Results: Matthew Semelsberger vs. Preston Parsons

Winner: Preston Parsons by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 778.00m
Weight Class: Welkterweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Matthew Semelsberger vs Preston Parsons

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Matthew Semelsberger to Win

Matthew Semelsberger's Breakdown

Matthew Semelsberger, known for his explosive power and agility honed from his football background, brings a strikingly dynamic approach to the Octagon. He's got a KO power that sends opponents reeling, but his reliance on heavy shots could be a double-edged sword against a skilled counter-striker.

His UFC tenure reveals an evolving fighter, showing adaptability and a willingness to incorporate advice mid-fight. His match against Uros Medic highlights his effective blend of boxing and low kicks, reminiscent of Justin Gaethje’s style. However, in his split decision loss to Jeremiah Wells, his vulnerability to ground attacks was exposed, despite a commendable defense and ability to land significant strikes.

Against Jake Matthews, Semelsberger demonstrated his striking efficiency and resilience, overcoming Matthews' attacks with precise counter-strikes. His loss to Alex Morono, however, highlighted a potential issue with sustained pressure and damage absorption, as Morono’s consistent right hands significantly troubled him.

Semelsberger's KO victory over Martin Sano showcased his one-punch knockout power, a crucial asset in his arsenal. However, his unanimous decision loss to Khaos Williams pointed out his difficulty in handling high-pressure fighters with significant striking volume.

Preston Parsons's Breakdown

Preston Parsons steps into this fight with a reputation for toughness and resilience. His ability to absorb strikes and still deliver damaging blows hints at a brawler's approach, potentially creating explosive exchanges in the fight.

Against Trevin Giles, Parsons exhibited this grit, though the lack of detail in the fight transcript limits a deeper analysis of his strategic approach. His unanimous decision victory over Evan Elder displayed his grappling prowess and control, essential skills against a striker like Semelsberger.

However, his KO/TKO loss to Daniel Rodriguez raises concerns about his ability to withstand sustained heavy striking, a vulnerability Semelsberger might exploit. Parsons' resilience will be crucial, but his striking defense will be under serious scrutiny.

Analysis and Key Points

Semelsberger's striking power and Parsons' toughness set the stage for a classic striker vs. brawler matchup. Semelsberger's agility and knockout power make him a formidable opponent, but his susceptibility to ground attacks and sustained pressure could be exploited by Parsons.

Parsons, on the other hand, must brace for Semelsberger's powerful strikes and find a way to close the distance, leveraging his grappling skills to neutralize Semelsberger's striking advantage. His ability to absorb punishment and continue fighting could be key, but he must be wary of Semelsberger's one-punch knockout potential.

Conclusion

In this welterweight showdown, Matthew Semelsberger's striking prowess and knockout capability give him the edge over Preston Parsons. However, Parsons' toughness and potential grappling advantage could turn the tide if he manages to withstand Semelsberger's initial onslaught and implement a ground-based strategy. This fight promises to be an exciting clash of styles, with Semelsberger's power against Parsons' resilience and grit.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Matthew Semelsberger Preston Parsons
Main Stats
Age 31 28
Height 73" 71"
Reach 75" 71"
Win Percentage 64.71% 71.43%
Wins 11 11
Losses 7 4
Wins at Weight Class 5 1
Losses at Weight Class 4 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 46.35% 61.98%
Significant Striking Accuracy 43.29% 56.00%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.674 6.127
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.063 4.144
Knockdowns per Fight 1.455 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -18.67% 18.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -3.44% 4.33%
Striking Output Differential -24.00% 18.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -3.56% -0.33%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 125.73% 62.32%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 131.26% 88.57%
Striking Defense Percentage 55.00% 49.40%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.146 3.552
Takedowns per Fight 1.018 3.108
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.746 9.324
Takedown Defense 100.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 58.33% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.628 2.901
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.370 6.039
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.123 2.930
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.689 0.562
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.125 0.651
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.698 0.503
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.747 0.681
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.892 0.710
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.543 0.326
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.320 0.414
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.427 0.622
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.281 0.266
Matthew Semelsberger History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 29, 2023 Welterweight Matthew Semelsberger Uros Medic Uros Medic
April 22, 2023 Welterweight Jeremiah Wells Matthew Semelsberger Jeremiah Wells
Dec. 17, 2022 Welterweight Jake Matthews Matthew Semelsberger Matthew Semelsberger
July 30, 2022 Welterweight Alex Morono Matthew Semelsberger Alex Morono
March 12, 2022 Welterweight Matthew Semelsberger AJ Fletcher Matthew Semelsberger
Sept. 25, 2021 Welterweight Matthew Semelsberger Martin Sano Matthew Semelsberger
June 19, 2021 Welterweight Khaos Williams Matthew Semelsberger Khaos Williams
March 13, 2021 Welterweight Matthew Semelsberger Jason Witt Matthew Semelsberger
Aug. 22, 2020 Welterweight Carlton Minus Matthew Semelsberger Matthew Semelsberger
Preston Parsons History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 25, 2023 Welterweight Trevin Giles Preston Parsons Trevin Giles
April 23, 2022 Welterweight Preston Parsons Evan Elder Preston Parsons
July 17, 2021 Welterweight Daniel Rodriguez Preston Parsons Daniel Rodriguez