The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Tom Aspinall | Marcin Tybura | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 30 | 37 | 34 | |
| Height | 77" | 75" | 75" | |
| Reach | 78" | 78" | 77" | |
| Win Percentage | 80.00% | 77.42% | 77.74% | |
| Wins | 13 | 24 | ||
| Losses | 3 | 8 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 5 | 11 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 6 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 67.40% | 59.38% | 53.17% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 65.68% | 48.63% | 47.97% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 8.142 | 6.424 | 5.902 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.408 | 3.549 | 4.445 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 2.002 | 0.070 | 0.707 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 12.50% | 24.76% | 6.65% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 11.33% | 3.06% | 5.00% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 9.50% | 24.47% | 11.98% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 8.17% | -2.53% | 9.56% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 63.11% | 68.76% | 70.55% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 69.37% | 118.06% | 87.39% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 64.17% | 55.89% | 47.69% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 2.002 | 0.070 | 0.282 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 4.004 | 1.393 | 1.365 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.004 | 4.111 | 2.836 | |
| Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 25.93% | 108.64% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 100.00% | 33.90% | 28.99% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 4.805 | 2.332 | 2.999 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 8.610 | 5.722 | 7.081 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.201 | 2.281 | 2.366 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.135 | 0.692 | 0.790 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.201 | 0.980 | 1.021 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.868 | 0.669 | 0.758 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.468 | 0.525 | 0.657 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.468 | 0.595 | 0.762 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.801 | 0.358 | 0.632 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.135 | 0.362 | 0.585 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.602 | 0.548 | 0.811 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.200 | 0.599 | 0.441 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2022 | Heavyweight | Curtis Blaydes | Tom Aspinall | Curtis Blaydes | |
| March 19, 2022 | Heavyweight | Alexander Volkov | Tom Aspinall | Tom Aspinall | |
| Sept. 4, 2021 | Heavyweight | Tom Aspinall | Serghei Spivac | Tom Aspinall | |
| Feb. 20, 2021 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Tom Aspinall | Tom Aspinall | |
| Oct. 10, 2020 | Heavyweight | Tom Aspinall | Alan Baudot | Tom Aspinall | |
| July 25, 2020 | Heavyweight | Tom Aspinall | Jake Collier | Tom Aspinall |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 4, 2023 | Heavyweight | Marcin Tybura | Blagoy Ivanov | Marcin Tybura | |
| Aug. 20, 2022 | Heavyweight | Marcin Tybura | Alexandr Romanov | Marcin Tybura | |
| Oct. 30, 2021 | Heavyweight | Alexander Volkov | Marcin Tybura | Alexander Volkov | |
| June 5, 2021 | Heavyweight | Walt Harris | Marcin Tybura | Marcin Tybura | |
| Dec. 19, 2020 | Heavyweight | Marcin Tybura | Greg Hardy | Marcin Tybura | |
| Oct. 10, 2020 | Heavyweight | Ben Rothwell | Marcin Tybura | Marcin Tybura | |
| July 11, 2020 | Heavyweight | Marcin Tybura | Maxim Grishin | Marcin Tybura | |
| Feb. 29, 2020 | Heavyweight | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac | Marcin Tybura | |
| Sept. 14, 2019 | Heavyweight | Marcin Tybura | Augusto Sakai | Augusto Sakai | |
| April 20, 2019 | Heavyweight | Marcin Tybura | Shamil Abdurakhimov | Shamil Abdurakhimov | |
| July 22, 2018 | Heavyweight | Marcin Tybura | Stefan Struve | Marcin Tybura | |
| Feb. 18, 2018 | Heavyweight | Derrick Lewis | Marcin Tybura | Derrick Lewis | |
| Nov. 18, 2017 | Heavyweight | Fabricio Werdum | Marcin Tybura | Fabricio Werdum | |
| June 17, 2017 | Heavyweight | Andrei Arlovski | Marcin Tybura | Marcin Tybura | |
| March 4, 2017 | Heavyweight | Marcin Tybura | Luis Henrique | Marcin Tybura | |
| Aug. 6, 2016 | Heavyweight | Viktor Pesta | Marcin Tybura | Marcin Tybura | |
| April 10, 2016 | Heavyweight | Timothy Johnson | Marcin Tybura | Timothy Johnson |