Daniel Lacerda vs. Francisco Figueiredo - UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Francisco Figueiredo by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Daniel Lacerda
-130
Francisco Figueiredo
17
14
27.9
+103

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Daniel Lacerda Francisco Figueiredo
Main Stats
Age 25 32
Height 66" 66"
Reach 70" 68"
Win Percentage 84.62% 75.00%
Wins 11 13
Losses 2 4
Wins at Weight Class 0 1
Losses at Weight Class 1 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 83.78% 67.41%
Significant Striking Accuracy 80.00% 58.16%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.376 3.033
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.468 1.900
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -75.00% -47.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -27.00% -10.00%
Striking Output Differential -94.00% -104.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential -37.00% -60.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 80.65% 174.73%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 75.00% 247.37%
Striking Defense Percentage 24.19% 64.68%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 3.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.202 4.000
Takedown Defense 100.00% 14.29%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 75.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.214 0.900
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.908 1.933
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 6.763 1.733
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.214 0.467
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.387 0.700
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.041 0.333
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.041 0.533
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.041 0.633
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.347 0.500
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.000 0.267
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.173 0.300
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.000 0.467
Daniel Lacerda History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 23, 2021 Flyweight Jeff Molina Daniel Lacerda Jeff Molina
Francisco Figueiredo History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 17, 2021 Flyweight Francisco Figueiredo Malcolm Gordon Malcolm Gordon
Jan. 20, 2021 Flyweight Francisco Figueiredo Jerome Rivera Francisco Figueiredo