Natalia Silva vs. Victoria Leonardo - UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Natalia Silva by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 7.00m
Weight Class: Women's Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Natalia Silva
33
26
25
-9.7
-800
Victoria Leonardo
+525

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Natalia Silva Victoria Leonardo
Main Stats
Age 26 33
Height 64" 65"
Reach 65" 64"
Win Percentage 73.68% 64.29%
Wins 15 9
Losses 5 6
Wins at Weight Class 2 1
Losses at Weight Class 0 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 60.26% 45.25%
Significant Striking Accuracy 54.86% 35.11%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.881 4.746
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.331 2.900
Knockdowns per Fight 0.567 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 58.50% -25.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 46.00% -25.33%
Striking Output Differential 65.50% -6.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential 54.50% -10.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 58.24% 86.42%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 70.21% 140.40%
Striking Defense Percentage 66.89% 44.27%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.134 0.879
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.403 4.395
Takedown Defense 8.33% 40.00%
Takedown Accuracy 33.33% 20.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.062 1.231
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.070 5.772
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.756 2.900
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.945 0.996
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.248 1.582
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.945 1.172
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.323 0.674
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.399 0.908
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.151 1.055
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.076 0.527
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.151 0.703
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.340 0.967
Natalia Silva History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 19, 2022 Women's Flyweight Natalia Silva Tereza Bleda Natalia Silva
June 18, 2022 Women's Flyweight Jasmine Jasudavicius Natalia Silva Natalia Silva
Victoria Leonardo History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 23, 2022 Women's Flyweight Mandy Bohm Victoria Leonardo Victoria Leonardo
Aug. 7, 2021 Women's Flyweight Victoria Leonardo Melissa Gatto Melissa Gatto
Jan. 20, 2021 Women's Flyweight Victoria Leonardo Manon Fiorot Manon Fiorot