The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Matt Brown | Bryan Barberena | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 41 | 32 | 32 | |
| Height | 72" | 72" | 72" | |
| Reach | 75" | 72" | 74" | |
| Win Percentage | 58.14% | 66.67% | 78.39% | |
| Wins | 25 | 17 | ||
| Losses | 19 | 8 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 16 | 6 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 12 | 5 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 61.83% | 60.12% | 51.03% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 54.74% | 48.63% | 45.45% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.279 | 9.049 | 5.711 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.679 | 5.442 | 4.364 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.583 | 0.562 | 0.848 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 5.64% | 42.92% | 3.76% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 9.21% | 8.23% | 1.87% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 2.11% | 66.15% | 4.95% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 6.14% | 29.38% | 2.77% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 69.02% | 45.52% | 98.37% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 91.76% | 74.08% | 119.97% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 55.78% | 45.78% | 54.53% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 1.399 | 0.375 | 0.561 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.515 | 0.187 | 1.256 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.438 | 0.749 | 3.814 | |
| Takedown Defense | 55.26% | 72.00% | 66.96% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 44.07% | 25.00% | 40.15% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.304 | 3.770 | 2.905 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.961 | 8.968 | 7.490 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.865 | 3.108 | 2.820 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.045 | 0.761 | 0.798 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.301 | 1.049 | 1.164 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.423 | 1.123 | 0.773 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.330 | 0.911 | 0.661 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.458 | 1.173 | 0.780 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.389 | 0.543 | 0.655 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.975 | 1.011 | 0.473 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.193 | 1.467 | 0.662 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.303 | 0.755 | 0.401 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 19, 2021 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Dhiego Lima | Matt Brown | |
| Jan. 16, 2021 | Welterweight | Carlos Condit | Matt Brown | Carlos Condit | |
| May 16, 2020 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Miguel Baeza | Miguel Baeza | |
| Dec. 14, 2019 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Ben Saunders | Matt Brown | |
| Nov. 11, 2017 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Diego Sanchez | Matt Brown | |
| Dec. 10, 2016 | Welterweight | Donald Cerrone | Matt Brown | Donald Cerrone | |
| July 30, 2016 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Jake Ellenberger | Jake Ellenberger | |
| May 14, 2016 | Welterweight | Demian Maia | Matt Brown | Demian Maia | |
| July 11, 2015 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Tim Means | Matt Brown | |
| March 14, 2015 | Welterweight | Johny Hendricks | Matt Brown | Johny Hendricks | |
| July 26, 2014 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Matt Brown | Robbie Lawler | |
| May 10, 2014 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Erick Silva | Matt Brown | |
| Aug. 17, 2013 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Mike Pyle | Matt Brown | |
| April 20, 2013 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Jordan Mein | Matt Brown | |
| Dec. 8, 2012 | Welterweight | Mike Swick | Matt Brown | Matt Brown | |
| June 22, 2012 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Luis Ramos | Matt Brown | |
| April 21, 2012 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Stephen Thompson | Matt Brown | |
| Feb. 4, 2012 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Chris Cope | Matt Brown | |
| Nov. 19, 2011 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Seth Baczynski | Seth Baczynski | |
| June 26, 2011 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | John Howard | Matt Brown | |
| Nov. 20, 2010 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Brian Foster | Brian Foster | |
| July 3, 2010 | Welterweight | Chris Lytle | Matt Brown | Chris Lytle | |
| March 27, 2010 | Welterweight | Ricardo Almeida | Matt Brown | Ricardo Almeida | |
| Nov. 14, 2009 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | James Wilks | Matt Brown | |
| March 7, 2009 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Pete Sell | Matt Brown | |
| Nov. 15, 2008 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Ryan Thomas | Matt Brown | |
| Sept. 6, 2008 | Welterweight | Dong Hyun Kim | Matt Brown | Dong Hyun Kim | |
| June 21, 2008 | Welterweight | Matt Brown | Matt Arroyo | Matt Brown |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 4, 2021 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Darian Weeks | Bryan Barberena | |
| July 31, 2021 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Jason Witt | Jason Witt | |
| Sept. 12, 2020 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Anthony Ivy | Bryan Barberena | |
| June 22, 2019 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Randy Brown | Randy Brown | |
| Feb. 17, 2019 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Bryan Barberena | Vicente Luque | |
| Aug. 25, 2018 | Welterweight | Jake Ellenberger | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena | |
| Sept. 2, 2017 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards | |
| April 22, 2017 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Joe Proctor | Bryan Barberena | |
| Dec. 17, 2016 | Welterweight | Bryan Barberena | Colby Covington | Colby Covington | |
| May 14, 2016 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena | |
| Jan. 30, 2016 | Welterweight | Sage Northcutt | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena | |
| April 25, 2015 | Lightweight | Chad Laprise | Bryan Barberena | Chad Laprise | |
| Dec. 13, 2014 | Lightweight | Joe Ellenberger | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena |