Results: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Johnny Walker

Winner: Magomed Ankalaev by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 778.00m
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Magomed Ankalaev vs Johnny Walker

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Magomed Ankalaev to Win

Magomed Ankalaev's Breakdown

Ankalaev's fighting style is a blend of technical striking and solid wrestling, making him a formidable force in the light heavyweight division. His counterpunching ability, combined with a robust wrestling base, allows him to control the pace and location of the fight. Ankalaev's performance against fighters like Anthony Smith and Thiago Santos has shown his capability to manage distance effectively with strikes and utilize his grappling to dominate on the ground.

However, his struggles against low kicks, as seen in his fight with Johnny Walker, indicate a potential vulnerability. Ankalaev's methodical approach might be tested against fighters who can maintain a high pace and exploit his low kick defense.

Johnny Walker's Breakdown

Walker is known for his dynamic, unorthodox striking style, employing a mix of flashy techniques and powerful strikes. His height and reach give him an advantage, allowing him to land strikes from a distance. His fight with Anthony Smith showed a more disciplined approach, utilizing effective jabs and calf kicks.

However, Walker's aggressive style can leave him open to counterattacks, as seen in his fight against Jamahal Hill. His defense, particularly under pressure, is an area of concern. Walker's style balances between chaos and technique, and his performance can fluctuate depending on his opponent's ability to exploit his weaknesses.

Previous Fight Breakdown

Ankalaev and Walker have fought before, with the match ending in a no-contest due to an illegal knee from Ankalaev. This previous encounter showed Ankalaev's ability to control the fight but also highlighted his vulnerability to fouls in high-pressure situations.

Analysis and Key Points

Ankalaev's technical striking and wrestling will be key against Walker's dynamic and aggressive style. Walker's improved discipline in striking will test Ankalaev's defense, particularly against low kicks. The fight could hinge on Ankalaev's ability to manage the distance and use his grappling to control Walker.

Walker's tendency to overcommit and his defensive gaps, especially under pressure, could be exploited by Ankalaev's counter-striking and wrestling. The fight could be determined by Ankalaev's ability to withstand Walker's early onslaught and implement his game plan.

Conclusion

Magomed Ankalaev is favored to win due to his more consistent and technical fighting style, coupled with his wrestling ability. Johnny Walker's unorthodox striking and recent improvements pose a threat, but his defensive vulnerabilities might be exploited by Ankalaev's methodical approach. The fight will likely be a tactical battle, with Ankalaev's control and technical prowess giving him the edge.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Magomed Ankalaev Johnny Walker
Main Stats
Age 31 31
Height 75" 78"
Reach 75" 82"
Win Percentage 94.74% 75.00%
Wins 19 21
Losses 1 8
Wins at Weight Class 9 7
Losses at Weight Class 2 5
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 63.03% 58.15%
Significant Striking Accuracy 52.59% 53.25%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.981 4.666
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.559 3.569
Knockdowns per Fight 0.643 0.793
Striking Impact Differential 35.58% 4.58%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 15.83% 7.00%
Striking Output Differential 39.08% 9.17%
Significant Striking Output Differential 16.67% 11.17%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 53.64% 56.37%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 88.15% 69.26%
Striking Defense Percentage 58.77% 50.13%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.595
Takedowns per Fight 1.072 0.397
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.430 0.397
Takedown Defense 15.79% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 31.25% 100.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.280 1.798
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.088 4.204
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.779 1.467
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.915 0.357
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.265 0.701
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.572 0.502
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.365 1.414
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.415 1.798
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.850 0.489
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.350 0.331
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.443 0.383
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.207 0.238
Magomed Ankalaev History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 21, 2023 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Johnny Walker None
Dec. 10, 2022 UFC Light Heavyweight Title Jan Blachowicz Magomed Ankalaev None
July 30, 2022 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Anthony Smith Magomed Ankalaev
March 12, 2022 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Magomed Ankalaev Magomed Ankalaev
Oct. 30, 2021 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Volkan Oezdemir Magomed Ankalaev
Feb. 27, 2021 Light Heavyweight Nikita Krylov Magomed Ankalaev Magomed Ankalaev
Oct. 24, 2020 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Ion Cutelaba Magomed Ankalaev
Feb. 29, 2020 Light Heavyweight Ion Cutelaba Magomed Ankalaev Magomed Ankalaev
Nov. 9, 2019 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Dalcha Lungiambula Magomed Ankalaev
Feb. 23, 2019 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Klidson Abreu Magomed Ankalaev
Sept. 15, 2018 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Marcin Prachnio Magomed Ankalaev
March 17, 2018 Light Heavyweight Paul Craig Magomed Ankalaev Paul Craig
Johnny Walker History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 21, 2023 Light Heavyweight Magomed Ankalaev Johnny Walker None
May 13, 2023 Light Heavyweight Anthony Smith Johnny Walker Johnny Walker
Jan. 21, 2023 Light Heavyweight Paul Craig Johnny Walker Johnny Walker
Sept. 10, 2022 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Ion Cutelaba Johnny Walker
Feb. 19, 2022 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hill
Oct. 2, 2021 Light Heavyweight Thiago Santos Johnny Walker Thiago Santos
Sept. 19, 2020 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Ryan Spann Johnny Walker
March 14, 2020 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Nikita Krylov Nikita Krylov
Nov. 2, 2019 Light Heavyweight Corey Anderson Johnny Walker Corey Anderson
March 2, 2019 Light Heavyweight Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker Johnny Walker
Feb. 2, 2019 Light Heavyweight Johnny Walker Justin Ledet Johnny Walker
Nov. 17, 2018 Light Heavyweight Khalil Rountree Jr. Johnny Walker Johnny Walker