The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
McGhee brings a formidable record of 8 wins and 1 loss, with a striking style that's been likened to a blender in a whirlwind – fast, precise, and deadly. The fight against JP Buys spotlighted his dynamic striking and adaptability, crucial in a division as unpredictable as Bantamweight. His knockout of Buys was textbook precision striking, reminiscent of Dustin Poirier's counter-punching brilliance. Against Journey Newson, McGhee showcased not just his striking but also his ground game, submitting Newson with a rear-naked choke. McGhee's stats paint the picture of a striker who doesn't shy away from a brawl but also possesses the tactical nous to switch to grappling when needed. His high knockdowns per fight ratio and significant strikes landed per minute are testaments to his finishing ability.
Bolanos, holding a record of 7 wins and 3 losses, is a scrappy fighter with a heart as big as the octagon. His unanimous decision win over Aaron Phillips was a display of resilience and strategic striking. The match showed Bolanos's ability to adapt his strategy mid-fight, a trait that's gold in the cage. Despite being a newcomer to the UFC, he's shown he can hang with veterans and isn't afraid to go the distance. His stats indicate a slightly less aggressive approach than McGhee, focusing more on significant strikes and utilizing his takedown defense effectively.
The upcoming bout between McGhee and Bolanos is shaping up to be a classic striker vs. striker matchup. McGhee's aggressive, finisher-style approach contrasts with Bolanos's more strategic and resilient fighting style. McGhee's strength lies in his ability to deliver knockout blows and adapt his strategy, which might pose a significant challenge to Bolanos, who tends to absorb more strikes. Bolanos, however, has shown he can take punishment and still push forward, which could test McGhee's endurance if the fight goes into the later rounds.
In conclusion, Marcus McGhee is favored to win, given his impressive striking, finishing ability, and recent performances. His adaptability and resilience are key factors that give him an edge in this matchup. However, Gaston Bolanos's tenacity and ability to endure tough situations shouldn't be underestimated. Expect a high-octane, striking-heavy battle where McGhee's power and precision might be the deciding factors.
Stat | Marcus McGhee | Gaston Bolanos | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 33 | 31 | 32 | |
Height | 68" | 67" | 68" | |
Reach | 69" | 69" | 69" | |
Win Percentage | 88.89% | 70.00% | 80.28% | |
Wins | 9 | 7 | ||
Losses | 1 | 4 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 1 | 1 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 0 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 47.76% | 51.11% | 49.68% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 48.48% | 49.61% | 43.83% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.416 | 4.600 | 5.411 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.416 | 4.200 | 4.037 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 3.203 | 0.000 | 0.661 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 7.50% | -10.00% | 5.63% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 7.50% | 46.00% | 3.97% | |
Striking Output Differential | -4.50% | 31.00% | 5.98% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -5.00% | 88.00% | 4.29% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 184.38% | 36.23% | 97.95% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 184.38% | 34.92% | 122.74% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 77.63% | 56.41% | 53.71% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 1.601 | 0.000 | 0.579 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 0.000 | 0.000 | 1.564 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 0.000 | 0.000 | 3.912 | |
Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 150.00% | 75.34% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 0.00% | 0.00% | 31.85% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.135 | 2.133 | 2.570 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.338 | 5.467 | 6.799 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.854 | 0.467 | 2.330 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.961 | 0.467 | 0.830 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.174 | 0.933 | 1.215 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.534 | 0.600 | 0.737 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.320 | 1.600 | 0.636 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.534 | 2.067 | 0.783 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.427 | 0.067 | 0.603 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.320 | 0.000 | 0.397 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.427 | 0.000 | 0.544 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.107 | 0.067 | 0.343 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug. 12, 2023 | Bantamweight | JP Buys | Marcus McGhee | Marcus McGhee | |
April 29, 2023 | Catch Weight | Journey Newson | Marcus McGhee | Marcus McGhee |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
April 15, 2023 | Bantamweight | Aaron Phillips | Gaston Bolanos | Gaston Bolanos |