Chris Duncan vs. Yanal Ashmouz - UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Chris Duncan by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: London, England, United Kingdom
Elevation: 11.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Chris Duncan
23
17
19.2
-150
Yanal Ashmouz
19
+125

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Chris Duncan Yanal Ashmouz
Main Stats
Age 30 28
Height 70" 69"
Reach 71" 68"
Win Percentage 90.91% 100.00%
Wins 11 7
Losses 1 1
Wins at Weight Class 1 1
Losses at Weight Class 0 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 67.39% 75.00%
Significant Striking Accuracy 63.86% 75.00%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.133 12.000
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.533 12.000
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 9.00% 13.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 6.00% 13.00%
Striking Output Differential 6.00% 13.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 3.00% 13.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 53.23% 33.33%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 62.26% 33.33%
Striking Defense Percentage 41.25% 71.43%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 5.000 12.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 14.000 12.000
Takedown Defense 100.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 35.71% 100.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 0.800 11.200
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.667 14.400
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.133 0.800
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.133 0.000
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.400 0.000
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.333 0.000
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.600 0.800
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 2.467 1.600
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.667 0.800
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.200 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.200 0.000
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.333 0.000
Chris Duncan History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 18, 2023 Lightweight Chris Duncan Omar Morales Chris Duncan
Yanal Ashmouz History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 18, 2023 Lightweight Sam Patterson Yanal Ashmouz Yanal Ashmouz