Molly McCann vs. Julija Stoliarenko - UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Julija Stoliarenko by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: London, England, United Kingdom
Elevation: 11.00m
Weight Class: Women's Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Molly McCann
19
22
17
9.5
-230
Julija Stoliarenko
+190

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Molly McCann Julija Stoliarenko
Main Stats
Age 33 30
Height 64" 67"
Reach 62" 66"
Win Percentage 72.22% 55.56%
Wins 13 11
Losses 6 8
Wins at Weight Class 6 0
Losses at Weight Class 4 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 53.16% 51.69%
Significant Striking Accuracy 50.08% 41.45%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.510 4.279
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.720 2.754
Knockdowns per Fight 0.258 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 1.10% -59.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 9.50% -19.83%
Striking Output Differential -34.60% -66.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -24.20% -17.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 135.22% 108.00%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 150.30% 133.90%
Striking Defense Percentage 63.68% 44.47%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.515 1.167
Takedowns per Fight 1.675 0.700
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.767 2.801
Takedown Defense 123.08% 60.00%
Takedown Accuracy 35.14% 25.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 4.028 1.898
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.310 5.337
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.963 2.894
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.988 0.467
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.288 0.731
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.297 0.996
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.704 0.389
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.825 0.576
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.644 0.716
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.490 0.156
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.713 0.249
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.636 0.622
Molly McCann History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 12, 2022 Women's Flyweight Erin Blanchfield Molly McCann Erin Blanchfield
July 23, 2022 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Hannah Goldy Molly McCann
March 19, 2022 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Luana Carolina Molly McCann
Sept. 4, 2021 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Ji Yeon Kim Molly McCann
Feb. 6, 2021 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Lara Procopio Lara Procopio
July 15, 2020 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Taila Santos Taila Santos
Oct. 18, 2019 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Diana Belbita Molly McCann
June 22, 2019 Women's Flyweight Ariane da Silva Molly McCann Molly McCann
March 16, 2019 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Priscila Cachoeira Molly McCann
May 27, 2018 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Molly McCann Gillian Robertson
Julija Stoliarenko History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 1, 2022 Catch Weight Julija Stoliarenko Chelsea Chandler Chelsea Chandler
July 2, 2022 Women's Bantamweight Jessica-Rose Clark Julija Stoliarenko Julija Stoliarenko
Feb. 5, 2022 Women's Bantamweight Alexis Davis Julija Stoliarenko Alexis Davis
June 26, 2021 Women's Bantamweight Julia Avila Julija Stoliarenko Julia Avila
Aug. 8, 2020 Women's Bantamweight Yana Santos Julija Stoliarenko Yana Santos
Nov. 30, 2018 Women's Featherweight Julija Stoliarenko Leah Letson Leah Letson