The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
In the upcoming Women's Bantamweight clash, WolfTicketsAI is backing Ailin Perez to triumph over Lucie Pudilova. Let's break down the stats and recent performances to understand why.
Pudilova, with a record of 14-8, shows versatility with decent takedown numbers and striking. However, her recent UFC record is worrying, winning only 2 out of her last 6 fights, indicating a possible downward trend. She's shown resilience in stand-up fighting, evident from her head strikes stats, but her recent fights reveal a decline in effectiveness, especially with a loss by KO/TKO and several decision losses.
Her UFC history at both Bantamweight and Flyweight demonstrates adaptability, but also a lack of dominance in either class. Her striking defense and accuracy numbers aren't stellar, hinting at vulnerabilities that a well-rounded opponent could exploit.
Perez, holding an 8-2 record, is relatively new to the UFC with just two fights. This limited history might usually ring alarm bells, but her performance against Ashlee Evans-Smith shows promise. Her loss at Featherweight doesn't seem to have dented her confidence, returning to Bantamweight with a win.
Her standout stats are in takedowns, both attempted and completed, indicating a strong ground game. While her striking stats are less impressive, they're not negligible, especially her head strikes landed per minute. This balance of ground and stand-up skills could be pivotal against Pudilova.
Considering the dynamics, WolfTicketsAI's prediction leans towards Ailin Perez. Her ground game might be the deciding factor against Pudilova, who's currently struggling to find her form. Perez's takedown abilities could neutralize Pudilova's striking, paving the way for a Perez victory.
Stat | Lucie Pudilova | Ailin Perez | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 29 | 29 | 33 | |
Height | 68" | 65" | 67" | |
Reach | 67" | 66" | 67" | |
Win Percentage | 63.64% | 80.00% | 74.24% | |
Wins | 14 | 9 | ||
Losses | 9 | 2 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 3 | 1 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 3 | 0 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 45.01% | 66.93% | 47.39% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 37.37% | 55.07% | 40.43% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.731 | 6.747 | 4.990 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.970 | 3.052 | 3.315 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.249 | 0.000 | 0.138 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 7.11% | 54.00% | -2.63% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 0.22% | 24.50% | 0.07% | |
Striking Output Differential | 41.56% | 69.00% | -1.53% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 32.11% | 34.50% | 1.52% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 77.25% | 31.55% | 70.73% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 107.53% | 55.26% | 96.86% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 51.92% | 60.87% | 44.06% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.623 | 0.000 | 0.453 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 0.623 | 6.627 | 0.930 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 2.243 | 10.843 | 2.773 | |
Takedown Defense | 58.33% | 33.33% | 69.53% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 27.78% | 61.11% | 25.49% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.023 | 2.289 | 1.919 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 9.194 | 4.297 | 5.253 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.043 | 0.602 | 1.852 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.548 | 0.643 | 0.832 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.831 | 0.924 | 1.136 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.814 | 0.201 | 0.828 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.399 | 0.121 | 0.565 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.598 | 0.321 | 0.727 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 1.096 | 0.281 | 0.591 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.598 | 0.803 | 0.575 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.781 | 1.165 | 0.730 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.698 | 0.321 | 0.504 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
April 15, 2023 | Women's Bantamweight | Joselyne Edwards | Lucie Pudilova | Joselyne Edwards | |
Aug. 20, 2022 | Women's Bantamweight | Wu Yanan | Lucie Pudilova | Lucie Pudilova | |
Jan. 25, 2020 | Women's Flyweight | Justine Kish | Lucie Pudilova | Justine Kish | |
Aug. 3, 2019 | Women's Flyweight | Antonina Shevchenko | Lucie Pudilova | Antonina Shevchenko | |
Feb. 23, 2019 | Women's Flyweight | Liz Carmouche | Lucie Pudilova | Liz Carmouche | |
Sept. 8, 2018 | Women's Bantamweight | Irene Aldana | Lucie Pudilova | Irene Aldana | |
Feb. 18, 2018 | Women's Bantamweight | Sarah Moras | Lucie Pudilova | Lucie Pudilova | |
June 17, 2017 | Women's Bantamweight | Ji Yeon Kim | Lucie Pudilova | Lucie Pudilova | |
March 18, 2017 | Women's Bantamweight | Lina Lansberg | Lucie Pudilova | Lina Lansberg |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 15, 2023 | Women's Bantamweight | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Ailin Perez | Ailin Perez | |
Sept. 3, 2022 | Women's Featherweight | Stephanie Egger | Ailin Perez | Stephanie Egger |