Raoni Barcelos vs. Trevin Jones - UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Raoni Barcelos by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Raoni Barcelos
29
16
6.9
-260
Trevin Jones
+200

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Raoni Barcelos Trevin Jones
Main Stats
Age 35 32
Height 67" 67"
Reach 67" 70"
Win Percentage 84.21% 61.90%
Wins 17 13
Losses 3 9
Wins at Weight Class 4 1
Losses at Weight Class 2 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 55.18% 51.16%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.67% 42.56%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.116 4.692
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.978 2.900
Knockdowns per Fight 0.663 0.707
Striking Impact Differential 2.57% -30.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 4.43% -22.25%
Striking Output Differential -40.71% -23.75%
Significant Striking Output Differential -39.14% -18.75%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 128.26% 81.91%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 149.91% 123.58%
Striking Defense Percentage 61.39% 41.76%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.497 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.658 0.707
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.812 5.658
Takedown Defense 7.69% 40.00%
Takedown Accuracy 43.48% 12.50%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 4.630 1.674
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.856 5.352
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.514 2.641
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.564 0.589
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.807 0.802
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.182 1.462
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.785 0.637
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.906 0.660
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.939 0.896
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.332 0.212
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.387 0.212
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.343 0.849
Raoni Barcelos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 22, 2022 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Victor Henry Victor Henry
June 26, 2021 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Timur Valiev Timur Valiev
Nov. 7, 2020 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Khalid Taha Raoni Barcelos
Dec. 21, 2019 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Said Nurmagomedov Raoni Barcelos
May 11, 2019 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Carlos Huachin Raoni Barcelos
Nov. 30, 2018 Bantamweight Raoni Barcelos Chris Gutierrez Raoni Barcelos
July 14, 2018 Featherweight Kurt Holobaugh Raoni Barcelos Raoni Barcelos
Trevin Jones History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 12, 2022 Bantamweight Trevin Jones Javid Basharat Javid Basharat
Aug. 21, 2021 Bantamweight Trevin Jones Saidyokub Kakhramonov Saidyokub Kakhramonov
March 6, 2021 Bantamweight Mario Bautista Trevin Jones Trevin Jones
Aug. 22, 2020 Catch Weight Timur Valiev Trevin Jones None