Joaquim Silva vs. Jesse Ronson - UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Joaquim Silva by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Joaquim Silva
-143
Jesse Ronson
22
13
29.9
+103

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Joaquim Silva Jesse Ronson
Main Stats
Age 33 36
Height 68" 70"
Reach 69" 70"
Win Percentage 73.33% 65.63%
Wins 12 21
Losses 4 12
Wins at Weight Class 4 0
Losses at Weight Class 3 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 42.51% 49.29%
Significant Striking Accuracy 37.97% 47.90%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.889 3.592
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.896 3.366
Knockdowns per Fight 0.233 0.260
Striking Impact Differential -10.00% -12.60%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -6.00% 3.20%
Striking Output Differential -3.14% -23.60%
Significant Striking Output Differential -0.71% -5.20%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 120.00% 129.47%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 148.61% 130.41%
Striking Defense Percentage 56.01% 58.70%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.698 0.521
Takedowns per Fight 0.233 0.521
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.466 1.562
Takedown Defense 55.56% 75.00%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.421 1.700
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.272 4.893
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.306 1.961
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.071 0.763
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.521 1.145
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.683 0.746
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.404 0.902
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.466 0.989
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.559 0.382
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.357 0.260
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.574 0.451
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.559 0.364
Joaquim Silva History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 19, 2021 Lightweight Joaquim Silva Ricky Glenn Ricky Glenn
Aug. 3, 2019 Lightweight Joaquim Silva Nasrat Haqparast Nasrat Haqparast
Dec. 15, 2018 Lightweight Jared Gordon Joaquim Silva Joaquim Silva
Jan. 27, 2018 Lightweight Vinc Pichel Joaquim Silva Vinc Pichel
May 28, 2017 Lightweight Reza Madadi Joaquim Silva Joaquim Silva
July 8, 2016 Lightweight Joaquim Silva Andrew Holbrook Joaquim Silva
Sept. 5, 2015 Lightweight Joaquim Silva Nazareno Malegarie Joaquim Silva
Jesse Ronson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 16, 2022 Lightweight Rafa Garcia Jesse Ronson Rafa Garcia
July 25, 2020 Welterweight Nicolas Dalby Jesse Ronson None
July 6, 2014 Lightweight Jesse Ronson Kevin Lee Kevin Lee
Feb. 15, 2014 Lightweight Francisco Trinaldo Jesse Ronson Francisco Trinaldo
Sept. 21, 2013 Lightweight Michel Prazeres Jesse Ronson Michel Prazeres