Lerone Murphy vs. Josh Culibao - UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Lerone Murphy by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: London, England, United Kingdom
Elevation: 11.00m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Lerone Murphy
18
15
13
20.0
-145
Josh Culibao
+120

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Lerone Murphy Josh Culibao
Main Stats
Age 31 29
Height 69" 70"
Reach 73" 73"
Win Percentage 100.00% 91.67%
Wins 13 11
Losses 0 2
Wins at Weight Class 4 3
Losses at Weight Class 1 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.46% 49.27%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.87% 43.20%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.969 3.913
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.576 2.964
Knockdowns per Fight 0.275 0.749
Striking Impact Differential 16.60% -7.20%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 10.20% -2.00%
Striking Output Differential 21.00% -15.40%
Significant Striking Output Differential 15.20% -10.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 69.00% 120.43%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 91.79% 153.93%
Striking Defense Percentage 55.42% 59.31%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.550 0.500
Takedowns per Fight 0.825 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 2.201 2.748
Takedown Defense 130.77% 21.43%
Takedown Accuracy 37.50% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.164 1.715
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.520 5.029
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.357 1.715
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.972 0.616
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.339 1.066
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.715 0.733
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.440 0.633
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.458 0.766
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.569 0.683
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.403 0.233
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.458 0.333
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.513 0.333
Lerone Murphy History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 18, 2023 Featherweight Lerone Murphy Gabriel Santos Lerone Murphy
Oct. 30, 2021 Featherweight Makwan Amirkhani Lerone Murphy Lerone Murphy
Jan. 20, 2021 Featherweight Lerone Murphy Douglas Silva de Andrade Lerone Murphy
July 15, 2020 Featherweight Ricardo Ramos Lerone Murphy Lerone Murphy
Sept. 7, 2019 Featherweight Zubaira Tukhugov Lerone Murphy None
Josh Culibao History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 11, 2023 Featherweight Josh Culibao Melsik Baghdasaryan Josh Culibao
June 11, 2022 Featherweight SeungWoo Choi Josh Culibao Josh Culibao
May 22, 2021 Featherweight Josh Culibao Shayilan Nuerdanbieke Josh Culibao
Oct. 3, 2020 Featherweight Charles Jourdain Josh Culibao None
Feb. 22, 2020 Lightweight Jalin Turner Josh Culibao Jalin Turner