Results: Azat Maksum vs. Charles Johnson

Winner: Charles Johnson by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Azat Maksum vs Charles Johnson

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Azat Maksum to Win

Azat Maksum's Breakdown

Azat Maksum enters this fight as the favorite, and for good reason. With an impeccable record of 17 wins and zero losses, his UFC debut against Tyson Nam showcased his skills in a split decision victory. Maksum's striking was a key factor, consistently landing jabs and creating significant swelling on Nam's face, demonstrating precision and an ability to inflict cumulative damage over time. His strategy of constant jabs and occasional power shots, combined with a leg-kicking game, helped him control the range and pace. Despite a lack of knockdowns or submissions, his takedown attempts (11 attempted with 2 successful) and solid takedown defense (ratio of 1.0000) suggest a well-rounded skill set. Maksum's striking stats, including a striking defense percentage of 0.5950 and significant striking accuracy of 0.2434, indicate a fighter who's not only aggressive but also careful with his strikes.

Charles Johnson's Breakdown

Charles Johnson, with 13 wins and 6 losses, is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Rafael Estevam. Johnson's resilience is notable, particularly his ability to regain his vertical base effectively after takedowns, as seen in his fights against Estevam and Durden. This trait, stemming from his athletic background in track and field, enhances his defense against grappling-heavy opponents. His striking, while needing refinement, has moments of effectiveness, but he struggles against southpaws, as observed in his fight with Osbourne. Johnson's significant strike accuracy (0.5520) and striking defense percentage (0.4978) are decent, but his recent performance shows a need for improvement in striking exchanges. His recent fight history, with losses to Durden, Osbourne, and Mokaev, raises concerns about his ability to handle pressure from versatile fighters.

Previous Fight Breakdown

There is no previous fight between Azat Maksum and Charles Johnson.

Analysis and Key Points

Azat Maksum's debut fight against Tyson Nam revealed a fighter with a solid striking game and decent grappling. He effectively managed distance with jabs and leg kicks, showing a methodical approach to breaking down his opponent. His low takedown accuracy (0.1818) indicates room for improvement in wrestling, but his successful defense suggests he can handle grapplers.

Charles Johnson's recent fights, especially against Rafael Estevam, exhibit his tenacity and ability to withstand pressure. His ability to get back up from takedowns is impressive, but his striking seems less refined. Johnson's recent fight history indicates difficulty in dealing with opponents who can apply consistent pressure, both in striking and grappling.

Conclusion

Considering both fighters' strengths and weaknesses, Azat Maksum's precision striking and ability to control the fight's pace give him an edge over Charles Johnson. Maksum's methodical approach, combined with his solid takedown defense, positions him well against Johnson, who, while resilient, has shown vulnerabilities in his striking game and against persistent pressure. WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Azat Maksum winning is based on his undefeated record, striking accuracy, and his ability to dictate the fight's flow, capitalizing on Johnson's recent struggles in the octagon.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Azat Maksum Charles Johnson
Main Stats
Age 29 33
Height 67" 69"
Reach 70" 70"
Win Percentage 100.00% 68.42%
Wins 17 14
Losses 1 6
Wins at Weight Class 1 2
Losses at Weight Class 0 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 24.21% 62.09%
Significant Striking Accuracy 24.34% 55.20%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.067 6.361
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.067 4.337
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -52.00% 26.83%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -35.00% 14.17%
Striking Output Differential -52.00% 21.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential -24.00% 8.83%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 313.04% 67.59%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 286.96% 90.43%
Striking Defense Percentage 61.97% 54.55%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.189
Takedowns per Fight 2.000 0.189
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 11.000 1.320
Takedown Defense 100.00% 59.62%
Takedown Accuracy 18.18% 14.29%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.200 2.300
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 11.133 5.154
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.800 1.383
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.800 1.421
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.400 1.949
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.267 0.817
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.067 0.616
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.067 0.754
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 2.333 1.069
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.000 0.717
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.400 1.018
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.133 0.201
Azat Maksum History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 15, 2023 Flyweight Tyson Nam Azat Maksum Azat Maksum
Charles Johnson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 18, 2023 Flyweight Charles Johnson Rafael Estevam Rafael Estevam
April 29, 2023 Flyweight Cody Durden Charles Johnson Cody Durden
Feb. 25, 2023 Catch Weight Ode Osbourne Charles Johnson Ode Osbourne
Jan. 14, 2023 Flyweight Charles Johnson Jimmy Flick Charles Johnson
Nov. 19, 2022 Flyweight Charles Johnson Zhalgas Zhumagulov Charles Johnson
July 23, 2022 Flyweight Muhammad Mokaev Charles Johnson Muhammad Mokaev