The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Alexander Hernandez | Bill Algeo | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 31 | 34 | 31 | |
| Height | 69" | 72" | 69" | |
| Reach | 72" | 73" | 71" | |
| Win Percentage | 70.00% | 70.83% | 79.63% | |
| Wins | 14 | 18 | ||
| Losses | 7 | 7 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 0 | 4 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 3 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 44.26% | 63.97% | 49.65% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 40.75% | 53.86% | 43.40% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.357 | 8.746 | 5.295 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.570 | 5.277 | 3.713 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.460 | 0.170 | 0.357 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 0.82% | 54.57% | 4.24% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 0.36% | 18.86% | 2.44% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 7.82% | 68.43% | 7.46% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 6.73% | 29.57% | 5.06% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 111.26% | 43.80% | 84.62% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 129.75% | 69.59% | 107.46% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 56.70% | 49.24% | 48.45% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.153 | 0.170 | 0.644 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.380 | 1.017 | 1.456 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.294 | 2.034 | 4.110 | |
| Takedown Defense | 58.33% | 84.62% | 79.46% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 32.14% | 50.00% | 34.75% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.454 | 3.198 | 2.336 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.913 | 6.893 | 6.108 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.975 | 2.486 | 2.286 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.493 | 1.175 | 0.815 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 2.443 | 1.853 | 1.172 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.910 | 0.701 | 0.945 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.624 | 0.904 | 0.562 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.859 | 1.051 | 0.683 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.644 | 0.599 | 0.555 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.593 | 0.667 | 0.444 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.838 | 0.848 | 0.603 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.613 | 0.452 | 0.589 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 18, 2023 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Alexander Hernandez | Alexander Hernandez | |
| Dec. 10, 2022 | Featherweight | Billy Quarantillo | Alexander Hernandez | Billy Quarantillo | |
| Feb. 12, 2022 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Renato Moicano | Renato Moicano | |
| Oct. 2, 2021 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Mike Breeden | Alexander Hernandez | |
| Feb. 27, 2021 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Thiago Moises | Thiago Moises | |
| Oct. 31, 2020 | Lightweight | Chris Gruetzemacher | Alexander Hernandez | Alexander Hernandez | |
| May 13, 2020 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Drew Dober | Drew Dober | |
| July 20, 2019 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Francisco Trinaldo | Alexander Hernandez | |
| Jan. 19, 2019 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Donald Cerrone | Donald Cerrone | |
| July 28, 2018 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | Alexander Hernandez | |
| March 3, 2018 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Alexander Hernandez | Alexander Hernandez |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 15, 2023 | Featherweight | Bill Algeo | TJ Brown | Bill Algeo | |
| Sept. 17, 2022 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Bill Algeo | Andre Fili | |
| July 16, 2022 | Featherweight | Bill Algeo | Herbert Burns | Bill Algeo | |
| Jan. 15, 2022 | Featherweight | Bill Algeo | Joanderson Brito | Bill Algeo | |
| May 22, 2021 | Featherweight | Ricardo Ramos | Bill Algeo | Ricardo Ramos | |
| Nov. 28, 2020 | Featherweight | Spike Carlyle | Bill Algeo | Bill Algeo | |
| Aug. 29, 2020 | Featherweight | Ricardo Lamas | Bill Algeo | Ricardo Lamas |