Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Said Nurmagomedov - UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Said Nurmagomedov by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Douglas Silva de Andrade
+187
Said Nurmagomedov
10
12
-13.2
-500

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Douglas Silva de Andrade Said Nurmagomedov
Main Stats
Age 37 30
Height 67" 68"
Reach 68" 70"
Win Percentage 87.50% 88.24%
Wins 28 16
Losses 5 2
Wins at Weight Class 5 3
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 43.05% 51.90%
Significant Striking Accuracy 39.63% 46.82%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.447 6.012
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.835 4.751
Knockdowns per Fight 0.765 0.440
Striking Impact Differential -13.90% 23.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -4.20% 16.40%
Striking Output Differential -14.10% 35.40%
Significant Striking Output Differential -3.50% 28.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 132.70% 62.44%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 150.78% 77.78%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.97% 61.17%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.255 0.440
Takedowns per Fight 0.638 0.440
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.403 6.158
Takedown Defense 46.15% 28.57%
Takedown Accuracy 45.45% 7.14%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.202 2.669
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.218 7.566
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.483 1.085
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.799 0.880
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.309 1.232
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.131 0.381
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.833 1.202
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.148 1.349
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.578 0.880
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.255 0.733
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.383 0.850
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.400 0.205
Douglas Silva de Andrade History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 12, 2022 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Sergey Morozov Douglas Silva de Andrade
Oct. 2, 2021 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Gaetano Pirrello Douglas Silva de Andrade
Jan. 20, 2021 Featherweight Lerone Murphy Douglas Silva de Andrade Lerone Murphy
Nov. 16, 2019 Featherweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Renan Barao Douglas Silva de Andrade
Dec. 29, 2018 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Petr Yan Petr Yan
Feb. 3, 2018 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Marlon Vera Douglas Silva de Andrade
July 8, 2017 Bantamweight Rob Font Douglas Silva de Andrade Rob Font
Nov. 5, 2016 Bantamweight Henry Briones Douglas Silva de Andrade Douglas Silva de Andrade
Feb. 22, 2015 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Cody Gibson Douglas Silva de Andrade
Feb. 15, 2014 Featherweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Zubaira Tukhugov Zubaira Tukhugov
Said Nurmagomedov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 22, 2022 Bantamweight Cody Stamann Said Nurmagomedov Said Nurmagomedov
Oct. 17, 2020 Bantamweight Said Nurmagomedov Mark Striegl Said Nurmagomedov
Dec. 21, 2019 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Said Nurmagomedov Raoni Barcelos
Feb. 2, 2019 Bantamweight Ricardo Ramos Said Nurmagomedov Said Nurmagomedov
July 14, 2018 Flyweight Justin Scoggins Said Nurmagomedov Said Nurmagomedov