Caio Borralho vs. Abus Magomedov - UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Caio Borralho by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Elevation: 799.00m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Caio Borralho
23
21
17
6.9
-260
Abus Magomedov
+210

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Caio Borralho Abus Magomedov
Main Stats
Age 30 33
Height 70" 74"
Reach 75" 78"
Win Percentage 93.33% 83.33%
Wins 15 25
Losses 1 6
Wins at Weight Class 4 1
Losses at Weight Class 0 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 69.06% 50.00%
Significant Striking Accuracy 59.63% 50.00%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.271 5.596
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.855 5.596
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 1.554
Striking Impact Differential -4.50% -13.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.25% -13.50%
Striking Output Differential -17.50% -41.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -9.50% -41.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 68.33% 201.85%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 116.67% 201.85%
Striking Defense Percentage 56.28% 57.37%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.870 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 2.609 1.554
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.058 3.109
Takedown Defense 150.00% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 64.29% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.140 2.798
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.126 7.668
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.599 8.290
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.406 1.762
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.676 2.487
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.541 0.104
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.309 1.036
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.309 1.036
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.541 0.000
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.135 0.207
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.193 0.207
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.116 0.000
Caio Borralho History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 29, 2023 Middleweight Caio Borralho Michal Oleksiejczuk Caio Borralho
Oct. 22, 2022 Middleweight Makhmud Muradov Caio Borralho Caio Borralho
July 9, 2022 Middleweight Caio Borralho Armen Petrosyan Caio Borralho
April 16, 2022 Middleweight Caio Borralho Gadzhi Omargadzhiev Caio Borralho
Abus Magomedov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 1, 2023 Middleweight Sean Strickland Abus Magomedov Sean Strickland
Sept. 3, 2022 Middleweight Abus Magomedov Dustin Stoltzfus Abus Magomedov