Nathaniel Wood vs. Charles Rosa - UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Nathaniel Wood by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: London, England, United Kingdom
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Nathaniel Wood
27
16
-8.3
-700
Charles Rosa
+400

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Nathaniel Wood Charles Rosa
Main Stats
Age 29 35
Height 66" 69"
Reach 69" 69"
Win Percentage 77.27% 66.67%
Wins 17 14
Losses 5 8
Wins at Weight Class 0 4
Losses at Weight Class 0 6
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.66% 45.37%
Significant Striking Accuracy 46.29% 36.99%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.413 4.524
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.285 3.052
Knockdowns per Fight 0.216 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 41.17% -10.25%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 22.33% -7.75%
Striking Output Differential 69.83% 14.17%
Significant Striking Output Differential 48.17% 17.17%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 60.51% 81.05%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 80.55% 110.76%
Striking Defense Percentage 53.74% 48.31%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.863 1.003
Takedowns per Fight 1.294 1.642
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 2.804 4.378
Takedown Defense 33.33% 157.89%
Takedown Accuracy 46.15% 37.50%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.150 1.739
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.204 6.263
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.646 2.554
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.748 0.432
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.323 0.845
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.705 0.626
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 2.387 0.882
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 3.049 1.143
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.007 0.438
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.316 0.103
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.431 0.201
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.216 0.292
Nathaniel Wood History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 24, 2020 Catch Weight Nathaniel Wood Casey Kenney Casey Kenney
July 25, 2020 Bantamweight Nathaniel Wood John Castaneda Nathaniel Wood
Feb. 15, 2020 Bantamweight John Dodson Nathaniel Wood John Dodson
March 16, 2019 Bantamweight Nathaniel Wood Jose Quinonez Nathaniel Wood
Dec. 29, 2018 Bantamweight Nathaniel Wood Andre Ewell Nathaniel Wood
June 1, 2018 Bantamweight Johnny Eduardo Nathaniel Wood Nathaniel Wood
Charles Rosa History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 15, 2022 Lightweight TJ Brown Charles Rosa TJ Brown
Oct. 9, 2021 Featherweight Charles Rosa Damon Jackson Damon Jackson
June 26, 2021 Featherweight Charles Rosa Justin Jaynes Charles Rosa
Feb. 20, 2021 Featherweight Charles Rosa Darrick Minner Darrick Minner
June 13, 2020 Lightweight Charles Rosa Kevin Aguilar Charles Rosa
May 9, 2020 Featherweight Bryce Mitchell Charles Rosa Bryce Mitchell
Oct. 18, 2019 Featherweight Charles Rosa Manny Bermudez Charles Rosa
April 8, 2017 Featherweight Shane Burgos Charles Rosa Shane Burgos
Jan. 17, 2016 Featherweight Charles Rosa Kyle Bochniak Charles Rosa
June 13, 2015 Featherweight Yair Rodriguez Charles Rosa Yair Rodriguez
Jan. 18, 2015 Featherweight Charles Rosa Sean Soriano Charles Rosa
Oct. 4, 2014 Featherweight Dennis Siver Charles Rosa Dennis Siver