Henry Cejudo vs. Song Yadong - UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Song Yadong by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Seattle, Washington, USA
Elevation: 54.00m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted
Henry Cejudo
10
8
200
Song Yadong
12
-265

Weighted Scoring Report

Weighted Score for WTAI Prediction

Predicted Winner: Song Yadong

Weight Class: Bantamweight

Final Confidence: 13.2

Confidence Adjustments

Value: +10.0%

Reason: Base confidence between 10 and 13, increased by 10%

Fighter History & Outcomes

Henry Cejudo

Weight Change: Staying at usual weight

Fight History:

  • February 17, 2024: Henry Cejudo lost against Merab Dvalishvili. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
  • May 6, 2023: Henry Cejudo lost against Aljamain Sterling. The fight ended in round 5 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 47 - 48. 48 - 47. 47 - 48.
  • May 9, 2020: Henry Cejudo won against Dominick Cruz. The fight ended in round 2 at 4:58. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • June 8, 2019: Henry Cejudo won against Marlon Moraes. The fight ended in round 3 at 4:51. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • January 19, 2019: Henry Cejudo won against TJ Dillashaw. The fight ended in round 1 at 0:32. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • August 4, 2018: Henry Cejudo won against Demetrious Johnson. The fight ended in round 5 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 47 - 48. 48 - 47. 47 - 48.
  • December 2, 2017: Henry Cejudo won against Sergio Pettis. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
  • September 9, 2017: Henry Cejudo won against Wilson Reis. The fight ended in round 2 at 0:25. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • December 3, 2016: Henry Cejudo lost against Joseph Benavidez. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 29 - 27. 26 - 30. 27 - 29.
  • April 23, 2016: Henry Cejudo lost against Demetrious Johnson. The fight ended in round 1 at 2:49. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • November 21, 2015: Henry Cejudo won against Jussier Formiga. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 29 - 28.
  • June 13, 2015: Henry Cejudo won against Chico Camus. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
  • March 14, 2015: Henry Cejudo won against Chris Cariaso. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
  • December 13, 2014: Henry Cejudo won against Dustin Kimura. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
Song Yadong

Weight Change: Staying at usual weight

Fight History:

  • March 9, 2024: Song Yadong lost against Petr Yan. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
  • December 9, 2023: Song Yadong won against Chris Gutierrez. The fight ended in round 5 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 44 - 50. 45 - 50. 45 - 50.
  • April 29, 2023: Song Yadong won against Ricky Simon. The fight ended in round 5 at 1:10. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • September 17, 2022: Song Yadong lost against Cory Sandhagen. The fight ended in round 4 at 5:00. Method of victory: TKO - Doctor's Stoppage.
  • March 12, 2022: Song Yadong won against Marlon Moraes. The fight ended in round 1 at 2:06. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • November 13, 2021: Song Yadong won against Julio Arce. The fight ended in round 2 at 1:35. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • August 7, 2021: Song Yadong won against Casey Kenney. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 28 - 29. 29 - 28.
  • March 6, 2021: Song Yadong lost against Kyler Phillips. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
  • May 16, 2020: Song Yadong won against Marlon Vera. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
  • December 7, 2019: Song Yadong had an inconclusive result against Cody Stamann. The fight went the distance (3 Rnd (5-5-5)). Additional details: 27 - 29. 28 - 28. 28 - 28.
  • July 6, 2019: Song Yadong won against Alejandro Perez. The fight ended in round 1 at 2:04. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • November 24, 2018: Song Yadong won against Vince Morales. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
  • June 23, 2018: Song Yadong won against Felipe Arantes. The fight ended in round 2 at 4:59. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • November 25, 2017: Song Yadong won against Bharat Kandare. The fight ended in round 1 at 4:16. Method of victory: Submission.

Fight Analysis

Analysis: Henry Cejudo vs Song Yadong

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Song Yadong to Win

Score: 12
Odds:
Henry Cejudo: +200
Song Yadong: -265

Henry Cejudo's Breakdown

Cejudo is a seasoned veteran with a strong wrestling foundation, known for controlling fight pace with precise takedowns and clinches. His performance against Merab Dvalishvili in February 2024 highlighted his adaptability, showing effective leg kicks to manage distance and clinch work to control rhythm, although he suffered a unanimous decision loss. Against Aljamain Sterling in May 2023, Cejudo's snap-down and inside trips were notable but unable to secure victory. Despite a storied past, Cejudo has lost his last two fights and faces challenges maintaining his comeback momentum.

Song Yadong's Breakdown

Yadong stands out with explosive striking and has been refining his defensive game. His recent unanimous decision win over Chris Gutierrez in December 2023 demonstrated his effective counters against leg kicks, while his knockout over Ricky Simon in April 2023 displayed his precision under pressure. Furthermore, Yadong showed resilience against top strikers like Cory Sandhagen, indicating improved tactical adaptability. He frequently employs powerful counters and maintains a high pace throughout fights, leveraging his dynamic footwork and striking forte.

Analysis and Key Points

  • Explosive Strikes vs. Tactical Prowess: Yadong's quick and powerful strikes can unsettle Cejudo's calculated approach.
  • Cejudo's Clinch Mastery: Potential to neutralize Yadong’s explosive starts, but recent performance indicates struggles with sustained high output.
  • Recent Trends: Cejudo's recent form (losing 2 out of last 3 fights) contrasts with Yadong's ability to secure KO/TKO in high-pressure situations.

Understanding the Prediction

  • Recent Takedowns Attempted per Fight (+5.0): Yadong's ability to outlast and adapt in fights enhances confidence in his victory.
  • Recent Win Percentage (-3.0): Cejudo's recent losses impact his favorability.
  • Striking Impact Differential: Both fighters show resilience, but Yadong’s recent output affects the confidence tilt.

Past Model Performance

WolfTicketsAI accurately predicted four out of the last five outcomes involving Song Yadong, indicating a reliable track record with his fights. However, the unpredictability was noted when Ricky Simon was favored incorrectly, pointing to Yadong’s capability of overcoming odds. With Cejudo, the model's predictions have consistently flagged his decline, recently misjudging Dvalishvili yet correctly siding against him with Sterling.

Conclusion

Emerging with a clear momentum and a refined striking arsenal, Song Yadong is tipped to overpower Henry Cejudo in this matchup. WolfTicketsAI’s analysis leans towards Yadong's explosiveness and defensive improvements as decisive factors, reaffirming the predicted winner with confidence.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Henry Cejudo Song Yadong
Main Stats
Age 38 27
Height 64" 68"
Reach 64" 67"
Win Percentage 80.00% 75.00%
Wins 16 22
Losses 5 7
Wins at Weight Class 1 8
Losses at Weight Class 1 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 55.13% 50.00%
Significant Striking Accuracy 46.78% 43.53%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.531 6.166
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.770 4.493
Knockdowns per Fight 0.398 0.580
Striking Impact Differential 11.79% 13.21%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 6.43% 6.86%
Striking Output Differential 3.64% 26.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential -3.57% 17.07%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 92.33% 83.35%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 133.47% 112.16%
Striking Defense Percentage 60.45% 55.98%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.159 0.166
Takedowns per Fight 1.989 0.662
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 6.125 1.656
Takedown Defense 32.26% 38.10%
Takedown Accuracy 32.47% 40.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.036 2.870
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.807 8.081
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.686 2.318
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.156 0.894
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.543 1.314
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.917 0.767
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.578 0.729
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.711 0.927
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.689 0.878
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.795 0.298
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.198 0.414
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.488 0.210
Henry Cejudo History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 17, 2024 Bantamweight Merab Dvalishvili Henry Cejudo Merab Dvalishvili
May 6, 2023 UFC Bantamweight Title Aljamain Sterling Henry Cejudo Aljamain Sterling
May 9, 2020 UFC Bantamweight Title Henry Cejudo Dominick Cruz Henry Cejudo
June 8, 2019 UFC Bantamweight Title Henry Cejudo Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo
Jan. 19, 2019 UFC Flyweight Title Henry Cejudo TJ Dillashaw Henry Cejudo
Aug. 4, 2018 UFC Flyweight Title Demetrious Johnson Henry Cejudo Henry Cejudo
Dec. 2, 2017 Flyweight Henry Cejudo Sergio Pettis Henry Cejudo
Sept. 9, 2017 Flyweight Henry Cejudo Wilson Reis Henry Cejudo
Dec. 3, 2016 Flyweight Joseph Benavidez Henry Cejudo Joseph Benavidez
April 23, 2016 UFC Flyweight Title Demetrious Johnson Henry Cejudo Demetrious Johnson
Nov. 21, 2015 Flyweight Jussier Formiga Henry Cejudo Henry Cejudo
June 13, 2015 Flyweight Henry Cejudo Chico Camus Henry Cejudo
March 14, 2015 Flyweight Chris Cariaso Henry Cejudo Henry Cejudo
Dec. 13, 2014 Bantamweight Henry Cejudo Dustin Kimura Henry Cejudo
Song Yadong History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 9, 2024 Bantamweight Petr Yan Song Yadong Petr Yan
Dec. 9, 2023 Bantamweight Song Yadong Chris Gutierrez Song Yadong
April 29, 2023 Bantamweight Song Yadong Ricky Simon Song Yadong
Sept. 17, 2022 Bantamweight Cory Sandhagen Song Yadong Cory Sandhagen
March 12, 2022 Bantamweight Marlon Moraes Song Yadong Song Yadong
Nov. 13, 2021 Bantamweight Song Yadong Julio Arce Song Yadong
Aug. 7, 2021 Bantamweight Song Yadong Casey Kenney Song Yadong
March 6, 2021 Bantamweight Song Yadong Kyler Phillips Kyler Phillips
May 16, 2020 Featherweight Song Yadong Marlon Vera Song Yadong
Dec. 7, 2019 Bantamweight Cody Stamann Song Yadong None
July 6, 2019 Bantamweight Alejandro Perez Song Yadong Song Yadong
Nov. 24, 2018 Bantamweight Song Yadong Vince Morales Song Yadong
June 23, 2018 Bantamweight Felipe Arantes Song Yadong Song Yadong
Nov. 25, 2017 Featherweight Song Yadong Bharat Kandare Song Yadong