Fatima Kline vs. Viktoriia Dudakova - UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Fatima Kline by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 778.00m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Weighted Score for WTAI Prediction

Predicted Winner: Fatima Kline

Weight Class: Women's Strawweight

Final Confidence: 21.6

Confidence Adjustments

Value: +20.0%

Reason: Base confidence between 14 and 21, increased by 20%

Value: -10.0%

Reason: Predicted winner is moving down in weight

Fighter History & Outcomes

Fatima Kline

Weight Change: Moving down in weight (from Women's Flyweight to Women's Strawweight)

Fight History:

  • July 13, 2024: Fatima Kline lost against Jasmine Jasudavicius. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
Viktoriia Dudakova

Weight Change: Staying at usual weight

Fight History:

  • August 3, 2024: Viktoriia Dudakova lost against Sam Hughes. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 30 - 27. 28 - 29.
  • October 21, 2023: Viktoriia Dudakova won against Jinh Yu Frey. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
  • July 15, 2023: Viktoriia Dudakova won against Istela Nunes. The fight ended in round 1 at 0:34. Method of victory: KO/TKO.

Fight Analysis

Analysis: Fatima Kline vs Viktoriia Dudakova

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Fatima Kline to Win

Score: 20 Odds: Fatima Kline: -860 Viktoriia Dudakova: 500

Fatima Kline's Breakdown

Fatima "The Archangel" Kline is an up-and-coming flyweight prospect known for her well-rounded skill set. With a background in jiu-jitsu that she started training at age 10, Kline has seamlessly integrated striking into her game to become a formidable threat both on the mat and standing.

In her most recent fight against Jasmine Jasudavicius, Kline showcased solid grappling, landing a takedown and defending well against Jasudavicius's attacks. While she ultimately lost a unanimous decision, the loss highlighted areas Kline can shore up, namely her striking output and ability to maintain a high pace for three full rounds.

At just 20 years old when she turned pro, Kline's ceiling remains high. Training at top-tier gyms like MK Muay Thai, Cordoba Wrestling Club and Silver Fox Jiu-Jitsu has equipped her with the technical tools to compete with the division's best. Look for Kline to lean on her grappling early to test Dudakova's takedown defense.

Viktoriia Dudakova's Breakdown

A talented prospect out of Russia, Viktoriia Dudakova brings an aggressive, well-rounded game built on a foundation of powerful striking and opportunistic grappling. "The Fury" pushes a relentless pace from the opening bell, overwhelming opponents with forward pressure and a diverse arsenal of attacks.

In her UFC debut against Istela Nunes, Dudakova's aggressiveness led to a freak injury for Nunes just 34 seconds into the fight. While an unfortunate ending, it highlighted Dudakova's ability to force the action and capitalize on openings. She followed that up with a unanimous decision over veteran Jinh Yu Frey, though she missed weight, indicating potential issues with her weight cut.

Most recently, Dudakova dropped a split decision to Sam Hughes in a back-and-forth battle. After starting strong with her powerful right hand and knees in the clinch, Dudakova faded late as Hughes rallied. The loss exposed a potential weakness in Dudakova's gas tank that opponents may look to exploit by dragging her into the later rounds.

Analysis and Key Points

  • Contrasting styles: This matchup pits Kline's grappling-centric approach against Dudakova's high-octane striking. Whoever can impose their preferred game plan will have a major edge.
  • Inexperience factor: With both women still relatively new to the UFC, composure in the spotlight could play a role. Kline has the benefit of cornering Erin Blanchfield before, so the bright lights may not faze her.
  • Pace and cardio concerns: If Dudakova comes out aggressively as she's prone to do, can Kline weather the early storm? On the flip side, can Dudakova maintain her typical pace for 15 minutes if Kline drags her into deep waters?
  • Dudakova's takedown defense: Opponents have found some success taking Dudakova down in the past. If Kline can get the fight to the mat, she could implement a grinding grappling game.

Understanding the Prediction

The model favors Fatima Kline to get the win here, and the odds reflect that, pegging her as a sizable favorite. Several factors are tipping the scales for Kline:

  • The odds: Kline's -860 line is likely a significant factor in the prediction, implying she's seen as a clear favorite.
  • Recent form: Kline has been on a roll lately, while Dudakova is coming off a loss to Hughes and has missed weight before. The model sees Kline's momentum as an important edge.
  • Key stat advantages: Metrics like significant striking defense percentage and striking impact lean towards Kline. At range, Kline may be able to sting Dudakova while avoiding damage herself.
  • Grappling upside: With a solid takedown game and dangerous submission skills, Kline has paths to victory on the mat. Dudakova's takedown attempts per fight is lower, hinting she may not want to grapple.

That said, Dudakova has some key advantages of her own: - Striking output: Dudakova tends to throw in higher volume, both in terms of overall and significant strikes landed per minute. If she can keep the fight standing, she could outland Kline over 15 minutes. - One-shot power: Dudakova's high knockdown rate indicates real fight-ending power in her hands. One clean shot could end Kline's night early.

Past Model Performance

WolfTicketsAI has no recorded past predictions for Fatima Kline.

For Viktoriia Dudakova, the model has a mixed track record: - Correctly predicted her win over Jinh Yu Frey with high confidence - Incorrectly picked her to beat Sam Hughes in a close fight

The limited prediction history adds uncertainty to this pick. With such a small sample size to gauge the model's performance, bettors should proceed with added caution, especially given the wide odds.

Conclusion

All in all, WolfTicketsAI projects Fatima Kline to emerge victorious over Viktoriia Dudakova, likely on the strength of her grappling superiority and slight striking advantages. However, Dudakova's power striking and aggressive style make her a live underdog capable of scoring the upset if she can land a fight-changing blow.

Given the lack of a substantial track record predicting these fighters, this shapes up as a potentially risky bet, despite what the odds suggest. Trend carefully and keep the stakes reasonable with this one. An evenly-matched scrap between two exciting up-and-comers awaits.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Fatima Kline Viktoriia Dudakova
Main Stats
Age 24 25
Height 66" 65"
Reach 67" 67"
Win Percentage 85.71% 88.89%
Wins 7 8
Losses 1 2
Wins at Weight Class 0 2
Losses at Weight Class 0 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 51.06% 54.96%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.15% 45.85%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.200 7.067
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.600 4.515
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.491
Striking Impact Differential -45.00% 3.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -1.00% -2.67%
Striking Output Differential -71.00% 8.67%
Significant Striking Output Differential -8.00% 0.33%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 150.00% 74.54%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 125.64% 111.59%
Striking Defense Percentage 55.06% 51.33%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.000 1.963
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.000 6.870
Takedown Defense 200.00% 50.00%
Takedown Accuracy 100.00% 28.57%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.133 3.043
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.867 7.983
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.667 3.173
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.333 1.407
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.400 1.799
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.600 1.080
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.133 0.065
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.133 0.065
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.400 0.523
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.200 0.818
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.267 1.112
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.267 0.294
Fatima Kline History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 13, 2024 Women's Flyweight Jasmine Jasudavicius Fatima Kline Jasmine Jasudavicius
Viktoriia Dudakova History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 3, 2024 Women's Strawweight Viktoriia Dudakova Sam Hughes Sam Hughes
Oct. 21, 2023 Women's Strawweight Viktoriia Dudakova Jinh Yu Frey Viktoriia Dudakova
July 15, 2023 Women's Strawweight Viktoriia Dudakova Istela Nunes Viktoriia Dudakova