The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Alex Caceres | Julian Erosa | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 34 | 33 | 31 | |
| Height | 70" | 73" | 69" | |
| Reach | 73" | 74" | 71" | |
| Win Percentage | 59.38% | 73.68% | 79.25% | |
| Wins | 20 | 28 | ||
| Losses | 13 | 11 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 9 | 3 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 7 | 4 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 54.91% | 53.03% | 52.03% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 51.02% | 48.37% | 45.34% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.970 | 7.578 | 5.439 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.154 | 6.120 | 3.839 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.192 | 0.141 | 0.514 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 10.31% | -2.55% | 3.66% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 14.88% | -0.64% | 1.67% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -6.73% | 2.00% | 7.07% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | -0.38% | 4.55% | 4.59% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 110.62% | 82.38% | 93.83% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 126.56% | 98.00% | 118.19% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 64.32% | 49.23% | 52.09% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.768 | 0.705 | 0.843 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.576 | 1.833 | 1.495 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 0.816 | 3.667 | 4.010 | |
| Takedown Defense | 55.84% | 62.50% | 78.45% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 70.59% | 50.00% | 38.47% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.690 | 3.939 | 2.390 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 6.230 | 9.712 | 6.383 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.695 | 4.607 | 2.392 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.956 | 1.645 | 0.860 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.289 | 2.303 | 1.253 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.521 | 0.818 | 0.915 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.509 | 0.536 | 0.589 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.624 | 0.639 | 0.716 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.700 | 0.762 | 0.573 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.365 | 1.053 | 0.435 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.496 | 1.485 | 0.603 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.208 | 0.733 | 0.537 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 12, 2022 | Featherweight | Sodiq Yusuff | Alex Caceres | Sodiq Yusuff | |
| Oct. 23, 2021 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | SeungWoo Choi | Alex Caceres | |
| Feb. 27, 2021 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | Kevin Croom | Alex Caceres | |
| Aug. 29, 2020 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | Austin Springer | Alex Caceres | |
| June 6, 2020 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | Chase Hooper | Alex Caceres | |
| July 20, 2019 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | Steven Peterson | Alex Caceres | |
| Feb. 17, 2019 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | Kron Gracie | Kron Gracie | |
| July 6, 2018 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | Martin Bravo | Alex Caceres | |
| Nov. 25, 2017 | Featherweight | Wang Guan | Alex Caceres | Wang Guan | |
| June 17, 2017 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | Rolando Dy | Alex Caceres | |
| Jan. 28, 2017 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | Jason Knight | Jason Knight | |
| Aug. 6, 2016 | Featherweight | Yair Rodriguez | Alex Caceres | Yair Rodriguez | |
| June 4, 2016 | Featherweight | Cole Miller | Alex Caceres | Alex Caceres | |
| Jan. 30, 2016 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | Masio Fullen | Alex Caceres | |
| June 6, 2015 | Bantamweight | Francisco Rivera | Alex Caceres | Francisco Rivera | |
| Sept. 20, 2014 | Bantamweight | Alex Caceres | Masanori Kanehara | Masanori Kanehara | |
| July 5, 2014 | Bantamweight | Urijah Faber | Alex Caceres | Urijah Faber | |
| Jan. 25, 2014 | Bantamweight | Alex Caceres | Sergio Pettis | Alex Caceres | |
| Sept. 21, 2013 | Bantamweight | Roland Delorme | Alex Caceres | Alex Caceres | |
| March 2, 2013 | Bantamweight | Alex Caceres | Kyung Ho Kang | None | |
| Nov. 10, 2012 | Bantamweight | Alex Caceres | Motonobu Tezuka | Alex Caceres | |
| July 11, 2012 | Bantamweight | Damacio Page | Alex Caceres | Alex Caceres | |
| Feb. 4, 2012 | Bantamweight | Alex Caceres | Edwin Figueroa | Edwin Figueroa | |
| Nov. 12, 2011 | Bantamweight | Alex Caceres | Cole Escovedo | Alex Caceres | |
| Aug. 14, 2011 | Featherweight | Jimy Hettes | Alex Caceres | Jimy Hettes | |
| March 26, 2011 | Featherweight | Alex Caceres | Mackens Semerzier | Mackens Semerzier |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 10, 2022 | Featherweight | Hakeem Dawodu | Julian Erosa | Julian Erosa | |
| Feb. 5, 2022 | Featherweight | Julian Erosa | Steven Peterson | Julian Erosa | |
| Sept. 4, 2021 | Catch Weight | Julian Erosa | Charles Jourdain | Julian Erosa | |
| June 19, 2021 | Featherweight | Julian Erosa | SeungWoo Choi | SeungWoo Choi | |
| Feb. 20, 2021 | Featherweight | Nate Landwehr | Julian Erosa | Julian Erosa | |
| June 27, 2020 | Catch Weight | Sean Woodson | Julian Erosa | Julian Erosa | |
| May 18, 2019 | Featherweight | Julio Arce | Julian Erosa | Julio Arce | |
| March 9, 2019 | Featherweight | Grant Dawson | Julian Erosa | Grant Dawson | |
| Nov. 10, 2018 | Lightweight | Devonte Smith | Julian Erosa | Devonte Smith | |
| March 5, 2016 | Featherweight | Julian Erosa | Teruto Ishihara | Teruto Ishihara | |
| Dec. 11, 2015 | Lightweight | Julian Erosa | Marcin Wrzosek | Julian Erosa |