Arman Tsarukyan vs. Damir Ismagulov - UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Arman Tsarukyan by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Arman Tsarukyan
19
10.4
-220
Damir Ismagulov
14
+155

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Arman Tsarukyan Damir Ismagulov
Main Stats
Age 26 31
Height 67" 70"
Reach 72" 74"
Win Percentage 85.71% 96.00%
Wins 19 24
Losses 3 2
Wins at Weight Class 5 5
Losses at Weight Class 2 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.76% 51.84%
Significant Striking Accuracy 45.44% 42.76%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.599 6.187
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.762 4.053
Knockdowns per Fight 0.319 0.200
Striking Impact Differential 42.71% 50.20%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 25.57% 22.40%
Striking Output Differential 78.71% 70.20%
Significant Striking Output Differential 56.71% 37.80%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 35.59% 71.34%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 58.47% 108.55%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.19% 63.22%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 2.710 1.400
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 8.130 5.000
Takedown Defense 33.33% 10.00%
Takedown Accuracy 33.33% 28.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.338 2.240
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.408 6.920
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.297 1.280
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.914 1.200
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.265 1.853
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.446 0.653
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.510 0.613
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.606 0.707
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.117 0.627
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.276 0.107
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.404 0.187
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.255 0.333
Arman Tsarukyan History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 25, 2022 Lightweight Arman Tsarukyan Mateusz Gamrot Mateusz Gamrot
Feb. 26, 2022 Lightweight Arman Tsarukyan Joel Alvarez Arman Tsarukyan
Sept. 18, 2021 Lightweight Arman Tsarukyan Christos Giagos Arman Tsarukyan
Jan. 23, 2021 Lightweight Arman Tsarukyan Matt Frevola Arman Tsarukyan
July 18, 2020 Lightweight Davi Ramos Arman Tsarukyan Arman Tsarukyan
July 27, 2019 Lightweight Olivier Aubin-Mercier Arman Tsarukyan Arman Tsarukyan
April 20, 2019 Lightweight Islam Makhachev Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev
Damir Ismagulov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 18, 2022 Lightweight Damir Ismagulov Guram Kutateladze Damir Ismagulov
May 22, 2021 Lightweight Rafael Alves Damir Ismagulov Damir Ismagulov
Aug. 31, 2019 Lightweight Damir Ismagulov Thiago Moises Damir Ismagulov
Feb. 23, 2019 Lightweight Damir Ismagulov Joel Alvarez Damir Ismagulov
Dec. 1, 2018 Lightweight Alex Gorgees Damir Ismagulov Damir Ismagulov