The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Jim Miller, a seasoned warrior in the Lightweight division, showcases a blend of gritty grappling and calculated striking. A southpaw, Miller's left straight and inside leg kicks are key to managing distance and setting up his potent ground game. His recent KO of Jesse Butler and submission win over Donald Cerrone underline his versatility and threat at any range. Despite a recent decision loss to Alexander Hernandez, Miller's experience and adaptability remain his greatest assets. His submission prowess, comparable to Demian Maia and Charles Oliveira, makes him a constant threat on the ground.
However, Miller's recent fights reveal vulnerabilities, particularly against younger, faster strikers. His resilience is unquestionable, but his pace can be outmatched by more explosive athletes. The key for Miller is to exploit opportunities for grappling exchanges, where his experience and submission threat can dominate.
Gabriel Benitez, known for his striking prowess, particularly excels in body shots and leg kicks. His ability to mix up attacks and move fluidly poses a threat to any opponent. However, Benitez's recent track record, including a KO loss to David Onama, raises concerns about his durability under pressure. He struggles to adapt mid-fight, as seen in his loss to Billy Quarantillo where he couldn't recover from an early onslaught.
Benitez needs to maintain composure and adaptability, especially against an experienced grappler like Miller. His striking is effective, but he must avoid being taken down, where Miller's jiu-jitsu could spell trouble. Benitez's recent performances indicate a potential vulnerability in high-pressure situations, an aspect Miller could exploit.
The fight hinges on Miller's ability to close distance and initiate grappling exchanges versus Benitez's effectiveness in keeping the fight standing and utilizing his striking. Miller's experience in high-level grappling could be the deciding factor, especially if he manages to bring the fight to the ground. Benitez's striking, particularly to the body, can be a key weapon, but he must avoid Miller's takedown attempts. The fight's outcome could very well depend on Miller's ability to withstand Benitez's striking and implement his grappling game.
Miller's seasoned grappling and submission skills, combined with his improved striking, make him a formidable opponent for Benitez. While Benitez's striking is dangerous, Miller's experience and adaptability, especially on the ground, are likely to give him the edge in this matchup. The prediction leans towards Miller leveraging his ground game to neutralize Benitez's striking and secure a victory, possibly by submission.
Stat | Jim Miller | Gabriel Benitez | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 40 | 35 | 31 | |
Height | 68" | 68" | 70" | |
Reach | 71" | 71" | 72" | |
Win Percentage | 67.92% | 67.65% | 79.88% | |
Wins | 37 | 23 | ||
Losses | 17 | 12 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 22 | 2 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 17 | 1 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 49.25% | 44.91% | 47.99% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 41.52% | 41.50% | 42.46% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.074 | 5.585 | 5.212 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.859 | 4.790 | 3.837 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.223 | 0.542 | 1.118 | |
Striking Impact Differential | -9.64% | -0.08% | 2.31% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | -2.17% | 6.31% | 0.85% | |
Striking Output Differential | -13.31% | -9.62% | 3.65% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -5.33% | -0.23% | 1.85% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 112.42% | 142.72% | 86.36% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 152.39% | 156.98% | 108.64% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 58.55% | 65.00% | 47.93% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 1.748 | 1.085 | 0.495 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 1.562 | 0.271 | 1.510 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.608 | 0.542 | 4.059 | |
Takedown Defense | 107.32% | 72.41% | 84.07% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 43.30% | 50.00% | 29.22% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.674 | 2.567 | 2.472 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.351 | 8.730 | 6.245 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.090 | 2.756 | 2.286 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.595 | 1.256 | 0.802 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.831 | 1.663 | 1.162 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.702 | 0.786 | 0.753 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.590 | 0.967 | 0.564 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.704 | 1.148 | 0.669 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.293 | 0.506 | 0.571 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.459 | 0.154 | 0.378 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.719 | 0.280 | 0.539 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.409 | 0.298 | 0.390 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 3, 2023 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Jesse Butler | Jim Miller | |
Feb. 18, 2023 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Alexander Hernandez | Alexander Hernandez | |
July 2, 2022 | Welterweight | Jim Miller | Donald Cerrone | Jim Miller | |
Feb. 19, 2022 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Nikolas Motta | Jim Miller | |
Oct. 16, 2021 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Erick Gonzalez | Jim Miller | |
April 10, 2021 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Joe Solecki | Joe Solecki | |
Aug. 15, 2020 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Vinc Pichel | Vinc Pichel | |
June 20, 2020 | Catch Weight | Jim Miller | Roosevelt Roberts | Jim Miller | |
Feb. 15, 2020 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Scott Holtzman | Scott Holtzman | |
Aug. 3, 2019 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Clay Guida | Jim Miller | |
April 27, 2019 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Jason Gonzalez | Jim Miller | |
Dec. 15, 2018 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Charles Oliveira | Charles Oliveira | |
Sept. 8, 2018 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Alex White | Jim Miller | |
April 21, 2018 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Dan Hooker | Dan Hooker | |
Oct. 28, 2017 | Lightweight | Francisco Trinaldo | Jim Miller | Francisco Trinaldo | |
July 8, 2017 | Lightweight | Anthony Pettis | Jim Miller | Anthony Pettis | |
Feb. 11, 2017 | Lightweight | Dustin Poirier | Jim Miller | Dustin Poirier | |
Nov. 12, 2016 | Catch Weight | Jim Miller | Thiago Alves | Jim Miller | |
Aug. 27, 2016 | Lightweight | Joe Lauzon | Jim Miller | Jim Miller | |
July 9, 2016 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Takanori Gomi | Jim Miller | |
March 5, 2016 | Lightweight | Diego Sanchez | Jim Miller | Diego Sanchez | |
Dec. 10, 2015 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Michael Chiesa | Michael Chiesa | |
July 25, 2015 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Danny Castillo | Jim Miller | |
April 18, 2015 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Beneil Dariush | Beneil Dariush | |
July 16, 2014 | Lightweight | Donald Cerrone | Jim Miller | Donald Cerrone | |
April 26, 2014 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Yancy Medeiros | Jim Miller | |
Dec. 28, 2013 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Fabricio Camoes | Jim Miller | |
April 27, 2013 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Pat Healy | None | |
Dec. 29, 2012 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Joe Lauzon | Jim Miller | |
May 5, 2012 | Lightweight | Nate Diaz | Jim Miller | Nate Diaz | |
Jan. 20, 2012 | Lightweight | Melvin Guillard | Jim Miller | Jim Miller | |
Aug. 14, 2011 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Benson Henderson | Benson Henderson | |
March 19, 2011 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Kamal Shalorus | Jim Miller | |
Dec. 11, 2010 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Charles Oliveira | Jim Miller | |
Sept. 15, 2010 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Gleison Tibau | Jim Miller | |
March 27, 2010 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Mark Bocek | Jim Miller | |
Jan. 2, 2010 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Duane Ludwig | Jim Miller | |
Sept. 19, 2009 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Steve Lopez | Jim Miller | |
July 11, 2009 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Mac Danzig | Jim Miller | |
March 7, 2009 | Lightweight | Gray Maynard | Jim Miller | Gray Maynard | |
Dec. 10, 2008 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Matt Wiman | Jim Miller | |
Oct. 18, 2008 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | David Baron | Jim Miller |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug. 13, 2022 | Lightweight | Gabriel Benitez | Charlie Ontiveros | Gabriel Benitez | |
Feb. 19, 2022 | Featherweight | Gabriel Benitez | David Onama | David Onama | |
July 17, 2021 | Featherweight | Gabriel Benitez | Billy Quarantillo | Billy Quarantillo | |
Dec. 5, 2020 | Lightweight | Gabriel Benitez | Justin Jaynes | Gabriel Benitez | |
May 13, 2020 | Lightweight | Gabriel Benitez | Omar Morales | Omar Morales | |
Aug. 17, 2019 | Featherweight | Gabriel Benitez | Sodiq Yusuff | Sodiq Yusuff | |
May 19, 2018 | Featherweight | Gabriel Benitez | Humberto Bandenay | Gabriel Benitez | |
Dec. 9, 2017 | Featherweight | Jason Knight | Gabriel Benitez | Gabriel Benitez | |
May 13, 2017 | Featherweight | Gabriel Benitez | Enrique Barzola | Enrique Barzola | |
Sept. 17, 2016 | Featherweight | Gabriel Benitez | Sam Sicilia | Gabriel Benitez | |
Nov. 21, 2015 | Featherweight | Gabriel Benitez | Andre Fili | Andre Fili | |
June 13, 2015 | Featherweight | Gabriel Benitez | Clay Collard | Gabriel Benitez | |
Nov. 15, 2014 | Featherweight | Gabriel Benitez | Humberto Brown Morrison | Gabriel Benitez |