Farid Basharat vs. Taylor Lapilus - UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Farid Basharat by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 778.00m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Farid Basharat vs Taylor Lapilus

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Farid Basharat to Win

Farid Basharat's Breakdown

Farid Basharat, undefeated in his career, shows a blend of aggressive striking and savvy grappling. In his fight against Kleydson Rodrigues, Basharat's ability to exploit grappling exchanges was evident. He maintained control during ground fights and used strategic submissions, reminiscent of Khabib Nurmagomedov's style. Against Da'Mon Blackshear, Basharat's adaptability shone, managing to climb back up swiftly after takedowns and displaying sharp boxing skills. His stats, such as high takedown accuracy (0.4545) and significant striking defense percentage (0.5760), reflect his balanced approach.

Taylor Lapilus's Breakdown

Taylor Lapilus exhibits a technical fighting style with a solid defensive wrestling foundation. His fight against Caolan Loughran highlighted his takedown defense skills. Lapilus's ability to manage distance and execute effective striking, akin to Israel Adesanya, allows him to control fights on his terms. His stats, like significant striking accuracy (0.4712) and a high win percentage (0.8636), underscore his proficiency in striking and defense.

Analysis and Key Points

Basharat’s grappling prowess and strategic ground control could pose a challenge to Lapilus. However, Lapilus's takedown defense and striking ability could neutralize Basharat's ground game. Basharat's ability to adapt in the face of versatile opponents like Blackshear, combined with his undefeated record, plays a significant role in WolfTicketsAI's prediction.

Lapilus's experience and striking proficiency, however, cannot be underestimated. His history of fending off wrestlers and controlling the stand-up game will be crucial in this fight. His striking diversity and accuracy could test Basharat's defense.

Conclusion

Considering both fighters' styles and strengths, Farid Basharat's grappling and adaptability seem to give him an edge in this matchup, as per WolfTicketsAI's prediction. However, Taylor Lapilus's striking and takedown defense make him a formidable opponent. This fight promises a classic striker vs. grappler showdown, with Basharat likely to try and bring the fight to the ground, while Lapilus will aim to keep it standing and exploit his striking advantage.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Farid Basharat Taylor Lapilus
Main Stats
Age 26 31
Height 68" 66"
Reach 71" 73"
Win Percentage 100.00% 86.36%
Wins 12 19
Losses 0 4
Wins at Weight Class 2 3
Losses at Weight Class 0 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 66.89% 52.41%
Significant Striking Accuracy 60.78% 47.12%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.247 5.238
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.221 4.185
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.452
Striking Impact Differential -7.50% 15.80%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 4.50% 25.40%
Striking Output Differential -19.50% 26.20%
Significant Striking Output Differential -11.50% 38.40%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 73.27% 75.86%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 116.13% 88.85%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.60% 62.06%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.779 0.452
Takedowns per Fight 3.896 0.452
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 8.571 1.129
Takedown Defense 20.00% 22.86%
Takedown Accuracy 45.45% 40.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.974 2.845
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 3.792 7.270
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.351 0.963
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.831 0.978
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.987 1.174
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.727 0.738
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.416 0.361
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.520 0.437
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.675 0.572
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.260 1.084
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.312 1.295
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.416 0.286
Farid Basharat History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 2, 2023 Bantamweight Farid Basharat Kleydson Rodrigues Farid Basharat
March 4, 2023 Bantamweight Da'Mon Blackshear Farid Basharat Farid Basharat
Taylor Lapilus History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 2, 2023 Bantamweight Taylor Lapilus Caolan Loughran Taylor Lapilus
Sept. 3, 2016 Bantamweight Taylor Lapilus Leandro Issa Taylor Lapilus
Nov. 21, 2015 Bantamweight Erik Perez Taylor Lapilus Erik Perez
June 20, 2015 Bantamweight Taylor Lapilus Yuta Sasaki Taylor Lapilus
April 11, 2015 Featherweight Taylor Lapilus Rocky Lee Taylor Lapilus