Nate Maness vs. Mateus Mendonca - UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Nate Maness by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Nate Maness
17
+210
Mateus Mendonca
16
2
4.1
-258

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Nate Maness Mateus Mendonca
Main Stats
Age 32 24
Height 70" 66"
Reach 72" 71"
Win Percentage 82.35% 90.91%
Wins 15 10
Losses 3 2
Wins at Weight Class 0 0
Losses at Weight Class 1 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 70.75% 52.63%
Significant Striking Accuracy 42.72% 32.95%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.025 4.667
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.943 1.933
Knockdowns per Fight 0.641 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -8.80% -55.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -25.40% -66.00%
Striking Output Differential -15.00% -31.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -30.80% -42.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 50.76% 55.71%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 163.74% 120.69%
Striking Defense Percentage 40.60% 26.92%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.320 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.961 2.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.281 11.000
Takedown Defense 31.82% 150.00%
Takedown Accuracy 75.00% 18.18%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.388 1.400
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 3.908 4.800
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.989 4.133
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.491 0.200
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.577 0.400
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.068 1.667
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.064 0.333
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.064 0.667
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.598 0.533
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.406 0.133
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.491 0.133
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.769 0.667
Nate Maness History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 5, 2022 Flyweight Tagir Ulanbekov Nate Maness Tagir Ulanbekov
June 25, 2022 Bantamweight Nate Maness Umar Nurmagomedov Umar Nurmagomedov
Sept. 18, 2021 Bantamweight Nate Maness Tony Gravely Nate Maness
Nov. 28, 2020 Catch Weight Luke Sanders Nate Maness Nate Maness
Aug. 1, 2020 Featherweight Johnny Munoz Nate Maness Nate Maness
Mateus Mendonca History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 14, 2023 Bantamweight Javid Basharat Mateus Mendonca Javid Basharat