The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Jake Matthews | Matthew Semelsberger | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 28 | 30 | 33 | |
| Height | 71" | 73" | 72" | |
| Reach | 73" | 75" | 74" | |
| Win Percentage | 78.26% | 71.43% | 78.28% | |
| Wins | 18 | 11 | ||
| Losses | 6 | 4 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 7 | 4 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 2 | 2 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 54.40% | 45.96% | 52.71% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 45.46% | 43.45% | 46.79% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.704 | 5.552 | 5.805 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.166 | 4.990 | 4.363 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.420 | 0.992 | 0.719 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 5.31% | -13.00% | 4.44% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 11.06% | -1.83% | 2.07% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 5.19% | -15.33% | 5.12% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 13.94% | -2.00% | 2.45% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 84.07% | 121.73% | 95.24% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 111.84% | 130.46% | 117.66% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 61.94% | 55.73% | 54.03% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.587 | 0.248 | 0.553 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.846 | 0.992 | 1.286 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.447 | 0.992 | 3.723 | |
| Takedown Defense | 50.00% | 57.14% | 67.31% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 41.51% | 100.00% | 38.09% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.428 | 3.123 | 2.876 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.890 | 9.039 | 7.273 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.398 | 3.652 | 2.541 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.386 | 0.876 | 0.816 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.649 | 1.322 | 1.181 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.358 | 0.694 | 0.804 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.352 | 0.992 | 0.672 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.425 | 1.124 | 0.790 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.420 | 0.826 | 0.660 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.235 | 0.331 | 0.433 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.347 | 0.446 | 0.603 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.375 | 0.198 | 0.391 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 11, 2022 | Welterweight | Andre Fialho | Jake Matthews | Jake Matthews | |
| March 6, 2021 | Welterweight | Sean Brady | Jake Matthews | Sean Brady | |
| Sept. 26, 2020 | Welterweight | Diego Sanchez | Jake Matthews | Jake Matthews | |
| Feb. 22, 2020 | Welterweight | Jake Matthews | Emil Meek | Jake Matthews | |
| Oct. 5, 2019 | Welterweight | Jake Matthews | Rostem Akman | Jake Matthews | |
| Dec. 1, 2018 | Welterweight | Jake Matthews | Anthony Rocco Martin | Anthony Rocco Martin | |
| June 23, 2018 | Welterweight | Shinsho Anzai | Jake Matthews | Jake Matthews | |
| Feb. 10, 2018 | Welterweight | Jake Matthews | Li Jingliang | Jake Matthews | |
| Nov. 18, 2017 | Welterweight | Jake Matthews | Bojan Velickovic | Jake Matthews | |
| Nov. 26, 2016 | Lightweight | Jake Matthews | Andrew Holbrook | Andrew Holbrook | |
| July 8, 2016 | Lightweight | Jake Matthews | Kevin Lee | Kevin Lee | |
| March 19, 2016 | Lightweight | Jake Matthews | Johnny Case | Jake Matthews | |
| Nov. 14, 2015 | Lightweight | Jake Matthews | Akbarh Arreola | Jake Matthews | |
| May 9, 2015 | Lightweight | Jake Matthews | James Vick | James Vick | |
| Nov. 7, 2014 | Lightweight | Jake Matthews | Vagner Rocha | Jake Matthews | |
| June 28, 2014 | Lightweight | Jake Matthews | Dashon Johnson | Jake Matthews |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 30, 2022 | Welterweight | Alex Morono | Matthew Semelsberger | Alex Morono | |
| March 12, 2022 | Welterweight | Matthew Semelsberger | AJ Fletcher | Matthew Semelsberger | |
| Sept. 25, 2021 | Welterweight | Matthew Semelsberger | Martin Sano | Matthew Semelsberger | |
| June 19, 2021 | Welterweight | Khaos Williams | Matthew Semelsberger | Khaos Williams | |
| March 13, 2021 | Welterweight | Matthew Semelsberger | Jason Witt | Matthew Semelsberger | |
| Aug. 22, 2020 | Welterweight | Carlton Minus | Matthew Semelsberger | Matthew Semelsberger |