| WTAI Model | Profit Model | Plain Model | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Under | Full | Main | Under | Full | Main | Under | Full |
| 60.0% | 50.0% | 55.56% | 60.0% | 75.0% | 66.67% | 60.0% | 100.0% | 77.78% |
| WTAI Model | ||
|---|---|---|
| Main | Under | Full |
| 60.0% | 50.0% | 55.56% |
| Profit Model | ||
|---|---|---|
| Main | Under | Full |
| 60.0% | 75.0% | 66.67% |
| Plain Model | ||
|---|---|---|
| Main | Under | Full |
| 60.0% | 100.0% | 77.78% |
No parlays selected for this event.
The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Roman Dolidze, sporting a 12-2 record, showcases a potent mix of striking and grappling prowess. His recent record in the UFC is impressive, with notable victories over tough competitors like Jack Hermansson and Phil Hawes. Dolidze's ability to end fights with KO/TKO, as seen in his bouts against Hermansson, Hawes, and Kyle Daukaus, is a significant threat. His play-by-play against Hermansson and Hawes demonstrates a versatile striking game, backed by powerful leg kicks and a capacity for rapid transitions to submissions. However, his loss to Marvin Vettori highlights a potential vulnerability in decision scenarios where he can be outmaneuvered by strategic fighters.
Dolidze's stats reinforce his knockout ability with a high knockdown rate and significant striking accuracy. His takedown accuracy and defense are solid, and he's shown he can control opponents with clinch strikes. However, his striking defense percentage suggests some exposure to counterattacks.
Nassourdine Imavov enters the octagon with a 12-4-1 record, exhibiting a balanced skill set in striking and grappling. His recent fights, particularly against Chris Curtis and Sean Strickland, demonstrate his adaptability and resilience. The no contest against Curtis was unfortunate, but Imavov's control and submission attempts in that fight were notable. Against Strickland, Imavov showcased his ability to handle pressure from a heavier opponent, though he ultimately lost by decision.
Imavov's stats reveal a fighter who is more methodical and precise. His significant striking accuracy and defense are noteworthy, and his ability to mix up strikes and takedowns is evident. However, his lower takedown defense ratio could be a point of concern against a well-rounded opponent like Dolidze.
The upcoming bout between Dolidze and Imavov is an intriguing matchup of contrasting styles. Dolidze's aggressive striking and power, combined with his ground game, pose a real threat. Imavov, on the other hand, brings a more calculated approach, with an emphasis on precision striking and submission attempts.
Dolidze's strength lies in his ability to finish fights, as seen in his high knockdown and submission rates. His challenge will be to overcome Imavov's defensive strategies and find openings for his powerful strikes or takedowns.
Imavov needs to maintain his composure under Dolidze's pressure, utilizing his striking accuracy and defensive skills. Working to exploit Dolidze's lower striking defense could be key, along with avoiding the ground where Dolidze has shown dominance.
WolfTicketsAI's prediction for Imavov to win seems grounded in Imavov's ability to manage Dolidze's power and turn the fight into a more tactical battle. Given Dolidze's vulnerability in decision scenarios and Imavov's calculated approach, the prediction leans towards Imavov outmaneuvering Dolidze over the course of the fight. However, Dolidze's knockout power always poses a looming threat that could turn the tide at any moment.
Renato Moicano brings a stellar record to this fight, boasting a high win percentage and a skill set that makes him a formidable opponent in the lightweight division. Moicano's strength lies in his ground game, particularly his proficiency in submissions, as evidenced by his victories over Brad Riddell, Alexander Hernandez, and Jai Herbert, all by submission. His rear-naked choke is a standout weapon in his arsenal. However, Moicano's striking cannot be overlooked. Against Brad Riddell, Moicano displayed a well-rounded striking ability, including effective jabbing and a solid head kick that contributed to his win. His fight against Rafael Dos Anjos, though a loss, showed his resilience and ability to survive against a tough opponent. A concern for Moicano is his knockout losses to Rafael Fiziev and Chan Sung Jung, indicating a potential vulnerability in his stand-up defense.
Drew Dober, known for his knockout power, brings a contrasting style to this matchup. His recent KO/TKO wins over Ricky Glenn, Bobby Green, and Rafael Alves highlight his striking prowess. Dober's unique uppercut technique, which he successfully used against Glenn, demonstrates his ability to mix angles and power in his strikes. Dober’s boxing and Muay Thai skills are key aspects of his approach, making him dangerous in stand-up exchanges. However, his losses to Islam Makhachev and Beneil Dariush expose a gap in his grappling defense, which could be a critical factor against a submission specialist like Moicano. Dober's fight IQ and adaptability, as seen in his fights with McKinney and Alves, show his capability to adjust his strategy mid-fight, a crucial skill in high-level MMA.
The matchup between Moicano and Dober presents a classic striker vs. grappler scenario. Moicano's submission skills and improving striking make him a dual threat, while Dober's striking power and aggression make him dangerous at any moment. Moicano's strategy might involve utilizing his jab and kicks to manage distance before finding an opportunity to take the fight to the ground, where he has a significant advantage. Dober, on the other hand, will likely aim to keep the fight standing, using his striking to neutralize Moicano's takedown attempts. Dober's improved takedown defense will be crucial in this fight.
Given the contrasting styles and strengths of both fighters, WolfTicketsAI's prediction of a Moicano victory likely hinges on his superior ground game and ability to withstand strikes to close the distance. Moicano's ability to endure tough stand-up battles and still find ways to win, combined with his high submission rate, aligns with the prediction that he would emerge victorious in this lightweight clash. However, Dober's striking cannot be underestimated, and his power poses a constant threat to Moicano. This fight is poised to be a compelling contest between two skilled athletes at the top of their game in the lightweight division.
Randy Brown, known for his versatility and range management, employs a fighting style that leverages his physical attributes effectively. His striking, particularly the jab and combinations, helps him maintain distance, reminiscent of Jon Jones' dominance in stand-up. Brown’s performance against Wellington Turman showcased this prowess, with effective distance management and striking control.
However, Brown's recent loss to Jack Della Maddalena by submission highlights a potential vulnerability in his ground game. This loss, combined with his defeat against Vicente Luque, suggests a susceptibility to powerful strikers and proficient ground fighters. Despite this, Brown's ability to adapt mid-fight and learn from past fights contributes to his dynamic presence in the octagon.
Muslim Salikhov, "King of Kung Fu," brings a striking-centric approach to the octagon, rooted in Wushu Sanda. His dynamic arsenal includes spinning attacks and powerful kicks, posing a significant threat to opponents. Notably, Salikhov’s spinning hook kick knockouts underline his unpredictable and forceful striking ability.
However, Salikhov's losses, like the one to Nicolas Dalby, indicate that well-rounded fighters who can counter his striking with grappling and wrestling could exploit his style. His recent loss to Li Jingliang by KO/TKO also raises concerns about his defense against other powerful strikers.
In the upcoming clash between Randy Brown and Muslim Salikhov, the key battle will be between Brown’s range management and striking against Salikhov’s dynamic and powerful striking repertoire. Brown's strategy will likely involve using his jab and reach to keep Salikhov at bay, while Salikhov will look for opportunities to land his trademark spinning attacks and powerful strikes.
Both fighters have shown vulnerabilities in recent fights – Brown with his ground game and susceptibility to pressure, and Salikhov with his defense against other potent strikers. The outcome could hinge on whether Brown can effectively manage the distance or if Salikhov can close the gap and unleash his striking arsenal.
Considering the strengths and vulnerabilities of both fighters, Salikhov’s striking dynamism, particularly his ability to deliver fight-ending blows, gives him a slight edge over Brown. However, Brown’s adaptability and reach could pose significant challenges. The fight promises to be a compelling clash of styles, with the potential for a striking masterclass from both competitors.
Viviane Araujo, a seasoned combatant, boasts a rich blend of striking and grappling skills, underpinned by a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt. Her adaptability is a key asset, allowing her to switch seamlessly between striking and grappling. However, a tendency to absorb strikes could be a vulnerability, especially against a striker like Silva. Araujo's recent unanimous decision victories over Jennifer Maia and Andrea Lee showcase her ability to dominate with controlled aggression and strategic grappling. Conversely, her losses to fighters like Alexa Grasso and Jessica Eye reveal challenges in handling persistent strikers. Araujo's game plan against Natalia Silva will likely involve leveraging her grappling to counter Silva's striking prowess.
Natalia Silva shines with her dynamic and creative Muay Thai striking, characterized by agility and unconventional movements. Her striking versatility allows her to control the pace and range, a crucial advantage in this matchup. Silva's recent performances, including a decisive TKO victory over Victoria Leonardo, demonstrate her striking power and improved fight IQ. However, her potential vulnerability in grappling exchanges is an area Araujo might exploit. Silva's style, resembling fighters like Sean O'Malley or Conor McGregor, focuses on precision and timing. Her strategy against Araujo will likely center on maintaining distance and utilizing her striking to prevent Araujo from closing in for takedowns.
The upcoming bout between Araujo and Silva presents a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. Araujo's strategy will likely revolve around taking the fight to the ground, exploiting her superior grappling skills. Silva, on the other hand, will aim to keep the fight standing, using her striking to control the fight's tempo. Araujo's resilience and strategic adaptability will be tested against Silva's striking accuracy and agility. The key to victory for Araujo lies in successfully closing the distance and initiating grappling exchanges, while Silva will aim to maintain range and outstrike Araujo.
In this intriguing Women's Flyweight matchup, Natalia Silva's striking prowess, coupled with her ability to dictate the fight's pace, gives her a notable edge over Viviane Araujo. While Araujo's grappling and adaptability pose a significant threat, Silva's recent performances and striking improvements suggest she has the tools to control and win the fight. WolfTicketsAI's prediction favors Natalia Silva, reflecting her striking superiority and momentum in recent fights.
Molly McCann enters this fight with a solid track record in the UFC, showing a penchant for striking, particularly her boxing. Her aggressive style is both a sword and a shield, as it can lead to dominant performances or expose her to risks. McCann's recent fights reveal a mixed bag: impressive wins against Hannah Goldy and Luana Carolina via KO/TKO, but setbacks in grappling, as seen in her losses to Julija Stoliarenko and Erin Blanchfield by submission. McCann's grappling defense, especially against submissions, is a clear vulnerability.
McCann's boxing skills were on full display against Goldy and Carolina, where she effectively closed distance and delivered powerful combinations. However, against Blanchfield, McCann's eagerness to strike left her susceptible to takedowns and eventual submission. This pattern suggests McCann's need to balance her striking aggression with caution, especially against skilled grapplers.
Diana Belbita, known for her volume striking and dynamic arsenal, brings a different challenge to the octagon. Her striking focus, utilizing a blend of karate and kickboxing, sets her apart. Belbita's recent unanimous decision win against Maria Oliveira highlighted her ability to maintain pace and pressure, key elements in her strategy. However, her unanimous decision loss to Karolina Kowalkiewicz indicates potential struggles against technical strikers.
Belbita's aggressive style was evident in her bout against Oliveira, where she effectively used her jab and leg kicks. However, her loss to Gloria de Paula showcased a vulnerability in her defense, being outstruck and failing to adjust her game plan effectively.
McCann and Belbita have faced each other before, with McCann emerging victorious via unanimous decision. In that fight, McCann's pressure and ability to take the fight to the ground proved decisive. Belbita struggled to counter McCann's aggression, highlighting a gap in her grappling defense.
McCann's boxing and pressure are her greatest assets, but her grappling defense remains a concern. Belbita's volume striking and endurance can pose a threat, but she must beware of McCann's power and ability to dictate the fight's pace. McCann's previous victory over Belbita gives her a psychological edge, but Belbita's improvements since then can't be overlooked.
Considering McCann's striking prowess, aggression, and previous win over Belbita, WolfTicketsAI predicts her to win. However, Belbita's evolving skills and striking volume could make this a closely contested bout. McCann's key to victory will be using her boxing effectively while being cautious of Belbita's counters and potential takedown attempts. For Belbita, maintaining distance, utilizing her volume striking, and improving her grappling defense will be crucial. The fight is likely to be a striking affair, with McCann's power and experience giving her the edge.
Azat Maksum enters this fight as the favorite, and for good reason. With an impeccable record of 17 wins and zero losses, his UFC debut against Tyson Nam showcased his skills in a split decision victory. Maksum's striking was a key factor, consistently landing jabs and creating significant swelling on Nam's face, demonstrating precision and an ability to inflict cumulative damage over time. His strategy of constant jabs and occasional power shots, combined with a leg-kicking game, helped him control the range and pace. Despite a lack of knockdowns or submissions, his takedown attempts (11 attempted with 2 successful) and solid takedown defense (ratio of 1.0000) suggest a well-rounded skill set. Maksum's striking stats, including a striking defense percentage of 0.5950 and significant striking accuracy of 0.2434, indicate a fighter who's not only aggressive but also careful with his strikes.
Charles Johnson, with 13 wins and 6 losses, is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Rafael Estevam. Johnson's resilience is notable, particularly his ability to regain his vertical base effectively after takedowns, as seen in his fights against Estevam and Durden. This trait, stemming from his athletic background in track and field, enhances his defense against grappling-heavy opponents. His striking, while needing refinement, has moments of effectiveness, but he struggles against southpaws, as observed in his fight with Osbourne. Johnson's significant strike accuracy (0.5520) and striking defense percentage (0.4978) are decent, but his recent performance shows a need for improvement in striking exchanges. His recent fight history, with losses to Durden, Osbourne, and Mokaev, raises concerns about his ability to handle pressure from versatile fighters.
There is no previous fight between Azat Maksum and Charles Johnson.
Azat Maksum's debut fight against Tyson Nam revealed a fighter with a solid striking game and decent grappling. He effectively managed distance with jabs and leg kicks, showing a methodical approach to breaking down his opponent. His low takedown accuracy (0.1818) indicates room for improvement in wrestling, but his successful defense suggests he can handle grapplers.
Charles Johnson's recent fights, especially against Rafael Estevam, exhibit his tenacity and ability to withstand pressure. His ability to get back up from takedowns is impressive, but his striking seems less refined. Johnson's recent fight history indicates difficulty in dealing with opponents who can apply consistent pressure, both in striking and grappling.
Considering both fighters' strengths and weaknesses, Azat Maksum's precision striking and ability to control the fight's pace give him an edge over Charles Johnson. Maksum's methodical approach, combined with his solid takedown defense, positions him well against Johnson, who, while resilient, has shown vulnerabilities in his striking game and against persistent pressure. WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Azat Maksum winning is based on his undefeated record, striking accuracy, and his ability to dictate the fight's flow, capitalizing on Johnson's recent struggles in the octagon.
JeongYeong Lee demonstrates a robust fighting style, adept at handling aggressive opponents and maintaining composure under pressure. His split decision victory over Yizha is a testament to his resilience and strategic fighting. Notably, his ability to use a kimura for defense and quickly recover from takedowns showcases his ground game prowess. Lee's striking, particularly his jabs and uppercuts, is sharp, although he tends to absorb comparable amounts of head strikes. His significant strike defense to offense ratio indicates a balanced approach between attack and defense. A point of concern is his low takedown accuracy and defense ratio, which might be exploited by a grappling-heavy opponent.
Blake Bilder exhibits a dynamic striking game, evident in his unanimous decision win over Shane Young. His use of lateral movement, leg kicks, and jabs demonstrates his striking versatility. Bilder's willingness to engage in takedowns, as seen in his double-leg attempts, adds a layer of unpredictability to his game. However, his recent loss to Kyle Nelson by unanimous decision raises concerns about his ability to handle pressure from more experienced fighters. Despite a high strike landing rate, Bilder's significant striking accuracy and defense are areas of vulnerability. His takedown defense is strong, but his low takedown accuracy suggests a need for improvement in ground control.
The upcoming featherweight clash between JeongYeong Lee and Blake Bilder presents an intriguing matchup of contrasting styles. Lee's resilience and tactical approach, evidenced in his split decision victory over Yi, could be pivotal against Bilder's dynamic striking. Lee's ability to absorb and respond to strikes, coupled with his ground game, positions him as a formidable opponent. Bilder's striking prowess and movement are key, but he must be cautious of Lee's counter-striking ability.
Lee's relatively low takedown accuracy and defense could be an area for Bilder to exploit, using his wrestling background. However, Lee's quick recovery and defensive grappling skills, as seen in his fight against Yi, could neutralize Bilder's takedown attempts. Bilder's striking output and accuracy are commendable, but he needs to be wary of Lee's counter-striking, especially considering Lee's higher significant strike defense percentage.
The fight promises to be a tactical battle, with Lee's strategic approach pitted against Bilder's aggressive striking. Lee's resilience, coupled with his balanced striking and grappling, gives him a slight edge in this matchup. Bilder's dynamic offense will pose challenges, but his recent loss suggests vulnerabilities under pressure. Lee's ability to absorb and counter strikes effectively, along with his tactical ground game, positions him as the likely victor in this intriguing featherweight bout. WolfTicketsAI's prediction of JeongYeong Lee winning is rooted in his tactical adaptability and proven resilience in high-pressure fights.
Luana Carolina, known for her striking abilities and resilience, presents a unique challenge in the Women's Flyweight division. Her Muay Thai-based approach, marked by a variety of kicks and long punches, makes her a formidable striker. However, her grappling defense has been a weak point in the past, leading to difficulties in matchups against superior grapplers.
Recent Performance: Carolina's recent loss to Molly McCann by KO/TKO raises a red flag. This outcome, especially in the third round, suggests vulnerabilities in her defense against aggressive strikers and her stamina in later rounds. Her unanimous decision win over Loopy Godinez indicates her ability to handle pressure, but the split decision victory against Poliana Botelho and the loss to Ariane Lipski by submission underscore her struggles with consistent performance against diverse fighting styles.
Key Techniques: Carolina's use of teep kicks and roundhouse kicks to maintain distance and control the tempo has been a highlight of her strategy. Against Ivana Petrovic, despite the uncertainty of this fight's details, it's likely her striking played a key role. Her fight against Joanne Wood, though lacking detailed insights, would have tested her striking against a similarly skilled opponent.
Julija Stoliarenko brings a strong grappling background with a particular proficiency in Judo and arm bars. Her recent submission win over Molly McCann showcases her grappling expertise, using her reach advantage and a judo-influenced arm bar.
Recent Performance: Stoliarenko's mixed record in the UFC includes a recent KO/TKO loss to Chelsea Chandler, highlighting her vulnerability to powerful strikers. However, her wins by submission over Jessica-Rose Clark and Molly McCann demonstrate her ability to dominate on the ground. Her unanimous decision loss to Alexis Davis and a submission loss to Julia Avila point to challenges in her striking and overall MMA game.
Key Techniques: Stoliarenko's integration of improved striking with her formidable grappling skills was evident in her fight against McCann. Her judo background and armbar finishes are key components of her style, as seen in her victory over Clark.
In this upcoming fight, Carolina's striking against Stoliarenko's grappling will be the central theme. Carolina needs to maintain distance with her kicks and avoid the ground, where Stoliarenko's grappling could be decisive. Stoliarenko's recent improvements in striking could help her bridge the gap to initiate grappling exchanges.
The prediction leans towards Julija Stoliarenko, primarily due to her superior grappling skills and recent improvements in striking. Luana Carolina's striking prowess is formidable, but her grappling defense and recent KO/TKO loss suggest vulnerabilities that Stoliarenko can exploit. If Stoliarenko can manage the distance and take the fight to the ground, her chances of winning increase significantly. Conversely, Carolina will need to leverage her striking while improving her ground defense to counter Stoliarenko's grappling advantage.
Gilbert Urbina, with current odds at -210, shows a strong track record in the UFC. His impressive win over Orion Cosce by TKO in the second round is a testament to his capabilities in the welterweight class. In this fight, Urbina demonstrated a well-rounded skill set. His ability to dodge Cosce's strikes, effectively use knees and front kicks, and transition from striking to grappling is notable. His slam and control on the ground, coupled with a dangerous arm-triangle choke attempt, showcase his versatility. Urbina's striking, especially his jab and body shots, set up the finishing sequence with precision. However, his loss to Bryan Battle at middleweight by submission suggests a potential vulnerability in his ground game, particularly against strong grapplers.
Urbina's stats reflect a balanced fighter with a high striking output and significant takedown attempts per fight. His takedown accuracy and striking accuracy are solid, though his striking defense could be an area of concern. His recent performance shows a slight decline in striking impact and output differential, but his win percentage remains strong at 0.70.
Charles Radtke, entering with odds of +170, holds a record reflecting resilience and determination. His unanimous decision victory over Blood Diamond was marked by a strategic approach, utilizing effective clinch work and pressure. Radtke's ability to absorb and counter kicks, maintain pressure against the fence, and attempt multiple takedowns illustrates his grappling-oriented style. Despite some inactivity during clinches, Radtke's endurance and control were key factors in his victory.
Radtke's statistics indicate a fighter with a lower striking output compared to Urbina but with a strong focus on grappling. His takedown defense ratio and accuracy are noteworthy, although his striking accuracy and significant strike defense are areas for improvement. His recent performance shows a reliance on takedowns and control, with a less effective striking game.
In this matchup, Urbina's striking and agility contrast with Radtke's grappling and clinch work. Urbina's ability to land significant strikes and control the distance will be crucial. However, he must be cautious of Radtke's takedown attempts and clinch control. Radtke's strategy would likely involve closing the distance, utilizing the clinch, and seeking takedowns to neutralize Urbina's striking advantage.
Urbina's loss to Bryan Battle suggests a potential vulnerability to submission attacks, an aspect Radtke might exploit. On the other hand, Urbina's striking and takedown defense will be key in keeping the fight standing where he has the advantage. Radtke's lower striking output and significant strike defense could be detrimental if he fails to control the pace and position of the fight.
The fight between Gilbert Urbina and Charles Radtke is poised to be a classic striker versus grappler matchup. Urbina's striking prowess and improved ground game give him the edge, as predicted by WolfTicketsAI. Radtke's grappling and pressure fighting are formidable, but may not be enough to overcome Urbina's versatility and striking skills. The fight is likely to be decided by Urbina's ability to maintain distance and land significant strikes, countering Radtke's attempts to turn it into a grappling match.