Makwan Amirkhani vs. Jonathan Pearce - UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jonathan Pearce by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: London, England, United Kingdom
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Makwan Amirkhani
+124
Jonathan Pearce
14
11
11.5
-175

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Makwan Amirkhani Jonathan Pearce
Main Stats
Age 33 30
Height 70" 72"
Reach 72" 71"
Win Percentage 70.83% 75.00%
Wins 17 13
Losses 8 4
Wins at Weight Class 7 3
Losses at Weight Class 5 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.05% 62.50%
Significant Striking Accuracy 43.99% 44.95%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.078 6.805
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.361 2.577
Knockdowns per Fight 0.136 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -25.42% 23.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -9.67% -5.25%
Striking Output Differential -34.42% 33.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential -17.75% -1.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 139.30% 42.98%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 192.00% 105.62%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.99% 46.08%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.225 1.738
Takedowns per Fight 4.084 7.384
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 9.392 12.162
Takedown Defense 100.00% 133.33%
Takedown Accuracy 43.48% 60.71%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.198 1.622
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.813 4.315
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.234 2.143
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.118 0.637
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.227 1.014
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.780 0.753
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.045 0.319
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.054 0.405
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.399 0.290
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.000 0.348
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.018 0.521
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.163 0.261
Makwan Amirkhani History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 19, 2022 Featherweight Mike Grundy Makwan Amirkhani Makwan Amirkhani
Oct. 30, 2021 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Lerone Murphy Lerone Murphy
June 5, 2021 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Kamuela Kirk Kamuela Kirk
Oct. 10, 2020 Featherweight Edson Barboza Makwan Amirkhani Edson Barboza
July 11, 2020 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Danny Henry Makwan Amirkhani
Nov. 2, 2019 Featherweight Shane Burgos Makwan Amirkhani Shane Burgos
June 1, 2019 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Chris Fishgold Makwan Amirkhani
May 27, 2018 Featherweight Jason Knight Makwan Amirkhani Makwan Amirkhani
March 18, 2017 Featherweight Arnold Allen Makwan Amirkhani Arnold Allen
Feb. 27, 2016 Featherweight Mike Wilkinson Makwan Amirkhani Makwan Amirkhani
June 20, 2015 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Masio Fullen Makwan Amirkhani
Jan. 24, 2015 Featherweight Andy Ogle Makwan Amirkhani Makwan Amirkhani
Jonathan Pearce History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 19, 2022 Featherweight Jonathan Pearce Christian Rodriguez Jonathan Pearce
Sept. 25, 2021 Featherweight Jonathan Pearce Omar Morales Jonathan Pearce
Nov. 28, 2020 Featherweight Jonathan Pearce Kai Kamaka Jonathan Pearce
Oct. 18, 2019 Lightweight Joe Lauzon Jonathan Pearce Joe Lauzon