UFC Event Results

April 6, 2024

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2

Enterprise, Nevada, United States
777.00m Elevation

Model Performance Summary (% Correct)

WTAI Model

Main: 60.0% Under: 100.0% Full: 71.43%

Profit Model

Main: 40.0% Under: 50.0% Full: 42.86%

Plain Model

Main: 60.0% Under: 50.0% Full: 57.14%

Selected Bets Results

ROI: %

Parlay #1

Christos Giagos

Win

-340

Strength: 25.0 points
EV: 1.9%

Total Odds

1.29x

Return on $10 Bet

$2.94

Parlay #2

Chris Curtis

Win

-225

Strength: 8.0 points
EV: -0.1%

Damon Jackson

Win

-210

Strength: 16.0 points
EV: 8.4%

Total Odds

2.13x

Return on $10 Bet

$11.32

Parlay #3

Melissa Mullins

Win

-340

Strength: 16.0 points
EV: -1.1%

Alex Morono

Win

-330

Strength: 7.0 points
EV: -12.6%

Total Odds

1.69x

Return on $10 Bet

$6.86

Parlay #4

Christos Giagos

Win

-340

Strength: 25.0 points
EV: 1.9%

Charlie Campbell

Win

-215

Strength: 14.0 points
EV: 6.9%

Total Odds

1.90x

Return on $10 Bet

$8.96

Parlay #5

Chepe Mariscal

Win

-140

Strength: 11.0 points
EV: 11.8%

Germaine de Randamie

Win

-188

Strength: 3.0 points
EV: -10.1%

Total Odds

2.63x

Return on $10 Bet

$16.26

The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.

Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.

WTAI = WTAI Model Profit = Profit Model Plain = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Brendan Allen
8
13
12
-0.1
-225
Chris Curtis
+172
Alexander Hernandez
16
15
2
8.4
-210
Damon Jackson
+162
Morgan Charriere
11
14
11
11.8
-140
Chepe Mariscal
+110
Ignacio Bahamondes
25
19
15
1.9
-340
Christos Giagos
+250
Trevor Peek
2
+164
Charlie Campbell
14
19
6.9
-215

Fight Analysis Recap

Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.