Rodrigo Nascimento vs. Don'Tale Mayes - UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Rodrigo Nascimento by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Elevation: 799.00m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Rodrigo Nascimento
13
13
14
9.3
-185
Don'Tale Mayes
+155

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Rodrigo Nascimento Don'Tale Mayes
Main Stats
Age 30 31
Height 74" 78"
Reach 80" 81"
Win Percentage 90.00% 66.67%
Wins 11 10
Losses 1 6
Wins at Weight Class 3 3
Losses at Weight Class 2 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 57.02% 52.33%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.34% 40.00%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.957 4.945
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.197 2.755
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.169
Striking Impact Differential -20.60% -9.29%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -5.00% -12.14%
Striking Output Differential -10.40% 2.71%
Significant Striking Output Differential 5.00% 0.29%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 56.06% 71.92%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 75.81% 114.34%
Striking Defense Percentage 40.06% 45.89%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.677 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.692 1.186
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.062 2.032
Takedown Defense 40.00% 200.00%
Takedown Accuracy 41.67% 58.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.114 1.468
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 7.085 5.025
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.888 2.134
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.587 0.745
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.880 1.095
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.083 0.960
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.496 0.542
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.542 0.768
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.790 0.621
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.406 0.271
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.496 0.350
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.609 0.734
Rodrigo Nascimento History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 20, 2023 Heavyweight Ilir Latifi Rodrigo Nascimento Rodrigo Nascimento
Sept. 17, 2022 Heavyweight Tanner Boser Rodrigo Nascimento Rodrigo Nascimento
July 17, 2021 Heavyweight Alan Baudot Rodrigo Nascimento None
Oct. 10, 2020 Heavyweight Chris Daukaus Rodrigo Nascimento Chris Daukaus
May 16, 2020 Heavyweight Rodrigo Nascimento Don'Tale Mayes Rodrigo Nascimento
Don'Tale Mayes History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 3, 2023 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Don'Tale Mayes Don'Tale Mayes
Feb. 25, 2023 Heavyweight Augusto Sakai Don'Tale Mayes Augusto Sakai
July 30, 2022 Heavyweight Don'Tale Mayes Hamdy Abdelwahab None
Dec. 18, 2021 Heavyweight Don'Tale Mayes Josh Parisian Don'Tale Mayes
Nov. 14, 2020 Heavyweight Don'Tale Mayes Roque Martinez Don'Tale Mayes
May 16, 2020 Heavyweight Rodrigo Nascimento Don'Tale Mayes Rodrigo Nascimento
Oct. 26, 2019 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Don'Tale Mayes Ciryl Gane