The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Roman Dolidze, sporting a 12-2 record, showcases a potent mix of striking and grappling prowess. His recent record in the UFC is impressive, with notable victories over tough competitors like Jack Hermansson and Phil Hawes. Dolidze's ability to end fights with KO/TKO, as seen in his bouts against Hermansson, Hawes, and Kyle Daukaus, is a significant threat. His play-by-play against Hermansson and Hawes demonstrates a versatile striking game, backed by powerful leg kicks and a capacity for rapid transitions to submissions. However, his loss to Marvin Vettori highlights a potential vulnerability in decision scenarios where he can be outmaneuvered by strategic fighters.
Dolidze's stats reinforce his knockout ability with a high knockdown rate and significant striking accuracy. His takedown accuracy and defense are solid, and he's shown he can control opponents with clinch strikes. However, his striking defense percentage suggests some exposure to counterattacks.
Nassourdine Imavov enters the octagon with a 12-4-1 record, exhibiting a balanced skill set in striking and grappling. His recent fights, particularly against Chris Curtis and Sean Strickland, demonstrate his adaptability and resilience. The no contest against Curtis was unfortunate, but Imavov's control and submission attempts in that fight were notable. Against Strickland, Imavov showcased his ability to handle pressure from a heavier opponent, though he ultimately lost by decision.
Imavov's stats reveal a fighter who is more methodical and precise. His significant striking accuracy and defense are noteworthy, and his ability to mix up strikes and takedowns is evident. However, his lower takedown defense ratio could be a point of concern against a well-rounded opponent like Dolidze.
The upcoming bout between Dolidze and Imavov is an intriguing matchup of contrasting styles. Dolidze's aggressive striking and power, combined with his ground game, pose a real threat. Imavov, on the other hand, brings a more calculated approach, with an emphasis on precision striking and submission attempts.
Dolidze's strength lies in his ability to finish fights, as seen in his high knockdown and submission rates. His challenge will be to overcome Imavov's defensive strategies and find openings for his powerful strikes or takedowns.
Imavov needs to maintain his composure under Dolidze's pressure, utilizing his striking accuracy and defensive skills. Working to exploit Dolidze's lower striking defense could be key, along with avoiding the ground where Dolidze has shown dominance.
WolfTicketsAI's prediction for Imavov to win seems grounded in Imavov's ability to manage Dolidze's power and turn the fight into a more tactical battle. Given Dolidze's vulnerability in decision scenarios and Imavov's calculated approach, the prediction leans towards Imavov outmaneuvering Dolidze over the course of the fight. However, Dolidze's knockout power always poses a looming threat that could turn the tide at any moment.
Stat | Roman Dolidze | Nassourdine Imavov | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 35 | 28 | 32 | |
Height | 74" | 75" | 73" | |
Reach | 76" | 75" | 75" | |
Win Percentage | 85.71% | 75.00% | 79.33% | |
Wins | 12 | 13 | ||
Losses | 3 | 4 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 4 | 4 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 2 | 2 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 53.99% | 56.72% | 54.19% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 44.07% | 53.03% | 48.02% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.247 | 5.579 | 5.806 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.024 | 4.548 | 4.221 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.762 | 0.000 | 1.214 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 14.13% | 5.14% | 4.68% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 0.13% | 10.86% | 3.04% | |
Striking Output Differential | 19.13% | -12.57% | 5.32% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 1.63% | -7.86% | 3.16% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 75.54% | 99.44% | 81.36% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 121.85% | 118.54% | 101.79% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 55.03% | 58.93% | 49.32% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 1.715 | 1.717 | 0.648 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 1.715 | 1.093 | 1.535 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.430 | 3.435 | 3.916 | |
Takedown Defense | 200.00% | 37.50% | 83.84% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 50.00% | 31.82% | 33.35% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.995 | 3.008 | 2.865 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.475 | 6.682 | 6.370 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.550 | 2.259 | 2.275 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.483 | 0.999 | 0.859 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.813 | 1.259 | 1.127 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.470 | 0.739 | 0.766 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.546 | 0.541 | 0.498 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.572 | 0.635 | 0.579 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.991 | 0.760 | 0.512 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.292 | 0.833 | 0.495 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.610 | 0.937 | 0.653 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.191 | 0.281 | 0.421 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
March 18, 2023 | Middleweight | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze | Marvin Vettori | |
Dec. 3, 2022 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Roman Dolidze | Roman Dolidze | |
Oct. 29, 2022 | Middleweight | Phil Hawes | Roman Dolidze | Roman Dolidze | |
June 18, 2022 | Middleweight | Roman Dolidze | Kyle Daukaus | Roman Dolidze | |
June 5, 2021 | Middleweight | Roman Dolidze | Laureano Staropoli | Roman Dolidze | |
March 20, 2021 | Middleweight | Trevin Giles | Roman Dolidze | Trevin Giles | |
Dec. 5, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Roman Dolidze | John Allan | Roman Dolidze | |
July 18, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Roman Dolidze | Khadis Ibragimov | Roman Dolidze |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 10, 2023 | Middleweight | Nassourdine Imavov | Chris Curtis | None | |
Jan. 14, 2023 | Light Heavyweight | Sean Strickland | Nassourdine Imavov | Sean Strickland | |
Sept. 3, 2022 | Middleweight | Nassourdine Imavov | Joaquin Buckley | Nassourdine Imavov | |
Nov. 6, 2021 | Middleweight | Edmen Shahbazyan | Nassourdine Imavov | Nassourdine Imavov | |
July 24, 2021 | Middleweight | Nassourdine Imavov | Ian Heinisch | Nassourdine Imavov | |
Feb. 20, 2021 | Middleweight | Phil Hawes | Nassourdine Imavov | Phil Hawes | |
Oct. 3, 2020 | Middleweight | Jordan Williams | Nassourdine Imavov | Nassourdine Imavov |