Gabriel Bonfim vs. Nicolas Dalby - UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Nicolas Dalby by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Elevation: 799.00m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Gabriel Bonfim
17
24
13
-7.5
-550
Nicolas Dalby
+400

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Gabriel Bonfim Nicolas Dalby
Main Stats
Age 26 38
Height 73" 71"
Reach 72" 74"
Win Percentage 100.00% 84.62%
Wins 15 23
Losses 1 4
Wins at Weight Class 2 6
Losses at Weight Class 0 5
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 36.36% 50.88%
Significant Striking Accuracy 36.36% 43.24%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.902 5.471
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.902 3.933
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 1.00% 10.36%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 1.00% 7.55%
Striking Output Differential 7.50% 30.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 7.50% 27.27%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 66.67% 70.69%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 66.67% 95.17%
Striking Defense Percentage 44.44% 52.48%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 14.754 0.098
Takedowns per Fight 7.377 1.178
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 7.377 3.730
Takedown Defense 100.00% 60.00%
Takedown Accuracy 100.00% 31.58%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.934 2.330
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 13.771 6.747
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.492 2.055
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.475 0.962
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.475 1.499
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.967 0.805
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.492 0.641
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.984 0.851
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 2.459 0.530
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.000 1.113
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.000 1.525
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.000 0.386
Gabriel Bonfim History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 29, 2023 Welterweight Gabriel Bonfim Trevin Giles Gabriel Bonfim
Jan. 21, 2023 Welterweight Gabriel Bonfim Mounir Lazzez Gabriel Bonfim
Nicolas Dalby History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 17, 2023 Welterweight Nicolas Dalby Muslim Salikhov Nicolas Dalby
Jan. 21, 2023 Welterweight Warlley Alves Nicolas Dalby Nicolas Dalby
July 23, 2022 Welterweight Claudio Silva Nicolas Dalby Nicolas Dalby
June 26, 2021 Welterweight Tim Means Nicolas Dalby Tim Means
Nov. 21, 2020 Welterweight Daniel Rodriguez Nicolas Dalby Nicolas Dalby
July 25, 2020 Welterweight Nicolas Dalby Jesse Ronson None
Sept. 28, 2019 Welterweight Nicolas Dalby Alex Oliveira Nicolas Dalby
Sept. 3, 2016 Welterweight Peter Sobotta Nicolas Dalby Peter Sobotta
April 10, 2016 Welterweight Nicolas Dalby Zak Cummings Zak Cummings
Oct. 24, 2015 Welterweight Nicolas Dalby Darren Till None
May 30, 2015 Welterweight Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Nicolas Dalby Nicolas Dalby