The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Phil Hawes, known as "No Hype", has had a mixed bag of results in his recent UFC outings, with a UFC record of 12 wins and 5 losses. His latest performance against Ikram Aliskerov resulted in a loss by KO, demonstrating a vulnerability in his chin. Despite his explosive power and athleticism, Hawes has shown susceptibility to being knocked out, a factor that can't be overlooked. However, he's not just a one-dimensional fighter. His fight against Deron Winn showcased his ability to blend wrestling with striking, using his superior reach and diverse striking to maintain distance and control the bout.
Hawes's strengths lie in his wrestling skills and striking power, but he needs to be wary of his defensive lapses. His recent losses by KO suggest that he may be entering the Octagon with a somewhat diminished ability to absorb punishment. However, Hawes's victories, such as against Kyle Daukaus and Nassourdine Imavov, show his ability to strategically dominate fights, using his wrestling to dictate the pace and employing a mix of strikes to keep opponents at bay. Hawes's stats further underline his proficiency in striking and takedowns, indicating a well-rounded skill set essential for taking on the aggressive style of Brunno Ferreira.
Brunno "Robocop" Ferreira, with a UFC record of 10 wins and 1 loss, is known for his aggressive striking and power. His recent loss to Nursulton Ruziboev via KO showcased both his strength and weakness: while his powerful strikes are a significant threat, his aggressive style can leave him open to counters. This vulnerability was evident when he threw a low kick without proper setup, which was exploited by Ruziboev.
Ferreira's unorthodox switch-hitting style, as seen in his fight against Gregory Rodrigues, makes him unpredictable and dangerous. However, his striking accuracy and defense stats indicate a need for more discipline and strategic guard. His aggressive approach can be effective, but he must be careful not to overcommit and leave himself open to counters, especially against a fighter like Hawes who can exploit such openings with his wrestling and striking skills.
This matchup presents an intriguing contrast of styles: Hawes's wrestling and striking versatility versus Ferreira's aggressive, unorthodox striking. Hawes's recent losses due to KOs are concerning, especially against a heavy hitter like Ferreira. However, Hawes's ability to blend wrestling with striking could be key to controlling the aggressive Ferreira, who tends to leave openings when pressing forward.
Ferreira's aggressive style can be his biggest asset and his most significant liability. To secure a win, he'll need to temper his aggression with strategic planning, especially against a well-rounded fighter like Hawes.
Considering their fighting styles and recent performances, Hawes seems well-equipped to counter Ferreira's aggression with his wrestling and striking versatility. While Hawes needs to be wary of Ferreira's power, his ability to control the pace and distance of the fight, coupled with his striking and wrestling, gives him the edge. Ferreira's aggressive style and power make him a constant threat, but his tendency to overcommit could be his downfall in this matchup. Therefore, WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Phil Hawes as the winner seems well-founded, with his well-rounded skills likely to prevail over Ferreira's powerful but sometimes reckless striking approach.
Stat | Phil Hawes | Brunno Ferreira | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 35 | 31 | 32 | |
Height | 72" | 70" | 73" | |
Reach | 77" | 72" | 75" | |
Win Percentage | 70.59% | 90.91% | 79.19% | |
Wins | 12 | 11 | ||
Losses | 6 | 1 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 4 | 1 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 3 | 1 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 68.41% | 50.98% | 54.19% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 61.44% | 50.00% | 48.02% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 9.350 | 4.727 | 5.780 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.903 | 4.546 | 4.197 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.594 | 2.727 | 1.225 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 32.57% | -0.50% | 4.40% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 17.43% | -1.00% | 2.82% | |
Striking Output Differential | 30.00% | 0.50% | 5.02% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 12.29% | 0.00% | 2.94% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 50.00% | 88.46% | 81.34% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 74.83% | 92.00% | 101.64% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 55.89% | 46.00% | 49.11% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.297 | 0.000 | 0.634 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 2.377 | 0.000 | 1.523 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 5.348 | 5.455 | 3.923 | |
Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 0.00% | 83.94% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 44.44% | 0.00% | 33.11% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.843 | 2.727 | 2.845 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.151 | 6.727 | 6.319 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.496 | 3.818 | 2.264 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.525 | 0.364 | 0.854 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.842 | 0.727 | 1.120 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.733 | 0.909 | 0.773 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.535 | 1.455 | 0.498 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.614 | 1.636 | 0.578 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.258 | 0.182 | 0.505 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.812 | 0.182 | 0.494 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.050 | 0.182 | 0.649 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.733 | 0.364 | 0.432 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
May 6, 2023 | Middleweight | Phil Hawes | Ikram Aliskerov | Ikram Aliskerov | |
Oct. 29, 2022 | Middleweight | Phil Hawes | Roman Dolidze | Roman Dolidze | |
June 18, 2022 | Middleweight | Phil Hawes | Deron Winn | Phil Hawes | |
Nov. 6, 2021 | Middleweight | Phil Hawes | Chris Curtis | Chris Curtis | |
May 8, 2021 | Middleweight | Phil Hawes | Kyle Daukaus | Phil Hawes | |
Feb. 20, 2021 | Middleweight | Phil Hawes | Nassourdine Imavov | Phil Hawes | |
Oct. 24, 2020 | Middleweight | Jacob Malkoun | Phil Hawes | Phil Hawes |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 1, 2023 | Middleweight | Brunno Ferreira | Nursulton Ruziboev | Nursulton Ruziboev | |
Jan. 21, 2023 | Middleweight | Gregory Rodrigues | Brunno Ferreira | Brunno Ferreira |