Guido Cannetti vs. Randy Costa - UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Guido Cannetti by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Guido Cannetti
+235
Randy Costa
13
14
-2.7
-333

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Guido Cannetti Randy Costa
Main Stats
Age 42 28
Height 66" 69"
Reach 68" 73"
Win Percentage 56.25% 66.67%
Wins 10 6
Losses 7 4
Wins at Weight Class 3 2
Losses at Weight Class 5 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 59.55% 47.33%
Significant Striking Accuracy 55.30% 46.61%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.292 6.923
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.516 6.728
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 1.760
Striking Impact Differential -0.88% -14.60%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 4.88% -4.40%
Striking Output Differential -3.50% -30.40%
Significant Striking Output Differential 2.63% -19.80%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 75.09% 155.93%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 88.33% 159.30%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.33% 58.55%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.220 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.978 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.955 0.587
Takedown Defense 42.11% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.494 5.593
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 3.794 13.064
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.655 3.598
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.040 0.978
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.465 1.213
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.923 2.425
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.981 0.157
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.099 0.157
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.366 1.565
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.791 0.548
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.069 0.626
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.674 1.486
Guido Cannetti History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 12, 2022 Bantamweight Kris Moutinho Guido Cannetti Guido Cannetti
Aug. 28, 2021 Bantamweight Mana Martinez Guido Cannetti Mana Martinez
March 7, 2020 Bantamweight Batgerel Danaa Guido Cannetti Batgerel Danaa
Nov. 17, 2018 Bantamweight Guido Cannetti Marlon Vera Marlon Vera
May 19, 2018 Bantamweight Diego Rivas Guido Cannetti Guido Cannetti
Jan. 14, 2018 Bantamweight Kyung Ho Kang Guido Cannetti Kyung Ho Kang
Aug. 1, 2015 Bantamweight Hugo Viana Guido Cannetti Guido Cannetti
Nov. 15, 2014 Bantamweight Henry Briones Guido Cannetti Henry Briones
Randy Costa History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 11, 2021 Bantamweight Randy Costa Tony Kelley Tony Kelley
July 24, 2021 Bantamweight Adrian Yanez Randy Costa Adrian Yanez
Sept. 19, 2020 Bantamweight Journey Newson Randy Costa Randy Costa
Oct. 18, 2019 Bantamweight Randy Costa Boston Salmon Randy Costa
April 13, 2019 Bantamweight Brandon Davis Randy Costa Brandon Davis