Bermudez | Darren Elkins | Darren Elkins | |
| March 4, 2017 | Featherweight | Mirsad Bektic | Darren Elkins | Darren Elkins | |
| July 23, 2016 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Godofredo Pepey | Darren Elkins | |
| March 5, 2016 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Chas Skelly | Darren Elkins | |
| Oct. 24, 2015 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Robert Whiteford | Darren Elkins | |
| Dec. 20, 2014 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Hacran Dias | Hacran Dias | |
| Oct. 25, 2014 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Lucas Martins | Darren Elkins | |
| Jan. 25, 2014 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Jeremy Stephens | Jeremy Stephens | |
| Aug. 28, 2013 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Hatsu Hioki | Darren Elkins | |
| April 20, 2013 | Featherweight | Chad Mendes | Darren Elkins | Chad Mendes | |
| March 16, 2013 | Featherweight | Antonio Carvalho | Darren Elkins | Darren Elkins | |
| Nov. 17, 2012 | Featherweight | Steven Siler | Darren Elkins | Darren Elkins | |
| May 26, 2012 | Featherweight | Diego Brandao | Darren Elkins | Darren Elkins | |
| Oct. 8, 2011 | Featherweight | Zhang Tiequan | Darren Elkins | Darren Elkins | |
| June 11, 2011 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Michihiro Omigawa | Darren Elkins | |
| Aug. 1, 2010 | Lightweight | Darren Elkins | Charles Oliveira | Charles Oliveira | |
| March 21, 2010 | Lightweight | Duane Ludwig | Darren Elkins | Darren Elkins |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 24, 2021 | Featherweight | Pat Sabatini | Tristan Connelly | Pat Sabatini | |
| Sept. 14, 2019 | Welterweight | Michel Pereira | Tristan Connelly | Tristan Connelly |