The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Ankalaev's fighting style is a blend of technical striking and solid wrestling, making him a formidable force in the light heavyweight division. His counterpunching ability, combined with a robust wrestling base, allows him to control the pace and location of the fight. Ankalaev's performance against fighters like Anthony Smith and Thiago Santos has shown his capability to manage distance effectively with strikes and utilize his grappling to dominate on the ground.
However, his struggles against low kicks, as seen in his fight with Johnny Walker, indicate a potential vulnerability. Ankalaev's methodical approach might be tested against fighters who can maintain a high pace and exploit his low kick defense.
Walker is known for his dynamic, unorthodox striking style, employing a mix of flashy techniques and powerful strikes. His height and reach give him an advantage, allowing him to land strikes from a distance. His fight with Anthony Smith showed a more disciplined approach, utilizing effective jabs and calf kicks.
However, Walker's aggressive style can leave him open to counterattacks, as seen in his fight against Jamahal Hill. His defense, particularly under pressure, is an area of concern. Walker's style balances between chaos and technique, and his performance can fluctuate depending on his opponent's ability to exploit his weaknesses.
Ankalaev and Walker have fought before, with the match ending in a no-contest due to an illegal knee from Ankalaev. This previous encounter showed Ankalaev's ability to control the fight but also highlighted his vulnerability to fouls in high-pressure situations.
Ankalaev's technical striking and wrestling will be key against Walker's dynamic and aggressive style. Walker's improved discipline in striking will test Ankalaev's defense, particularly against low kicks. The fight could hinge on Ankalaev's ability to manage the distance and use his grappling to control Walker.
Walker's tendency to overcommit and his defensive gaps, especially under pressure, could be exploited by Ankalaev's counter-striking and wrestling. The fight could be determined by Ankalaev's ability to withstand Walker's early onslaught and implement his game plan.
Magomed Ankalaev is favored to win due to his more consistent and technical fighting style, coupled with his wrestling ability. Johnny Walker's unorthodox striking and recent improvements pose a threat, but his defensive vulnerabilities might be exploited by Ankalaev's methodical approach. The fight will likely be a tactical battle, with Ankalaev's control and technical prowess giving him the edge.
Stat | Magomed Ankalaev | Johnny Walker | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 31 | 31 | 33 | |
Height | 75" | 78" | 75" | |
Reach | 75" | 82" | 77" | |
Win Percentage | 94.74% | 75.00% | 77.74% | |
Wins | 19 | 21 | ||
Losses | 1 | 8 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 9 | 7 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 2 | 5 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 63.03% | 58.15% | 54.85% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 52.59% | 53.25% | 49.61% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.981 | 4.666 | 5.286 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.559 | 3.569 | 4.026 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.643 | 0.793 | 0.568 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 35.58% | 4.58% | 4.08% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 15.83% | 7.00% | 5.15% | |
Striking Output Differential | 39.08% | 9.17% | 6.96% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 16.67% | 11.17% | 8.15% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 53.64% | 56.37% | 74.02% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 88.15% | 69.26% | 95.90% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 58.77% | 50.13% | 48.83% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 0.595 | 0.407 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 1.072 | 0.397 | 1.174 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.430 | 0.397 | 2.881 | |
Takedown Defense | 15.79% | 100.00% | 76.79% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 31.25% | 100.00% | 33.02% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.280 | 1.798 | 2.594 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.088 | 4.204 | 6.147 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.779 | 1.467 | 2.201 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.915 | 0.357 | 0.797 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.265 | 0.701 | 1.084 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.572 | 0.502 | 0.676 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.365 | 1.414 | 0.635 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.415 | 1.798 | 0.757 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.850 | 0.489 | 0.570 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.350 | 0.331 | 0.519 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.443 | 0.383 | 0.689 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.207 | 0.238 | 0.469 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct. 21, 2023 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Johnny Walker | None | |
Dec. 10, 2022 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jan Blachowicz | Magomed Ankalaev | None | |
July 30, 2022 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Anthony Smith | Magomed Ankalaev | |
March 12, 2022 | Light Heavyweight | Thiago Santos | Magomed Ankalaev | Magomed Ankalaev | |
Oct. 30, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Volkan Oezdemir | Magomed Ankalaev | |
Feb. 27, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Nikita Krylov | Magomed Ankalaev | Magomed Ankalaev | |
Oct. 24, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Ion Cutelaba | Magomed Ankalaev | |
Feb. 29, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Ion Cutelaba | Magomed Ankalaev | Magomed Ankalaev | |
Nov. 9, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Dalcha Lungiambula | Magomed Ankalaev | |
Feb. 23, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Klidson Abreu | Magomed Ankalaev | |
Sept. 15, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Marcin Prachnio | Magomed Ankalaev | |
March 17, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Paul Craig | Magomed Ankalaev | Paul Craig |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct. 21, 2023 | Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev | Johnny Walker | None | |
May 13, 2023 | Light Heavyweight | Anthony Smith | Johnny Walker | Johnny Walker | |
Jan. 21, 2023 | Light Heavyweight | Paul Craig | Johnny Walker | Johnny Walker | |
Sept. 10, 2022 | Light Heavyweight | Johnny Walker | Ion Cutelaba | Johnny Walker | |
Feb. 19, 2022 | Light Heavyweight | Johnny Walker | Jamahal Hill | Jamahal Hill | |
Oct. 2, 2021 | Light Heavyweight | Thiago Santos | Johnny Walker | Thiago Santos | |
Sept. 19, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Johnny Walker | Ryan Spann | Johnny Walker | |
March 14, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Johnny Walker | Nikita Krylov | Nikita Krylov | |
Nov. 2, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Corey Anderson | Johnny Walker | Corey Anderson | |
March 2, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Misha Cirkunov | Johnny Walker | Johnny Walker | |
Feb. 2, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Johnny Walker | Justin Ledet | Johnny Walker | |
Nov. 17, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Johnny Walker | Johnny Walker |