Results: Jaqueline Amorim vs. Vanessa Demopoulos

Winner: Jaqueline Amorim by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 609.00m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Weighted Score for WTAI Prediction

Predicted Winner: Jaqueline Amorim

Weight Class: Women's Strawweight

Final Confidence: 23.1

Confidence Adjustments

Value: +5.0%

Reason: Base confidence between 22 and 26, increased by 5%

Fighter History & Outcomes

Jaqueline Amorim

Weight Change: Staying at usual weight

Fight History:

  • March 16, 2024: Jaqueline Amorim won against Cory McKenna. The fight ended in round 1 at 1:38. Method of victory: Submission.
  • August 12, 2023: Jaqueline Amorim won against Montserrat Conejo Ruiz. The fight ended in round 3 at 3:41. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • April 8, 2023: Jaqueline Amorim lost against Sam Hughes. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
Vanessa Demopoulos

Weight Change: Staying at usual weight

Fight History:

  • May 18, 2024: Vanessa Demopoulos won against Emily Ducote. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 29 - 28. 28 - 29.
  • October 7, 2023: Vanessa Demopoulos won against Kanako Murata. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
  • May 20, 2023: Vanessa Demopoulos lost against Karolina Kowalkiewicz. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
  • November 19, 2022: Vanessa Demopoulos won against Maria Oliveira. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
  • June 25, 2022: Vanessa Demopoulos won against Jinh Yu Frey. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 29 - 28. 27 - 30.
  • January 22, 2022: Vanessa Demopoulos won against Silvana Gomez Juarez. The fight ended in round 1 at 2:25. Method of victory: Submission.
  • August 28, 2021: Vanessa Demopoulos lost against JJ Aldrich. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.

Fight Analysis

Analysis: Jaqueline Amorim vs Vanessa Demopoulos

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Jaqueline Amorim to Win

Score: 22 Odds: Jaqueline Amorim: -300 Vanessa Demopoulos: 250

Jaqueline Amorim's Breakdown

Jaqueline Amorim is an elite submission grappler with a world-class BJJ background. A black belt with multiple IBJJF world titles, her grappling pedigree is nearly unmatched in the strawweight division.

In MMA, Amorim has translated those skills brilliantly. 75% of her pro wins have come by submission, mostly via armbars and kneebars from dominant positions. In the UFC, she's shown the ability to quickly take opponents down and secure fight-ending holds.

While primarily a grappler, Amorim's striking continues to improve. She has two KO/TKO wins on her record, showing developing power to complement her grappling threat.

Vanessa Demopoulos's Breakdown

Vanessa Demopoulos is a well-rounded fighter also holding a BJJ black belt. However, her submission grappling accolades don't quite match Amorim's.

In the cage, Demopoulos relies more on her durability, cardio, and overall skills to wear opponents down and win decisions. She's never been finished in her 5 UFC losses, a testament to her toughness.

On the feet, Demopoulos throws a high volume of strikes and has the gas tank to maintain a strong pace for three rounds. She believes her overall MMA game is now at a level where she can outstrike strikers and outgrapple grapplers.

How Their Techniques Could Impact Each Other

This matchup pits Amorim's elite submission skills against Demopoulos's well-rounded grinding style. The key factor may be if Amorim can get the fight to the mat and deploy her devastating BJJ.

Demopoulos will likely look to keep the fight standing and outpoint Amorim with volume striking. But she must be wary of Amorim's takedowns. If grounded, Demopoulos's own black belt skills will be severely tested by Amorim's world-class grappling.

For Amorim, the path to victory is clear - take Demopoulos down and attack submissions. She excels at rapidly advancing to dominant positions and locking in fight-ending holds.

However, if Demopoulos can stuff the takedowns and keep it a striking battle, her cardio could become a major factor. She may be able to outwork Amorim on the feet and mix in her own takedowns to edge out a decision.

Recent Relevant Events

  • Amorim is riding a 2-fight UFC winning streak, most recently submitting Cory McKenna in the 1st round in March 2024. A win here would make it 3 in a row.

  • Demopoulos has also won her last 2, most recently edging out Emily Ducote by split decision in May 2024. She seems to be hitting her stride after an inconsistent start to her UFC run.

  • Both women are rising prospects in the strawweight division looking to break into title contention. A victory here, especially for Amorim with her finishing abilities, would be a huge step forward.

Conclusion

This is a classic grappler vs. well-rounded fighter matchup. Jaqueline Amorim's phenomenal submission skills give her a clear route to victory, but Vanessa Demopoulos's durability and cardio edges can't be discounted if she can maintain a standing fight.

With both fighters entering on two-fight UFC winning streaks, this bout could propel the victor into strawweight title contention.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jaqueline Amorim Vanessa Demopoulos
Main Stats
Age 29 35
Height 63" 62"
Reach 68" 59"
Win Percentage 88.89% 68.75%
Wins 9 11
Losses 1 6
Wins at Weight Class 2 5
Losses at Weight Class 1 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 60.87% 48.69%
Significant Striking Accuracy 52.33% 41.46%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.465 6.254
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.332 4.361
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.162
Striking Impact Differential 20.33% -13.43%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 15.00% -23.00%
Striking Output Differential 24.00% 14.57%
Significant Striking Output Differential 14.00% 2.57%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 58.67% 71.45%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 94.06% 96.77%
Striking Defense Percentage 62.91% 40.88%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 5.443 0.325
Takedowns per Fight 1.484 0.487
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 6.432 3.895
Takedown Defense 0.00% 200.00%
Takedown Accuracy 23.08% 12.50%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.936 2.867
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.443 8.473
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.583 4.274
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.363 1.028
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.759 1.439
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.099 1.093
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.033 0.465
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.165 0.606
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.165 0.736
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.000 0.617
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.000 0.822
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.231 0.206
Jaqueline Amorim History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 16, 2024 Women's Strawweight Jaqueline Amorim Cory McKenna Jaqueline Amorim
Aug. 12, 2023 Women's Strawweight Jaqueline Amorim Montserrat Conejo Ruiz Jaqueline Amorim
April 8, 2023 Women's Strawweight Jaqueline Amorim Sam Hughes Sam Hughes
Vanessa Demopoulos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 18, 2024 Women's Strawweight Vanessa Demopoulos Emily Ducote Vanessa Demopoulos
Oct. 7, 2023 Women's Strawweight Vanessa Demopoulos Kanako Murata Vanessa Demopoulos
May 20, 2023 Women's Strawweight Karolina Kowalkiewicz Vanessa Demopoulos Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Nov. 19, 2022 Women's Strawweight Vanessa Demopoulos Maria Oliveira Vanessa Demopoulos
June 25, 2022 Women's Strawweight Vanessa Demopoulos Jinh Yu Frey Vanessa Demopoulos
Jan. 22, 2022 Women's Strawweight Silvana Gomez Juarez Vanessa Demopoulos Vanessa Demopoulos
Aug. 28, 2021 Women's Flyweight JJ Aldrich Vanessa Demopoulos JJ Aldrich