Results: Jim Miller vs. Gabriel Benitez

Winner: Jim Miller by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 778.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Jim Miller vs Gabriel Benitez

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Jim Miller to Win

Jim Miller's Breakdown

Jim Miller, a seasoned warrior in the Lightweight division, showcases a blend of gritty grappling and calculated striking. A southpaw, Miller's left straight and inside leg kicks are key to managing distance and setting up his potent ground game. His recent KO of Jesse Butler and submission win over Donald Cerrone underline his versatility and threat at any range. Despite a recent decision loss to Alexander Hernandez, Miller's experience and adaptability remain his greatest assets. His submission prowess, comparable to Demian Maia and Charles Oliveira, makes him a constant threat on the ground.

However, Miller's recent fights reveal vulnerabilities, particularly against younger, faster strikers. His resilience is unquestionable, but his pace can be outmatched by more explosive athletes. The key for Miller is to exploit opportunities for grappling exchanges, where his experience and submission threat can dominate.

Gabriel Benitez's Breakdown

Gabriel Benitez, known for his striking prowess, particularly excels in body shots and leg kicks. His ability to mix up attacks and move fluidly poses a threat to any opponent. However, Benitez's recent track record, including a KO loss to David Onama, raises concerns about his durability under pressure. He struggles to adapt mid-fight, as seen in his loss to Billy Quarantillo where he couldn't recover from an early onslaught.

Benitez needs to maintain composure and adaptability, especially against an experienced grappler like Miller. His striking is effective, but he must avoid being taken down, where Miller's jiu-jitsu could spell trouble. Benitez's recent performances indicate a potential vulnerability in high-pressure situations, an aspect Miller could exploit.

Analysis and Key Points

The fight hinges on Miller's ability to close distance and initiate grappling exchanges versus Benitez's effectiveness in keeping the fight standing and utilizing his striking. Miller's experience in high-level grappling could be the deciding factor, especially if he manages to bring the fight to the ground. Benitez's striking, particularly to the body, can be a key weapon, but he must avoid Miller's takedown attempts. The fight's outcome could very well depend on Miller's ability to withstand Benitez's striking and implement his grappling game.

Conclusion

Miller's seasoned grappling and submission skills, combined with his improved striking, make him a formidable opponent for Benitez. While Benitez's striking is dangerous, Miller's experience and adaptability, especially on the ground, are likely to give him the edge in this matchup. The prediction leans towards Miller leveraging his ground game to neutralize Benitez's striking and secure a victory, possibly by submission.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jim Miller Gabriel Benitez
Main Stats
Age 40 35
Height 68" 68"
Reach 71" 71"
Win Percentage 67.92% 67.65%
Wins 37 23
Losses 17 12
Wins at Weight Class 22 2
Losses at Weight Class 17 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 49.25% 44.91%
Significant Striking Accuracy 41.52% 41.50%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.074 5.585
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.859 4.790
Knockdowns per Fight 0.223 0.542
Striking Impact Differential -9.64% -0.08%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -2.17% 6.31%
Striking Output Differential -13.31% -9.62%
Significant Striking Output Differential -5.33% -0.23%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 112.42% 142.72%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 152.39% 156.98%
Striking Defense Percentage 58.55% 65.00%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.748 1.085
Takedowns per Fight 1.562 0.271
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.608 0.542
Takedown Defense 107.32% 72.41%
Takedown Accuracy 43.30% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.674 2.567
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.351 8.730
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.090 2.756
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.595 1.256
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.831 1.663
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.702 0.786
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.590 0.967
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.704 1.148
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.293 0.506
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.459 0.154
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.719 0.280
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.409 0.298
Jim Miller History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 3, 2023 Lightweight Jim Miller Jesse Butler Jim Miller
Feb. 18, 2023 Lightweight Jim Miller Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandez
July 2, 2022 Welterweight Jim Miller Donald Cerrone Jim Miller
Feb. 19, 2022 Lightweight Jim Miller Nikolas Motta Jim Miller
Oct. 16, 2021 Lightweight Jim Miller Erick Gonzalez Jim Miller
April 10, 2021 Lightweight Jim Miller Joe Solecki Joe Solecki
Aug. 15, 2020 Lightweight Jim Miller Vinc Pichel Vinc Pichel
June 20, 2020 Catch Weight Jim Miller Roosevelt Roberts Jim Miller
Feb. 15, 2020 Lightweight Jim Miller Scott Holtzman Scott Holtzman
Aug. 3, 2019 Lightweight Jim Miller Clay Guida Jim Miller
April 27, 2019 Lightweight Jim Miller Jason Gonzalez Jim Miller
Dec. 15, 2018 Lightweight Jim Miller Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Sept. 8, 2018 Lightweight Jim Miller Alex White Jim Miller
April 21, 2018 Lightweight Jim Miller Dan Hooker Dan Hooker
Oct. 28, 2017 Lightweight Francisco Trinaldo Jim Miller Francisco Trinaldo
July 8, 2017 Lightweight Anthony Pettis Jim Miller Anthony Pettis
Feb. 11, 2017 Lightweight Dustin Poirier Jim Miller Dustin Poirier
Nov. 12, 2016 Catch Weight Jim Miller Thiago Alves Jim Miller
Aug. 27, 2016 Lightweight Joe Lauzon Jim Miller Jim Miller
July 9, 2016 Lightweight Jim Miller Takanori Gomi Jim Miller
March 5, 2016 Lightweight Diego Sanchez Jim Miller Diego Sanchez
Dec. 10, 2015 Lightweight Jim Miller Michael Chiesa Michael Chiesa
July 25, 2015 Lightweight Jim Miller Danny Castillo Jim Miller
April 18, 2015 Lightweight Jim Miller Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
July 16, 2014 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Jim Miller Donald Cerrone
April 26, 2014 Lightweight Jim Miller Yancy Medeiros Jim Miller
Dec. 28, 2013 Lightweight Jim Miller Fabricio Camoes Jim Miller
April 27, 2013 Lightweight Jim Miller Pat Healy None
Dec. 29, 2012 Lightweight Jim Miller Joe Lauzon Jim Miller
May 5, 2012 Lightweight Nate Diaz Jim Miller Nate Diaz
Jan. 20, 2012 Lightweight Melvin Guillard Jim Miller Jim Miller
Aug. 14, 2011 Lightweight Jim Miller Benson Henderson Benson Henderson
March 19, 2011 Lightweight Jim Miller Kamal Shalorus Jim Miller
Dec. 11, 2010 Lightweight Jim Miller Charles Oliveira Jim Miller
Sept. 15, 2010 Lightweight Jim Miller Gleison Tibau Jim Miller
March 27, 2010 Lightweight Jim Miller Mark Bocek Jim Miller
Jan. 2, 2010 Lightweight Jim Miller Duane Ludwig Jim Miller
Sept. 19, 2009 Lightweight Jim Miller Steve Lopez Jim Miller
July 11, 2009 Lightweight Jim Miller Mac Danzig Jim Miller
March 7, 2009 Lightweight Gray Maynard Jim Miller Gray Maynard
Dec. 10, 2008 Lightweight Jim Miller Matt Wiman Jim Miller
Oct. 18, 2008 Lightweight Jim Miller David Baron Jim Miller
Gabriel Benitez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 13, 2022 Lightweight Gabriel Benitez Charlie Ontiveros Gabriel Benitez
Feb. 19, 2022 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez David Onama David Onama
July 17, 2021 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez Billy Quarantillo Billy Quarantillo
Dec. 5, 2020 Lightweight Gabriel Benitez Justin Jaynes Gabriel Benitez
May 13, 2020 Lightweight Gabriel Benitez Omar Morales Omar Morales
Aug. 17, 2019 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez Sodiq Yusuff Sodiq Yusuff
May 19, 2018 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez Humberto Bandenay Gabriel Benitez
Dec. 9, 2017 Featherweight Jason Knight Gabriel Benitez Gabriel Benitez
May 13, 2017 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez Enrique Barzola Enrique Barzola
Sept. 17, 2016 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez Sam Sicilia Gabriel Benitez
Nov. 21, 2015 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez Andre Fili Andre Fili
June 13, 2015 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez Clay Collard Gabriel Benitez
Nov. 15, 2014 Featherweight Gabriel Benitez Humberto Brown Morrison Gabriel Benitez