The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Davey Grant | Louis Smolka | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 36 | 30 | 31 | |
| Height | 68" | 69" | 67" | |
| Reach | 69" | 68" | 69" | |
| Win Percentage | 68.42% | 68.00% | 78.93% | |
| Wins | 14 | 17 | ||
| Losses | 6 | 9 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 4 | 3 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 4 | 3 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 48.22% | 51.84% | 49.67% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 44.78% | 47.08% | 43.92% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.326 | 5.665 | 5.276 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.550 | 4.537 | 3.989 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.295 | 0.201 | 0.456 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 9.44% | 3.00% | 3.71% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 9.00% | 6.25% | 1.16% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 16.11% | 10.06% | 5.91% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 15.33% | 13.50% | 3.01% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 96.31% | 79.50% | 108.12% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 111.02% | 95.27% | 136.02% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 57.37% | 52.79% | 55.86% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.147 | 1.913 | 0.444 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.769 | 1.812 | 1.570 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.980 | 4.833 | 3.987 | |
| Takedown Defense | 66.67% | 222.22% | 79.43% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 44.44% | 37.50% | 31.67% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.182 | 3.027 | 2.508 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 6.898 | 7.551 | 7.016 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.270 | 2.289 | 2.470 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.553 | 1.175 | 0.786 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 2.299 | 1.718 | 1.212 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.943 | 1.047 | 0.769 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.816 | 0.336 | 0.695 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.963 | 0.369 | 0.860 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.541 | 0.530 | 0.626 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.373 | 0.537 | 0.388 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.639 | 0.738 | 0.554 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.373 | 0.564 | 0.386 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 20, 2021 | Bantamweight | Davey Grant | Adrian Yanez | Adrian Yanez | |
| June 19, 2021 | Bantamweight | Marlon Vera | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera | |
| March 13, 2021 | Bantamweight | Jonathan Martinez | Davey Grant | Davey Grant | |
| July 11, 2020 | Bantamweight | Martin Day | Davey Grant | Davey Grant | |
| Nov. 9, 2019 | Bantamweight | Grigory Popov | Davey Grant | Davey Grant | |
| July 22, 2018 | Bantamweight | Davey Grant | Manny Bermudez | Manny Bermudez | |
| Oct. 8, 2016 | Bantamweight | Davey Grant | Damian Stasiak | Damian Stasiak | |
| Feb. 27, 2016 | Bantamweight | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera | Davey Grant | |
| Nov. 30, 2013 | Ultimate Fighter 18 Bantamweight Tournament Title | Chris Holdsworth | Davey Grant | Chris Holdsworth |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 4, 2021 | Bantamweight | Louis Smolka | Vince Morales | Vince Morales | |
| Dec. 5, 2020 | Bantamweight | Louis Smolka | Jose Quinonez | Louis Smolka | |
| May 30, 2020 | Bantamweight | Louis Smolka | Casey Kenney | Casey Kenney | |
| Sept. 14, 2019 | Bantamweight | Louis Smolka | Ryan MacDonald | Louis Smolka | |
| March 9, 2019 | Bantamweight | Louis Smolka | Matt Schnell | Matt Schnell | |
| Nov. 24, 2018 | Bantamweight | Sumudaerji | Louis Smolka | Louis Smolka | |
| Dec. 30, 2017 | Flyweight | Louis Smolka | Matheus Nicolau | Matheus Nicolau | |
| April 15, 2017 | Flyweight | Louis Smolka | Tim Elliott | Tim Elliott | |
| Dec. 30, 2016 | Flyweight | Louis Smolka | Ray Borg | Ray Borg | |
| Oct. 1, 2016 | Flyweight | Louis Smolka | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Moreno | |
| July 13, 2016 | Flyweight | Louis Smolka | Ben Nguyen | Louis Smolka | |
| Oct. 24, 2015 | Flyweight | Paddy Holohan | Louis Smolka | Louis Smolka | |
| July 11, 2015 | Flyweight | Neil Seery | Louis Smolka | Louis Smolka | |
| Nov. 7, 2014 | Flyweight | Richie Vaculik | Louis Smolka | Louis Smolka | |
| May 10, 2014 | Flyweight | Chris Cariaso | Louis Smolka | Chris Cariaso | |
| Jan. 15, 2014 | Flyweight | Alptekin Ozkilic | Louis Smolka | Louis Smolka |