Marcus McGhee vs. Gaston Bolanos - UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Marcus McGhee by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 778.00m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Marcus McGhee vs Gaston Bolanos

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Marcus McGhee to Win

Marcus McGhee's Breakdown

McGhee brings a formidable record of 8 wins and 1 loss, with a striking style that's been likened to a blender in a whirlwind – fast, precise, and deadly. The fight against JP Buys spotlighted his dynamic striking and adaptability, crucial in a division as unpredictable as Bantamweight. His knockout of Buys was textbook precision striking, reminiscent of Dustin Poirier's counter-punching brilliance. Against Journey Newson, McGhee showcased not just his striking but also his ground game, submitting Newson with a rear-naked choke. McGhee's stats paint the picture of a striker who doesn't shy away from a brawl but also possesses the tactical nous to switch to grappling when needed. His high knockdowns per fight ratio and significant strikes landed per minute are testaments to his finishing ability.

Gaston Bolanos's Breakdown

Bolanos, holding a record of 7 wins and 3 losses, is a scrappy fighter with a heart as big as the octagon. His unanimous decision win over Aaron Phillips was a display of resilience and strategic striking. The match showed Bolanos's ability to adapt his strategy mid-fight, a trait that's gold in the cage. Despite being a newcomer to the UFC, he's shown he can hang with veterans and isn't afraid to go the distance. His stats indicate a slightly less aggressive approach than McGhee, focusing more on significant strikes and utilizing his takedown defense effectively.

Analysis and Key Points

The upcoming bout between McGhee and Bolanos is shaping up to be a classic striker vs. striker matchup. McGhee's aggressive, finisher-style approach contrasts with Bolanos's more strategic and resilient fighting style. McGhee's strength lies in his ability to deliver knockout blows and adapt his strategy, which might pose a significant challenge to Bolanos, who tends to absorb more strikes. Bolanos, however, has shown he can take punishment and still push forward, which could test McGhee's endurance if the fight goes into the later rounds.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Marcus McGhee is favored to win, given his impressive striking, finishing ability, and recent performances. His adaptability and resilience are key factors that give him an edge in this matchup. However, Gaston Bolanos's tenacity and ability to endure tough situations shouldn't be underestimated. Expect a high-octane, striking-heavy battle where McGhee's power and precision might be the deciding factors.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Marcus McGhee Gaston Bolanos
Main Stats
Age 33 31
Height 68" 67"
Reach 69" 69"
Win Percentage 88.89% 70.00%
Wins 9 7
Losses 1 4
Wins at Weight Class 1 1
Losses at Weight Class 0 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 47.76% 51.11%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.48% 49.61%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.416 4.600
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.416 4.200
Knockdowns per Fight 3.203 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 7.50% -10.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 7.50% 46.00%
Striking Output Differential -4.50% 31.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -5.00% 88.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 184.38% 36.23%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 184.38% 34.92%
Striking Defense Percentage 77.63% 56.41%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.601 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedown Defense 100.00% 150.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.135 2.133
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.338 5.467
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.854 0.467
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.961 0.467
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.174 0.933
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.534 0.600
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.320 1.600
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.534 2.067
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.427 0.067
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.320 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.427 0.000
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.107 0.067
Marcus McGhee History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 12, 2023 Bantamweight JP Buys Marcus McGhee Marcus McGhee
April 29, 2023 Catch Weight Journey Newson Marcus McGhee Marcus McGhee
Gaston Bolanos History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 15, 2023 Bantamweight Aaron Phillips Gaston Bolanos Gaston Bolanos