The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Marc Diakiese | Joel Alvarez | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 30 | 30 | 31 | |
| Height | 70" | 75" | 70" | |
| Reach | 73" | 77" | 72" | |
| Win Percentage | 72.73% | 86.36% | 80.22% | |
| Wins | 16 | 20 | ||
| Losses | 7 | 3 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 7 | 4 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 6 | 2 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 48.47% | 56.57% | 48.99% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 40.26% | 44.22% | 43.20% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.015 | 5.934 | 5.329 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.727 | 3.444 | 3.906 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.190 | 0.000 | 1.150 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 5.54% | -4.83% | 1.38% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 1.15% | -1.50% | -0.07% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 17.46% | -1.67% | 3.09% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 12.92% | 3.33% | 1.33% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 81.83% | 68.30% | 89.61% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 112.79% | 103.85% | 113.35% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 53.89% | 49.27% | 49.16% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 1.192 | 0.469 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 3.330 | 0.000 | 1.522 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 7.611 | 0.000 | 4.091 | |
| Takedown Defense | 47.62% | 0.00% | 87.36% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 43.75% | 0.00% | 28.97% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.224 | 2.172 | 2.565 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 4.655 | 6.040 | 6.436 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.243 | 2.013 | 2.340 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.799 | 0.609 | 0.763 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.142 | 0.927 | 1.113 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.774 | 1.060 | 0.766 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.704 | 0.662 | 0.578 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.977 | 0.821 | 0.688 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.615 | 0.609 | 0.562 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.279 | 0.265 | 0.380 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.425 | 0.397 | 0.539 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.241 | 0.000 | 0.385 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 3, 2022 | Lightweight | Michael Johnson | Marc Diakiese | Michael Johnson | |
| July 23, 2022 | Lightweight | Marc Diakiese | Damir Hadzovic | Marc Diakiese | |
| March 26, 2022 | Lightweight | Marc Diakiese | Viacheslav Borshchev | Marc Diakiese | |
| Nov. 13, 2021 | Lightweight | Marc Diakiese | Rafael Alves | Rafael Alves | |
| July 18, 2020 | Lightweight | Marc Diakiese | Rafael Fiziev | Rafael Fiziev | |
| Sept. 28, 2019 | Lightweight | Marc Diakiese | Lando Vannata | Marc Diakiese | |
| March 16, 2019 | Lightweight | Marc Diakiese | Joe Duffy | Marc Diakiese | |
| July 22, 2018 | Lightweight | Nasrat Haqparast | Marc Diakiese | Nasrat Haqparast | |
| Dec. 30, 2017 | Lightweight | Dan Hooker | Marc Diakiese | Dan Hooker | |
| July 7, 2017 | Lightweight | Marc Diakiese | Drakkar Klose | Drakkar Klose | |
| March 18, 2017 | Lightweight | Marc Diakiese | Teemu Packalen | Marc Diakiese | |
| Dec. 9, 2016 | Lightweight | Frankie Perez | Marc Diakiese | Marc Diakiese | |
| Oct. 8, 2016 | Lightweight | Lukasz Sajewski | Marc Diakiese | Marc Diakiese |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 26, 2022 | Lightweight | Arman Tsarukyan | Joel Alvarez | Arman Tsarukyan | |
| Nov. 13, 2021 | Lightweight | Thiago Moises | Joel Alvarez | Joel Alvarez | |
| Oct. 24, 2020 | Lightweight | Joel Alvarez | Alexander Yakovlev | Joel Alvarez | |
| July 18, 2020 | Lightweight | Joe Duffy | Joel Alvarez | Joel Alvarez | |
| June 1, 2019 | Lightweight | Joel Alvarez | Danilo Belluardo | Joel Alvarez | |
| Feb. 23, 2019 | Lightweight | Damir Ismagulov | Joel Alvarez | Damir Ismagulov |