The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Molly McCann enters this fight with a solid track record in the UFC, showing a penchant for striking, particularly her boxing. Her aggressive style is both a sword and a shield, as it can lead to dominant performances or expose her to risks. McCann's recent fights reveal a mixed bag: impressive wins against Hannah Goldy and Luana Carolina via KO/TKO, but setbacks in grappling, as seen in her losses to Julija Stoliarenko and Erin Blanchfield by submission. McCann's grappling defense, especially against submissions, is a clear vulnerability.
McCann's boxing skills were on full display against Goldy and Carolina, where she effectively closed distance and delivered powerful combinations. However, against Blanchfield, McCann's eagerness to strike left her susceptible to takedowns and eventual submission. This pattern suggests McCann's need to balance her striking aggression with caution, especially against skilled grapplers.
Diana Belbita, known for her volume striking and dynamic arsenal, brings a different challenge to the octagon. Her striking focus, utilizing a blend of karate and kickboxing, sets her apart. Belbita's recent unanimous decision win against Maria Oliveira highlighted her ability to maintain pace and pressure, key elements in her strategy. However, her unanimous decision loss to Karolina Kowalkiewicz indicates potential struggles against technical strikers.
Belbita's aggressive style was evident in her bout against Oliveira, where she effectively used her jab and leg kicks. However, her loss to Gloria de Paula showcased a vulnerability in her defense, being outstruck and failing to adjust her game plan effectively.
McCann and Belbita have faced each other before, with McCann emerging victorious via unanimous decision. In that fight, McCann's pressure and ability to take the fight to the ground proved decisive. Belbita struggled to counter McCann's aggression, highlighting a gap in her grappling defense.
McCann's boxing and pressure are her greatest assets, but her grappling defense remains a concern. Belbita's volume striking and endurance can pose a threat, but she must beware of McCann's power and ability to dictate the fight's pace. McCann's previous victory over Belbita gives her a psychological edge, but Belbita's improvements since then can't be overlooked.
Considering McCann's striking prowess, aggression, and previous win over Belbita, WolfTicketsAI predicts her to win. However, Belbita's evolving skills and striking volume could make this a closely contested bout. McCann's key to victory will be using her boxing effectively while being cautious of Belbita's counters and potential takedown attempts. For Belbita, maintaining distance, utilizing her volume striking, and improving her grappling defense will be crucial. The fight is likely to be a striking affair, with McCann's power and experience giving her the edge.
Stat | Molly McCann | Diana Belbita | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 33 | 27 | 31 | |
Height | 64" | 67" | 63" | |
Reach | 62" | 68" | 64" | |
Win Percentage | 68.42% | 65.22% | 75.71% | |
Wins | 14 | 15 | ||
Losses | 6 | 9 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 0 | 2 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 2 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 52.98% | 47.26% | 50.16% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 49.93% | 42.92% | 42.48% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.455 | 8.003 | 5.575 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.678 | 6.588 | 3.822 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.254 | 0.193 | 0.172 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 0.73% | 5.50% | 1.05% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 8.36% | 2.00% | 0.24% | |
Striking Output Differential | -32.64% | 29.67% | -0.24% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -23.18% | 26.67% | -1.23% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 136.78% | 88.26% | 86.19% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 151.93% | 104.10% | 133.10% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 63.77% | 51.60% | 49.83% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.507 | 0.000 | 0.506 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 1.648 | 0.965 | 1.438 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.690 | 1.544 | 3.440 | |
Takedown Defense | 130.77% | 44.00% | 87.90% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 35.14% | 62.50% | 31.86% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.971 | 3.860 | 2.322 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 9.252 | 11.877 | 6.381 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.949 | 4.529 | 2.474 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.006 | 1.647 | 0.853 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.301 | 2.226 | 1.263 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.293 | 1.454 | 0.850 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.701 | 1.081 | 0.648 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.820 | 1.248 | 0.823 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.659 | 0.450 | 0.545 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.482 | 0.991 | 0.547 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.701 | 1.351 | 0.726 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.625 | 0.798 | 0.571 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 22, 2023 | Women's Flyweight | Molly McCann | Julija Stoliarenko | Julija Stoliarenko | |
Nov. 12, 2022 | Women's Flyweight | Erin Blanchfield | Molly McCann | Erin Blanchfield | |
July 23, 2022 | Women's Flyweight | Molly McCann | Hannah Goldy | Molly McCann | |
March 19, 2022 | Women's Flyweight | Molly McCann | Luana Carolina | Molly McCann | |
Sept. 4, 2021 | Women's Flyweight | Molly McCann | Ji Yeon Kim | Molly McCann | |
Feb. 6, 2021 | Women's Flyweight | Molly McCann | Lara Procopio | Lara Procopio | |
July 15, 2020 | Women's Flyweight | Molly McCann | Taila Santos | Taila Santos | |
Oct. 18, 2019 | Women's Flyweight | Molly McCann | Diana Belbita | Molly McCann | |
June 22, 2019 | Women's Flyweight | Ariane da Silva | Molly McCann | Molly McCann | |
March 16, 2019 | Women's Flyweight | Molly McCann | Priscila Cachoeira | Molly McCann | |
May 27, 2018 | Women's Flyweight | Gillian Robertson | Molly McCann | Gillian Robertson |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct. 7, 2023 | Women's Strawweight | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Diana Belbita | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | |
June 10, 2023 | Women's Strawweight | Diana Belbita | Maria Oliveira | Diana Belbita | |
Feb. 19, 2022 | Women's Strawweight | Diana Belbita | Gloria de Paula | Gloria de Paula | |
July 24, 2021 | Women's Strawweight | Diana Belbita | Hannah Goldy | Diana Belbita | |
July 15, 2020 | Women's Flyweight | Diana Belbita | Liana Jojua | Liana Jojua | |
Oct. 18, 2019 | Women's Flyweight | Molly McCann | Diana Belbita | Molly McCann |