Jordan Wright vs. Zac Pauga - UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Zac Pauga by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 777.00m
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jordan Wright
+230
Zac Pauga
23
15
5.1
-285

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jordan Wright Zac Pauga
Main Stats
Age 31 34
Height 74" 74"
Reach 77" 76"
Win Percentage 75.00% 85.71%
Wins 12 7
Losses 5 1
Wins at Weight Class 1 0
Losses at Weight Class 0 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 76.08% 64.71%
Significant Striking Accuracy 66.67% 64.00%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 9.628 5.893
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.757 5.714
Knockdowns per Fight 1.489 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -6.33% 20.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -5.17% 20.00%
Striking Output Differential -9.33% 10.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -7.33% 10.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 40.72% 84.85%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 61.21% 87.50%
Striking Defense Percentage 32.57% 70.00%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.744 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 3.722 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 7.444 0.000
Takedown Defense 100.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.325 2.500
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.055 5.179
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 5.757 1.964
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 2.035 1.607
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.184 1.786
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.439 0.179
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.397 1.607
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.397 1.964
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.099 0.000
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 2.283 0.179
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.481 0.179
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.481 0.179
Jordan Wright History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 15, 2022 Middleweight Jordan Wright Dusko Todorovic Dusko Todorovic
April 23, 2022 Catch Weight Jordan Wright Marc-Andre Barriault Marc-Andre Barriault
Dec. 11, 2021 Middleweight Jordan Wright Bruno Silva Bruno Silva
May 15, 2021 Middleweight Jordan Wright Jamie Pickett Jordan Wright
Nov. 21, 2020 Middleweight Joaquin Buckley Jordan Wright Joaquin Buckley
Aug. 22, 2020 Light Heavyweight Ike Villanueva Jordan Wright Jordan Wright
Zac Pauga History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 6, 2022 Heavyweight Mohammed Usman Zac Pauga Mohammed Usman