The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Paul Craig | Volkan Oezdemir | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 34 | 32 | 32 | |
| Height | 75" | 74" | 74" | |
| Reach | 76" | 75" | 76" | |
| Win Percentage | 80.00% | 73.91% | 78.88% | |
| Wins | 16 | 18 | ||
| Losses | 4 | 6 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 8 | 5 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 5 | 4 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 65.01% | 53.06% | 54.86% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 51.46% | 45.95% | 49.28% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.923 | 6.372 | 5.189 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.507 | 4.748 | 3.920 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.152 | 0.460 | 0.648 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 7.23% | 12.00% | 1.08% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 0.15% | 4.70% | 3.60% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 6.54% | 18.80% | 4.64% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 0.00% | 11.30% | 7.39% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 55.67% | 77.56% | 78.83% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 95.14% | 103.44% | 97.31% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 48.96% | 53.50% | 48.55% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 1.979 | 0.000 | 0.420 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 2.132 | 0.306 | 1.213 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 7.917 | 1.685 | 3.044 | |
| Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 25.00% | 78.45% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 26.92% | 18.18% | 28.56% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.289 | 2.920 | 2.555 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 3.258 | 7.985 | 6.179 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.847 | 2.982 | 2.264 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.761 | 0.756 | 0.833 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.066 | 1.113 | 1.131 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.447 | 0.939 | 0.707 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.457 | 1.072 | 0.533 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.548 | 1.236 | 0.651 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.193 | 0.347 | 0.599 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.538 | 0.745 | 0.626 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.741 | 1.144 | 0.812 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.355 | 0.551 | 0.581 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 19, 2022 | Light Heavyweight | Nikita Krylov | Paul Craig | Paul Craig | |
| June 12, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Paul Craig | Jamahal Hill | Paul Craig | |
| Nov. 21, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Paul Craig | Paul Craig | |
| July 25, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Paul Craig | Gadzhimurad Antigulov | Paul Craig | |
| Nov. 16, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Paul Craig | None | |
| Sept. 21, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Vinicius Moreira | Paul Craig | Paul Craig | |
| June 29, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Alonzo Menifield | Paul Craig | Alonzo Menifield | |
| March 30, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Kennedy Nzechukwu | Paul Craig | Paul Craig | |
| Dec. 1, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Jimmy Crute | Paul Craig | Jimmy Crute | |
| March 17, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Paul Craig | Magomed Ankalaev | Paul Craig | |
| July 16, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Paul Craig | Khalil Rountree Jr. | |
| March 4, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Tyson Pedro | Paul Craig | Tyson Pedro | |
| Dec. 17, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Henrique da Silva | Paul Craig | Paul Craig |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 30, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Volkan Oezdemir | Magomed Ankalaev | |
| July 11, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Volkan Oezdemir | Jiri Prochazka | Jiri Prochazka | |
| Dec. 21, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Volkan Oezdemir | Aleksandar Rakic | Volkan Oezdemir | |
| Aug. 10, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Volkan Oezdemir | Ilir Latifi | Volkan Oezdemir | |
| March 16, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Volkan Oezdemir | Dominick Reyes | Dominick Reyes | |
| Oct. 27, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Volkan Oezdemir | Anthony Smith | Anthony Smith | |
| Jan. 20, 2018 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Daniel Cormier | Volkan Oezdemir | Daniel Cormier | |
| July 29, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Jimi Manuwa | Volkan Oezdemir | Volkan Oezdemir | |
| May 28, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Volkan Oezdemir | Misha Cirkunov | Volkan Oezdemir | |
| Feb. 4, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Volkan Oezdemir | Volkan Oezdemir |