Andre Fialho vs. Joaquin Buckley - UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 7.00m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Andre Fialho
15
38.7
+174
Joaquin Buckley
0
14
-213

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Andre Fialho Joaquin Buckley
Main Stats
Age 29 29
Height 72" 70"
Reach 74" 76"
Win Percentage 72.73% 71.43%
Wins 16 16
Losses 7 6
Wins at Weight Class 2 0
Losses at Weight Class 3 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 41.43% 35.01%
Significant Striking Accuracy 38.86% 32.58%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.564 4.324
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.171 3.867
Knockdowns per Fight 0.737 1.055
Striking Impact Differential -26.80% -0.22%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -24.80% 3.22%
Striking Output Differential -32.00% 32.22%
Significant Striking Output Differential -28.60% 38.22%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 159.31% 106.50%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 172.09% 111.52%
Striking Defense Percentage 46.74% 55.01%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 1.231
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 4.043
Takedown Defense 40.00% 50.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 30.43%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.311 2.004
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.055 8.977
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.589 2.168
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.418 1.324
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.615 2.238
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.721 0.785
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.442 0.539
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.492 0.656
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.910 0.574
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.369 0.305
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.442 0.457
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.369 0.258
Andre Fialho History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 19, 2022 Welterweight Andre Fialho Muslim Salikhov Muslim Salikhov
June 11, 2022 Welterweight Andre Fialho Jake Matthews Jake Matthews
May 7, 2022 Welterweight Andre Fialho Cameron VanCamp Andre Fialho
April 16, 2022 Welterweight Miguel Baeza Andre Fialho Andre Fialho
Jan. 22, 2022 Welterweight Michel Pereira Andre Fialho Michel Pereira
Joaquin Buckley History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 10, 2022 Middleweight Chris Curtis Joaquin Buckley Chris Curtis
Sept. 3, 2022 Middleweight Nassourdine Imavov Joaquin Buckley Nassourdine Imavov
June 18, 2022 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Albert Duraev Joaquin Buckley
Feb. 19, 2022 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Abdul Razak Alhassan Joaquin Buckley
Sept. 18, 2021 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Antonio Arroyo Joaquin Buckley
Jan. 16, 2021 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Alessio Di Chirico Alessio Di Chirico
Nov. 21, 2020 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Jordan Wright Joaquin Buckley
Oct. 10, 2020 Middleweight Impa Kasanganay Joaquin Buckley Joaquin Buckley
Aug. 8, 2020 Middleweight Kevin Holland Joaquin Buckley Kevin Holland