Ovince Saint Preux vs. Philipe Lins - UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Philipe Lins by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Ovince Saint Preux
7
+175
Philipe Lins
14
6.4
-220

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Ovince Saint Preux Philipe Lins
Main Stats
Age 39 37
Height 75" 74"
Reach 80" 78"
Win Percentage 61.90% 75.00%
Wins 26 16
Losses 17 5
Wins at Weight Class 14 1
Losses at Weight Class 8 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 48.96% 55.43%
Significant Striking Accuracy 44.58% 49.12%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.243 4.375
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.672 3.396
Knockdowns per Fight 0.312 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -14.72% -12.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -8.12% -9.33%
Striking Output Differential -11.72% -10.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -3.96% -6.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 94.61% 74.83%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 108.10% 96.40%
Striking Defense Percentage 45.09% 43.50%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.375 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.937 1.836
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.122 5.048
Takedown Defense 47.06% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 30.00% 36.36%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.574 1.989
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.425 4.865
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.790 1.255
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.774 0.918
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.128 1.469
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.812 1.622
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.325 0.490
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.441 0.581
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.916 1.377
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.266 0.367
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.412 0.428
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.545 0.918
Ovince Saint Preux History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 7, 2022 Light Heavyweight Mauricio Rua Ovince Saint Preux Ovince Saint Preux
June 26, 2021 Heavyweight Tanner Boser Ovince Saint Preux Tanner Boser
Dec. 5, 2020 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hill
Sept. 5, 2020 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Alonzo Menifield Ovince Saint Preux
May 13, 2020 Heavyweight Ben Rothwell Ovince Saint Preux Ben Rothwell
Sept. 28, 2019 Light Heavyweight Michal Oleksiejczuk Ovince Saint Preux Ovince Saint Preux
April 13, 2019 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Nikita Krylov Nikita Krylov
Oct. 6, 2018 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Dominick Reyes Dominick Reyes
June 23, 2018 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Tyson Pedro Ovince Saint Preux
Feb. 24, 2018 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Ilir Latifi Ilir Latifi
Nov. 4, 2017 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Corey Anderson Ovince Saint Preux
Sept. 22, 2017 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Yushin Okami Ovince Saint Preux
April 22, 2017 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Marcos Rogerio de Lima Ovince Saint Preux
Feb. 4, 2017 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Volkan Oezdemir Volkan Oezdemir
Oct. 8, 2016 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Jimi Manuwa Jimi Manuwa
April 23, 2016 UFC Interim Light Heavyweight Title Jon Jones Ovince Saint Preux Jon Jones
Feb. 6, 2016 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Rafael Cavalcante Ovince Saint Preux
Aug. 8, 2015 Light Heavyweight Glover Teixeira Ovince Saint Preux Glover Teixeira
April 18, 2015 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Patrick Cummins Ovince Saint Preux
Nov. 8, 2014 Light Heavyweight Mauricio Rua Ovince Saint Preux Ovince Saint Preux
Aug. 16, 2014 Light Heavyweight Ryan Bader Ovince Saint Preux Ryan Bader
June 14, 2014 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Ryan Jimmo Ovince Saint Preux
March 15, 2014 Light Heavyweight Ovince Saint Preux Nikita Krylov Ovince Saint Preux
Aug. 17, 2013 Light Heavyweight Cody Donovan Ovince Saint Preux Ovince Saint Preux
April 27, 2013 Light Heavyweight Gian Villante Ovince Saint Preux Ovince Saint Preux
Philipe Lins History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 23, 2022 Light Heavyweight Marcin Prachnio Philipe Lins Philipe Lins
June 27, 2020 Heavyweight Philipe Lins Tanner Boser Tanner Boser
May 13, 2020 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Philipe Lins Andrei Arlovski