Ryan Spann vs. Ion Cutelaba - UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Ryan Spann by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: m
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight
Wikipedia: None

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Ryan Spann
17
+175
Ion Cutelaba
25
6.6
-265

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Ryan Spann Ion Cutelaba
Main Stats
Age 30 28
Height 77" 73"
Reach 79" 75"
Win Percentage 73.08% 72.73%
Wins 20 16
Losses 7 7
Wins at Weight Class 5 5
Losses at Weight Class 2 6
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 45.86% 45.70%
Significant Striking Accuracy 44.63% 42.54%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.546 5.753
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.375 4.908
Knockdowns per Fight 1.282 0.325
Striking Impact Differential -9.43% 8.27%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.00% 12.36%
Striking Output Differential -2.71% 37.18%
Significant Striking Output Differential 7.14% 41.55%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 89.76% 58.95%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 92.41% 64.24%
Striking Defense Percentage 48.03% 47.86%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.282 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.602 4.388
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.165 7.313
Takedown Defense 75.00% 26.09%
Takedown Accuracy 38.46% 60.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.777 3.716
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.857 9.935
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.478 2.589
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.577 0.856
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.662 1.246
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.427 0.477
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.021 0.336
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.043 0.358
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.470 0.368
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.385 1.213
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.534 1.723
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.406 0.585
Ryan Spann History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 18, 2021 Light Heavyweight Anthony Smith Ryan Spann Anthony Smith
March 13, 2021 Light Heavyweight Misha Cirkunov Ryan Spann Ryan Spann
Sept. 19, 2020 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Ryan Spann Johnny Walker
May 9, 2020 Light Heavyweight Ryan Spann Sam Alvey Ryan Spann
Oct. 12, 2019 Light Heavyweight Ryan Spann Devin Clark Ryan Spann
May 11, 2019 Light Heavyweight Rogerio Nogueira Ryan Spann Ryan Spann
Sept. 22, 2018 Light Heavyweight Luis Henrique Ryan Spann Ryan Spann
Ion Cutelaba History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 18, 2021 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Devin Clark Ion Cutelaba
May 1, 2021 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Dustin Jacoby None
Oct. 24, 2020 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Ion Cutelaba Magomed Ankalaev
Feb. 29, 2020 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Magomed Ankalaev Magomed Ankalaev
Sept. 28, 2019 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Khalil Rountree Jr. Ion Cutelaba
April 27, 2019 Light Heavyweight Glover Teixeira Ion Cutelaba Glover Teixeira
July 28, 2018 Light Heavyweight Gadzhimurad Antigulov Ion Cutelaba Ion Cutelaba
June 10, 2017 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Henrique da Silva Ion Cutelaba
Dec. 3, 2016 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Jared Cannonier Jared Cannonier
Oct. 1, 2016 Light Heavyweight Jonathan Wilson Ion Cutelaba Ion Cutelaba
June 18, 2016 Light Heavyweight Misha Cirkunov Ion Cutelaba Misha Cirkunov