Molly McCann vs. Diana Belbita - UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Molly McCann by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Molly McCann vs Diana Belbita

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Molly McCann to Win

Molly McCann's Breakdown

Molly McCann enters this fight with a solid track record in the UFC, showing a penchant for striking, particularly her boxing. Her aggressive style is both a sword and a shield, as it can lead to dominant performances or expose her to risks. McCann's recent fights reveal a mixed bag: impressive wins against Hannah Goldy and Luana Carolina via KO/TKO, but setbacks in grappling, as seen in her losses to Julija Stoliarenko and Erin Blanchfield by submission. McCann's grappling defense, especially against submissions, is a clear vulnerability.

McCann's boxing skills were on full display against Goldy and Carolina, where she effectively closed distance and delivered powerful combinations. However, against Blanchfield, McCann's eagerness to strike left her susceptible to takedowns and eventual submission. This pattern suggests McCann's need to balance her striking aggression with caution, especially against skilled grapplers.

Diana Belbita's Breakdown

Diana Belbita, known for her volume striking and dynamic arsenal, brings a different challenge to the octagon. Her striking focus, utilizing a blend of karate and kickboxing, sets her apart. Belbita's recent unanimous decision win against Maria Oliveira highlighted her ability to maintain pace and pressure, key elements in her strategy. However, her unanimous decision loss to Karolina Kowalkiewicz indicates potential struggles against technical strikers.

Belbita's aggressive style was evident in her bout against Oliveira, where she effectively used her jab and leg kicks. However, her loss to Gloria de Paula showcased a vulnerability in her defense, being outstruck and failing to adjust her game plan effectively.

Previous Fight Breakdown

McCann and Belbita have faced each other before, with McCann emerging victorious via unanimous decision. In that fight, McCann's pressure and ability to take the fight to the ground proved decisive. Belbita struggled to counter McCann's aggression, highlighting a gap in her grappling defense.

Analysis and Key Points

McCann's boxing and pressure are her greatest assets, but her grappling defense remains a concern. Belbita's volume striking and endurance can pose a threat, but she must beware of McCann's power and ability to dictate the fight's pace. McCann's previous victory over Belbita gives her a psychological edge, but Belbita's improvements since then can't be overlooked.

Conclusion

Considering McCann's striking prowess, aggression, and previous win over Belbita, WolfTicketsAI predicts her to win. However, Belbita's evolving skills and striking volume could make this a closely contested bout. McCann's key to victory will be using her boxing effectively while being cautious of Belbita's counters and potential takedown attempts. For Belbita, maintaining distance, utilizing her volume striking, and improving her grappling defense will be crucial. The fight is likely to be a striking affair, with McCann's power and experience giving her the edge.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Molly McCann Diana Belbita
Main Stats
Age 33 27
Height 64" 67"
Reach 62" 68"
Win Percentage 68.42% 65.22%
Wins 14 15
Losses 6 9
Wins at Weight Class 0 2
Losses at Weight Class 0 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.98% 47.26%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.93% 42.92%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.455 8.003
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.678 6.588
Knockdowns per Fight 0.254 0.193
Striking Impact Differential 0.73% 5.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 8.36% 2.00%
Striking Output Differential -32.64% 29.67%
Significant Striking Output Differential -23.18% 26.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 136.78% 88.26%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 151.93% 104.10%
Striking Defense Percentage 63.77% 51.60%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.507 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.648 0.965
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.690 1.544
Takedown Defense 130.77% 44.00%
Takedown Accuracy 35.14% 62.50%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.971 3.860
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.252 11.877
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.949 4.529
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.006 1.647
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.301 2.226
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.293 1.454
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.701 1.081
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.820 1.248
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.659 0.450
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.482 0.991
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.701 1.351
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.625 0.798
Molly McCann History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 22, 2023 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Julija Stoliarenko Julija Stoliarenko
Nov. 12, 2022 Women's Flyweight Erin Blanchfield Molly McCann Erin Blanchfield
July 23, 2022 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Hannah Goldy Molly McCann
March 19, 2022 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Luana Carolina Molly McCann
Sept. 4, 2021 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Ji Yeon Kim Molly McCann
Feb. 6, 2021 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Lara Procopio Lara Procopio
July 15, 2020 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Taila Santos Taila Santos
Oct. 18, 2019 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Diana Belbita Molly McCann
June 22, 2019 Women's Flyweight Ariane da Silva Molly McCann Molly McCann
March 16, 2019 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Priscila Cachoeira Molly McCann
May 27, 2018 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Molly McCann Gillian Robertson
Diana Belbita History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 7, 2023 Women's Strawweight Karolina Kowalkiewicz Diana Belbita Karolina Kowalkiewicz
June 10, 2023 Women's Strawweight Diana Belbita Maria Oliveira Diana Belbita
Feb. 19, 2022 Women's Strawweight Diana Belbita Gloria de Paula Gloria de Paula
July 24, 2021 Women's Strawweight Diana Belbita Hannah Goldy Diana Belbita
July 15, 2020 Women's Flyweight Diana Belbita Liana Jojua Liana Jojua
Oct. 18, 2019 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Diana Belbita Molly McCann