Sara McMann vs. Karol Rosa - UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Sara McMann by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Columbus, Ohio, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Women's Bantamweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Sara McMann
+175
Karol Rosa
22
14
5.8
-275

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Sara McMann Karol Rosa
Main Stats
Age 41 27
Height 66" 65"
Reach 66" 67"
Win Percentage 66.67% 83.33%
Wins 13 15
Losses 6 4
Wins at Weight Class 6 4
Losses at Weight Class 5 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 59.15% 60.90%
Significant Striking Accuracy 43.36% 54.87%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.487 10.567
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.161 7.883
Knockdowns per Fight 0.138 0.250
Striking Impact Differential -14.50% 58.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.50% 40.75%
Striking Output Differential -6.17% 77.75%
Significant Striking Output Differential 10.75% 57.75%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 48.57% 51.74%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 78.30% 67.86%
Striking Defense Percentage 44.55% 50.87%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.552 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 3.172 1.500
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.792 3.000
Takedown Defense 0.00% 9.09%
Takedown Accuracy 54.76% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.388 4.883
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 3.944 10.717
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.591 3.067
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.561 1.100
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.782 1.283
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.359 1.000
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.212 1.900
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.257 2.367
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.156 1.100
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.441 0.683
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.542 0.867
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.441 0.283
Sara McMann History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 23, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Julianna Pena Sara McMann Julianna Pena
Jan. 25, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Lina Lansberg Sara McMann
Feb. 24, 2018 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Marion Reneau Marion Reneau
Sept. 9, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Ketlen Vieira Ketlen Vieira
Feb. 19, 2017 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Gina Mazany Sara McMann
Dec. 3, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Alexis Davis Sara McMann
May 29, 2016 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Jessica Eye Sara McMann
Aug. 8, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Amanda Nunes Amanda Nunes
Jan. 31, 2015 Women's Bantamweight Miesha Tate Sara McMann Miesha Tate
Aug. 16, 2014 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Lauren Murphy Sara McMann
Feb. 22, 2014 UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Ronda Rousey Sara McMann Ronda Rousey
April 27, 2013 Women's Bantamweight Sara McMann Sheila Gaff Sara McMann
Karol Rosa History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 2, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Bethe Correia Karol Rosa Karol Rosa
Feb. 6, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Karol Rosa Joselyne Edwards Karol Rosa
July 11, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Karol Rosa Vanessa Melo Karol Rosa
Aug. 31, 2019 Women's Bantamweight Karol Rosa Lara Procopio Karol Rosa