Curtis Blaydes vs. Chris Daukaus - UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Curtis Blaydes by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Columbus, Ohio, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Curtis Blaydes
30
16
-6.6
-600
Chris Daukaus
+333

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Curtis Blaydes Chris Daukaus
Main Stats
Age 31 32
Height 76" 75"
Reach 80" 76"
Win Percentage 83.33% 75.00%
Wins 16 12
Losses 3 5
Wins at Weight Class 10 4
Losses at Weight Class 4 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 62.27% 54.69%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.52% 53.23%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.401 8.179
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.440 7.712
Knockdowns per Fight 0.101 5.258
Striking Impact Differential 34.29% 15.60%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 18.93% 14.40%
Striking Output Differential 48.43% 19.40%
Significant Striking Output Differential 27.29% 18.20%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 39.73% 69.29%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 71.18% 73.48%
Striking Defense Percentage 59.70% 61.78%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 6.273 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 11.636 0.000
Takedown Defense 200.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 53.91% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.314 6.660
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.410 13.204
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.221 2.337
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.445 0.526
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.513 0.701
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.263 0.526
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.681 0.526
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.756 0.584
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.169 0.643
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.492 0.701
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.614 1.110
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.277 0.409
Curtis Blaydes History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 25, 2021 Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes Jairzinho Rozenstruik Curtis Blaydes
Feb. 20, 2021 Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes Derrick Lewis Derrick Lewis
June 20, 2020 Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes Alexander Volkov Curtis Blaydes
Jan. 25, 2020 Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes Junior Dos Santos Curtis Blaydes
Sept. 7, 2019 Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes Shamil Abdurakhimov Curtis Blaydes
March 23, 2019 Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes Justin Willis Curtis Blaydes
Nov. 24, 2018 Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou Francis Ngannou
June 9, 2018 Heavyweight Alistair Overeem Curtis Blaydes Curtis Blaydes
Feb. 10, 2018 Heavyweight Mark Hunt Curtis Blaydes Curtis Blaydes
Nov. 4, 2017 Heavyweight Aleksei Oleinik Curtis Blaydes Curtis Blaydes
July 8, 2017 Heavyweight Daniel Omielanczuk Curtis Blaydes Curtis Blaydes
Feb. 4, 2017 Heavyweight Adam Milstead Curtis Blaydes None
Oct. 1, 2016 Heavyweight Cody East Curtis Blaydes Curtis Blaydes
April 10, 2016 Heavyweight Francis Ngannou Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou
Chris Daukaus History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 18, 2021 Heavyweight Derrick Lewis Chris Daukaus Derrick Lewis
Sept. 25, 2021 Heavyweight Shamil Abdurakhimov Chris Daukaus Chris Daukaus
Feb. 20, 2021 Heavyweight Aleksei Oleinik Chris Daukaus Chris Daukaus
Oct. 10, 2020 Heavyweight Chris Daukaus Rodrigo Nascimento Chris Daukaus
Aug. 15, 2020 Heavyweight Chris Daukaus Parker Porter Chris Daukaus