Results: Roman Dolidze vs. Nassourdine Imavov

Winner: Nassourdine Imavov by Decision - Majority

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Roman Dolidze vs Nassourdine Imavov

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Nassourdine Imavov to Win

Roman Dolidze's Breakdown

Roman Dolidze, sporting a 12-2 record, showcases a potent mix of striking and grappling prowess. His recent record in the UFC is impressive, with notable victories over tough competitors like Jack Hermansson and Phil Hawes. Dolidze's ability to end fights with KO/TKO, as seen in his bouts against Hermansson, Hawes, and Kyle Daukaus, is a significant threat. His play-by-play against Hermansson and Hawes demonstrates a versatile striking game, backed by powerful leg kicks and a capacity for rapid transitions to submissions. However, his loss to Marvin Vettori highlights a potential vulnerability in decision scenarios where he can be outmaneuvered by strategic fighters.

Dolidze's stats reinforce his knockout ability with a high knockdown rate and significant striking accuracy. His takedown accuracy and defense are solid, and he's shown he can control opponents with clinch strikes. However, his striking defense percentage suggests some exposure to counterattacks.

Nassourdine Imavov's Breakdown

Nassourdine Imavov enters the octagon with a 12-4-1 record, exhibiting a balanced skill set in striking and grappling. His recent fights, particularly against Chris Curtis and Sean Strickland, demonstrate his adaptability and resilience. The no contest against Curtis was unfortunate, but Imavov's control and submission attempts in that fight were notable. Against Strickland, Imavov showcased his ability to handle pressure from a heavier opponent, though he ultimately lost by decision.

Imavov's stats reveal a fighter who is more methodical and precise. His significant striking accuracy and defense are noteworthy, and his ability to mix up strikes and takedowns is evident. However, his lower takedown defense ratio could be a point of concern against a well-rounded opponent like Dolidze.

Analysis and Key Points

The upcoming bout between Dolidze and Imavov is an intriguing matchup of contrasting styles. Dolidze's aggressive striking and power, combined with his ground game, pose a real threat. Imavov, on the other hand, brings a more calculated approach, with an emphasis on precision striking and submission attempts.

Dolidze's strength lies in his ability to finish fights, as seen in his high knockdown and submission rates. His challenge will be to overcome Imavov's defensive strategies and find openings for his powerful strikes or takedowns.

Imavov needs to maintain his composure under Dolidze's pressure, utilizing his striking accuracy and defensive skills. Working to exploit Dolidze's lower striking defense could be key, along with avoiding the ground where Dolidze has shown dominance.

Conclusion

WolfTicketsAI's prediction for Imavov to win seems grounded in Imavov's ability to manage Dolidze's power and turn the fight into a more tactical battle. Given Dolidze's vulnerability in decision scenarios and Imavov's calculated approach, the prediction leans towards Imavov outmaneuvering Dolidze over the course of the fight. However, Dolidze's knockout power always poses a looming threat that could turn the tide at any moment.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Roman Dolidze Nassourdine Imavov
Main Stats
Age 35 28
Height 74" 75"
Reach 76" 75"
Win Percentage 85.71% 75.00%
Wins 12 13
Losses 3 4
Wins at Weight Class 4 4
Losses at Weight Class 2 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 53.99% 56.72%
Significant Striking Accuracy 44.07% 53.03%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.247 5.579
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.024 4.548
Knockdowns per Fight 0.762 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 14.13% 5.14%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.13% 10.86%
Striking Output Differential 19.13% -12.57%
Significant Striking Output Differential 1.63% -7.86%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 75.54% 99.44%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 121.85% 118.54%
Striking Defense Percentage 55.03% 58.93%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.715 1.717
Takedowns per Fight 1.715 1.093
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.430 3.435
Takedown Defense 200.00% 37.50%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 31.82%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.995 3.008
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.475 6.682
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.550 2.259
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.483 0.999
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.813 1.259
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.470 0.739
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.546 0.541
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.572 0.635
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.991 0.760
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.292 0.833
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.610 0.937
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.191 0.281
Roman Dolidze History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 18, 2023 Middleweight Marvin Vettori Roman Dolidze Marvin Vettori
Dec. 3, 2022 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Roman Dolidze Roman Dolidze
Oct. 29, 2022 Middleweight Phil Hawes Roman Dolidze Roman Dolidze
June 18, 2022 Middleweight Roman Dolidze Kyle Daukaus Roman Dolidze
June 5, 2021 Middleweight Roman Dolidze Laureano Staropoli Roman Dolidze
March 20, 2021 Middleweight Trevin Giles Roman Dolidze Trevin Giles
Dec. 5, 2020 Light Heavyweight Roman Dolidze John Allan Roman Dolidze
July 18, 2020 Light Heavyweight Roman Dolidze Khadis Ibragimov Roman Dolidze
Nassourdine Imavov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 10, 2023 Middleweight Nassourdine Imavov Chris Curtis None
Jan. 14, 2023 Light Heavyweight Sean Strickland Nassourdine Imavov Sean Strickland
Sept. 3, 2022 Middleweight Nassourdine Imavov Joaquin Buckley Nassourdine Imavov
Nov. 6, 2021 Middleweight Edmen Shahbazyan Nassourdine Imavov Nassourdine Imavov
July 24, 2021 Middleweight Nassourdine Imavov Ian Heinisch Nassourdine Imavov
Feb. 20, 2021 Middleweight Phil Hawes Nassourdine Imavov Phil Hawes
Oct. 3, 2020 Middleweight Jordan Williams Nassourdine Imavov Nassourdine Imavov