The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Matthew Semelsberger, known for his explosive power and agility honed from his football background, brings a strikingly dynamic approach to the Octagon. He's got a KO power that sends opponents reeling, but his reliance on heavy shots could be a double-edged sword against a skilled counter-striker.
His UFC tenure reveals an evolving fighter, showing adaptability and a willingness to incorporate advice mid-fight. His match against Uros Medic highlights his effective blend of boxing and low kicks, reminiscent of Justin Gaethje’s style. However, in his split decision loss to Jeremiah Wells, his vulnerability to ground attacks was exposed, despite a commendable defense and ability to land significant strikes.
Against Jake Matthews, Semelsberger demonstrated his striking efficiency and resilience, overcoming Matthews' attacks with precise counter-strikes. His loss to Alex Morono, however, highlighted a potential issue with sustained pressure and damage absorption, as Morono’s consistent right hands significantly troubled him.
Semelsberger's KO victory over Martin Sano showcased his one-punch knockout power, a crucial asset in his arsenal. However, his unanimous decision loss to Khaos Williams pointed out his difficulty in handling high-pressure fighters with significant striking volume.
Preston Parsons steps into this fight with a reputation for toughness and resilience. His ability to absorb strikes and still deliver damaging blows hints at a brawler's approach, potentially creating explosive exchanges in the fight.
Against Trevin Giles, Parsons exhibited this grit, though the lack of detail in the fight transcript limits a deeper analysis of his strategic approach. His unanimous decision victory over Evan Elder displayed his grappling prowess and control, essential skills against a striker like Semelsberger.
However, his KO/TKO loss to Daniel Rodriguez raises concerns about his ability to withstand sustained heavy striking, a vulnerability Semelsberger might exploit. Parsons' resilience will be crucial, but his striking defense will be under serious scrutiny.
Semelsberger's striking power and Parsons' toughness set the stage for a classic striker vs. brawler matchup. Semelsberger's agility and knockout power make him a formidable opponent, but his susceptibility to ground attacks and sustained pressure could be exploited by Parsons.
Parsons, on the other hand, must brace for Semelsberger's powerful strikes and find a way to close the distance, leveraging his grappling skills to neutralize Semelsberger's striking advantage. His ability to absorb punishment and continue fighting could be key, but he must be wary of Semelsberger's one-punch knockout potential.
In this welterweight showdown, Matthew Semelsberger's striking prowess and knockout capability give him the edge over Preston Parsons. However, Parsons' toughness and potential grappling advantage could turn the tide if he manages to withstand Semelsberger's initial onslaught and implement a ground-based strategy. This fight promises to be an exciting clash of styles, with Semelsberger's power against Parsons' resilience and grit.
Stat | Matthew Semelsberger | Preston Parsons | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 31 | 28 | 33 | |
Height | 73" | 71" | 72" | |
Reach | 75" | 71" | 74" | |
Win Percentage | 64.71% | 71.43% | 78.84% | |
Wins | 11 | 11 | ||
Losses | 7 | 4 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 5 | 1 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 4 | 2 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 46.35% | 61.98% | 51.58% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 43.29% | 56.00% | 46.16% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.674 | 6.127 | 5.614 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.063 | 4.144 | 4.255 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 1.455 | 0.000 | 0.685 | |
Striking Impact Differential | -18.67% | 18.67% | 4.51% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | -3.44% | 4.33% | 2.61% | |
Striking Output Differential | -24.00% | 18.00% | 4.58% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -3.56% | -0.33% | 2.70% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 125.73% | 62.32% | 87.80% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 131.26% | 88.57% | 106.86% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 55.00% | 49.40% | 50.59% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.146 | 3.552 | 0.586 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 1.018 | 3.108 | 1.263 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.746 | 9.324 | 3.391 | |
Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 100.00% | 71.37% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 58.33% | 33.33% | 35.19% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.628 | 2.901 | 2.792 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.370 | 6.039 | 6.859 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.123 | 2.930 | 2.401 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.689 | 0.562 | 0.829 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.125 | 0.651 | 1.168 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.698 | 0.503 | 0.815 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.747 | 0.681 | 0.633 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.892 | 0.710 | 0.759 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.543 | 0.326 | 0.651 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.320 | 0.414 | 0.417 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.427 | 0.622 | 0.565 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.281 | 0.266 | 0.372 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 29, 2023 | Welterweight | Matthew Semelsberger | Uros Medic | Uros Medic | |
April 22, 2023 | Welterweight | Jeremiah Wells | Matthew Semelsberger | Jeremiah Wells | |
Dec. 17, 2022 | Welterweight | Jake Matthews | Matthew Semelsberger | Matthew Semelsberger | |
July 30, 2022 | Welterweight | Alex Morono | Matthew Semelsberger | Alex Morono | |
March 12, 2022 | Welterweight | Matthew Semelsberger | AJ Fletcher | Matthew Semelsberger | |
Sept. 25, 2021 | Welterweight | Matthew Semelsberger | Martin Sano | Matthew Semelsberger | |
June 19, 2021 | Welterweight | Khaos Williams | Matthew Semelsberger | Khaos Williams | |
March 13, 2021 | Welterweight | Matthew Semelsberger | Jason Witt | Matthew Semelsberger | |
Aug. 22, 2020 | Welterweight | Carlton Minus | Matthew Semelsberger | Matthew Semelsberger |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
March 25, 2023 | Welterweight | Trevin Giles | Preston Parsons | Trevin Giles | |
April 23, 2022 | Welterweight | Preston Parsons | Evan Elder | Preston Parsons | |
July 17, 2021 | Welterweight | Daniel Rodriguez | Preston Parsons | Daniel Rodriguez |