Jack Hermansson vs. Chris Curtis - UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jack Hermansson by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: London, England, United Kingdom
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jack Hermansson
15
-112
Chris Curtis
0
-2.5
-115

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jack Hermansson Chris Curtis
Main Stats
Age 34 35
Height 73" 70"
Reach 77" 75"
Win Percentage 75.86% 78.38%
Wins 23 29
Losses 7 8
Wins at Weight Class 9 3
Losses at Weight Class 5 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 51.81% 65.64%
Significant Striking Accuracy 44.09% 63.67%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.000 8.101
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.968 7.230
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 1.136
Striking Impact Differential 25.86% 10.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 11.93% 4.67%
Striking Output Differential 45.79% 4.67%
Significant Striking Output Differential 30.21% -2.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 65.92% 60.28%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 91.79% 67.54%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.33% 42.16%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.510 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.733 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.607 0.000
Takedown Defense 33.33% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 30.91% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.854 5.035
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.413 8.631
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.902 4.316
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.019 2.044
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.509 2.574
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.734 1.174
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.094 0.151
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.346 0.151
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.197 1.211
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.449 0.530
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.584 0.606
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.272 0.341
Jack Hermansson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 5, 2022 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Sean Strickland Sean Strickland
May 22, 2021 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Edmen Shahbazyan Jack Hermansson
Dec. 5, 2020 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Marvin Vettori Marvin Vettori
July 18, 2020 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Kelvin Gastelum Jack Hermansson
Sept. 28, 2019 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Jared Cannonier Jared Cannonier
April 27, 2019 Middleweight Jacare Souza Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
March 30, 2019 Middleweight David Branch Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
Dec. 15, 2018 Middleweight Gerald Meerschaert Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
May 12, 2018 Middleweight Thales Leites Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
Oct. 28, 2017 Middleweight Thiago Santos Jack Hermansson Thiago Santos
Aug. 5, 2017 Middleweight Brad Scott Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
May 28, 2017 Middleweight Jack Hermansson Alex Nicholson Jack Hermansson
Nov. 19, 2016 Middleweight Cezar Ferreira Jack Hermansson Cezar Ferreira
Sept. 3, 2016 Middleweight Scott Askham Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
Chris Curtis History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 25, 2022 Middleweight Chris Curtis Rodolfo Vieira Chris Curtis
Dec. 4, 2021 Middleweight Brendan Allen Chris Curtis Chris Curtis
Nov. 6, 2021 Middleweight Phil Hawes Chris Curtis Chris Curtis