UFC Event Results

Sept. 7, 2024

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady

Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
609.00m Elevation

Model Performance Summary (% Correct)

WTAI Model

Main: 60.0% Under: 100.0% Full: 77.78%

Profit Model

Main: 20.0% Under: 75.0% Full: 44.44%

Plain Model

Main: 60.0% Under: 100.0% Full: 77.78%

Selected Bets Results

ROI: %

Parlay #1

Isaac Dulgarian

Win

-2500

Strength: 28.0 points
EV: -17.0%

Jaqueline Amorim

Win

-300

Strength: 22.0 points
EV: 4.2%

Total Odds

1.39x

Return on $10 Bet

$3.87

Parlay #2

Natalia Silva

Win

-275

Strength: 19.0 points
EV: 5.8%

Andre Petroski

Win

-333

Strength: 23.0 points
EV: 2.3%

Total Odds

1.77x

Return on $10 Bet

$7.73

Parlay #3

Isaac Dulgarian

Win

-2500

Strength: 28.0 points
EV: -17.0%

Natalia Silva

Win

-275

Strength: 19.0 points
EV: 5.8%

Total Odds

1.42x

Return on $10 Bet

$4.18

Parlay #4

Sean Brady

Win

-188

Strength: 12.0 points
EV: 7.9%

Trevor Peek

Win

-125

Strength: 11.0 points
EV: 14.6%

Total Odds

2.76x

Return on $10 Bet

$17.57

The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.

Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.

WTAI = WTAI Model Profit = Profit Model Plain = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Gilbert Burns
3
+146
Sean Brady
12
9
7.9
-188
Jessica Andrade
4
+200
Natalia Silva
19
10
5.8
-275
Steve Garcia
9
14
17
3.9
-188
Kyle Nelson
+140
Matt Schnell
1
4
+350
Alessandro Costa
22
-4.2
-500
Trevor Peek
11
13
11
14.6
-125
Yanal Ashmouz
+100

Fight Analysis Recap

Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.