The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Nikita Krylov | Alexander Gustafsson | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 30 | 35 | 32 | |
| Height | 75" | 77" | 74" | |
| Reach | 77" | 79" | 76" | |
| Win Percentage | 75.00% | 72.00% | 78.88% | |
| Wins | 28 | 18 | ||
| Losses | 9 | 8 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 7 | 10 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 6 | 3 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 68.28% | 47.07% | 54.86% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 56.86% | 40.61% | 49.28% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.816 | 5.374 | 5.189 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.346 | 4.025 | 3.920 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.429 | 0.728 | 0.648 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 18.67% | 9.53% | 1.08% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 13.33% | 6.65% | 3.60% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 28.53% | 34.41% | 4.64% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 23.07% | 30.82% | 7.39% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 28.41% | 69.98% | 78.83% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 43.86% | 91.15% | 97.31% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 43.86% | 51.79% | 48.55% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 1.287 | 0.405 | 0.420 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.430 | 1.538 | 1.213 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.003 | 3.885 | 3.044 | |
| Takedown Defense | 83.33% | 19.51% | 78.45% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 35.71% | 39.58% | 28.56% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.697 | 2.800 | 2.555 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.347 | 7.969 | 6.179 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.068 | 2.018 | 2.264 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.077 | 0.588 | 0.833 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.582 | 1.101 | 1.131 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.267 | 0.545 | 0.707 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.572 | 0.637 | 0.533 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.715 | 0.842 | 0.651 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.105 | 0.852 | 0.599 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.201 | 0.318 | 0.626 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.525 | 0.572 | 0.812 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.562 | 0.523 | 0.581 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 19, 2022 | Light Heavyweight | Nikita Krylov | Paul Craig | Paul Craig | |
| Feb. 27, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Nikita Krylov | Magomed Ankalaev | Magomed Ankalaev | |
| March 14, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Johnny Walker | Nikita Krylov | Nikita Krylov | |
| Sept. 14, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Glover Teixeira | Nikita Krylov | Glover Teixeira | |
| April 13, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Nikita Krylov | Nikita Krylov | |
| Sept. 15, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Dec. 10, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Nikita Krylov | Misha Cirkunov | Misha Cirkunov | |
| July 30, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Nikita Krylov | Ed Herman | Nikita Krylov | |
| May 8, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Nikita Krylov | Francimar Barroso | Nikita Krylov | |
| Aug. 23, 2015 | Light Heavyweight | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Nikita Krylov | Nikita Krylov | |
| Jan. 24, 2015 | Light Heavyweight | Nikita Krylov | Stanislav Nedkov | Nikita Krylov | |
| July 19, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Cody Donovan | Nikita Krylov | Nikita Krylov | |
| March 15, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Ovince Saint Preux | Nikita Krylov | Ovince Saint Preux | |
| Jan. 25, 2014 | Heavyweight | Walt Harris | Nikita Krylov | Nikita Krylov | |
| Aug. 31, 2013 | Heavyweight | Soa Palelei | Nikita Krylov | Soa Palelei |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 25, 2020 | Heavyweight | Fabricio Werdum | Alexander Gustafsson | Fabricio Werdum | |
| June 1, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Alexander Gustafsson | Anthony Smith | Anthony Smith | |
| Dec. 29, 2018 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Alexander Gustafsson | Jon Jones | |
| May 28, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Alexander Gustafsson | Glover Teixeira | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| Sept. 3, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Alexander Gustafsson | Jan Blachowicz | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| Oct. 3, 2015 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Daniel Cormier | Alexander Gustafsson | Daniel Cormier | |
| Jan. 24, 2015 | Light Heavyweight | Alexander Gustafsson | Anthony Johnson | Anthony Johnson | |
| March 8, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Alexander Gustafsson | Jimi Manuwa | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| Sept. 21, 2013 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jon Jones | Alexander Gustafsson | Jon Jones | |
| Dec. 8, 2012 | Light Heavyweight | Mauricio Rua | Alexander Gustafsson | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| April 14, 2012 | Light Heavyweight | Alexander Gustafsson | Thiago Silva | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| Dec. 30, 2011 | Light Heavyweight | Vladimir Matyushenko | Alexander Gustafsson | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| Aug. 6, 2011 | Light Heavyweight | Matt Hamill | Alexander Gustafsson | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| Feb. 26, 2011 | Light Heavyweight | Alexander Gustafsson | James Te Huna | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| Oct. 16, 2010 | Light Heavyweight | Cyrille Diabate | Alexander Gustafsson | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| April 10, 2010 | Light Heavyweight | Alexander Gustafsson | Phil Davis | Phil Davis | |
| Nov. 14, 2009 | Light Heavyweight | Alexander Gustafsson | Jared Hamman | Alexander Gustafsson |